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Persistence of unemployment in the canadian provinces

Author

Listed:
  • Firouz Fallahi
  • Gabriel Rodríguez

    () (Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú)

Abstract

We analyze the degree of persistence of the unemployment rates of the 10 Canadian provinces using quarterly data for the period 1976:1-2005:4. We apply a two-break minimum Lagrange Multiplier unit root statistic, which, unlike standard unit root statistics (without or with breaks), makes it possible to .nd the stationarity of the different unemployment rates, giving support to the theory of the natural rate. We use the methodology of Bai and Perron (1998, 2003) to estimate a linear model with multiple structural changes to estimate the different degrees of persistence over the different regimes. The results suggest that the degree of persistence decreases when multiple breaks are allowed. Issues regarding the Canadian labor market, the insurance benefits program, inter-provincial transfers, and inter-provincial mobility are discussed as potential explanations for the results.

Suggested Citation

  • Firouz Fallahi & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2010. "Persistence of unemployment in the canadian provinces," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2010-286, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
  • Handle: RePEc:pcp:pucwps:wp00286
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    File URL: http://files.pucp.edu.pe/departamento/economia/DDD286.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Shannon, Mike & Moazzami, Bakhtiar, 2015. "Canadian Regional NAIRU Estimates: A Structural Break Approach," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 45(1).
    2. Firouz Fallahi & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2011. "Convergence In The Canadian Provinces: Evidence Using Unemployment Rates," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2011-322, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Persistence; Unemployment; Unit Root; Break Dates; Canadian Provinces.;

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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