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Projections of oil demand in road transportation sector on the basis of vehicle ownership projections, worldwide: 1972–2020

Author

Listed:
  • Keshavarzian, Maryam
  • Kamali Anaraki, Sara
  • Zamani, Mehrzad
  • Erfanifard, Ali

Abstract

Oil demand in the road transportation section accounts for more than 50% of total world oil consumption amongst the whole sectors, including road, aviation, railway, waterways and international marine transportation. The high demand rate of oil makes this sector the main and major oil consumer in the world. The vehicle ownership or intensity of vehicles is one of the main factors which determines the development of oil demand in this major sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Keshavarzian, Maryam & Kamali Anaraki, Sara & Zamani, Mehrzad & Erfanifard, Ali, 2012. "Projections of oil demand in road transportation sector on the basis of vehicle ownership projections, worldwide: 1972–2020," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 1979-1985.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:29:y:2012:i:5:p:1979-1985
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.06.009
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Tian Wu & Mengbo Zhang & Xunmin Ou, 2014. "Analysis of Future Vehicle Energy Demand in China Based on a Gompertz Function Method and Computable General Equilibrium Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 7(11), pages 1-29, November.
    2. Grigorios Fountas & Ya-Yen Sun & Ortzi Akizu-Gardoki & Francesco Pomponi, 2020. "How Do People Move Around? National Data on Transport Modal Shares for 131 Countries," World, MDPI, vol. 1(1), pages 1-10, June.
    3. Adom, Philip Kofi & Amakye, Kwaku & Barnor, Charles & Quartey, George & Bekoe, William, 2016. "Shift in demand elasticities, road energy forecast and the persistence profile of shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 189-206.
    4. Liao, Weijun & Fan, Ying & Wang, Chunan, 2022. "How does COVID-19 affect the implementation of CORSIA?," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    5. Hooman Farzaneh & Jose A. Puppim de Oliveira & Benjamin McLellan & Hideaki Ohgaki, 2019. "Towards a Low Emission Transport System: Evaluating the Public Health and Environmental Benefits," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-17, September.
    6. Yi-Xuan Gao & Hua Liao & Paul J. Burke & Yi-Ming Wei, 2015. "Road transport energy consumption in the G7 and BRICS: 1973-2010," International Journal of Global Energy Issues, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 38(4/5/6), pages 342-356.
    7. Cheng, An & Jiang, Guogang & Teng, Xiangyu & Xu, Wenting & Li, Yimin & Wu, Longhui & Chiu, Yung-ho, 2024. "Changes in low-carbon transportation efficiency of Chinese roads after considering the impact of new energy vehicles," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 28-43.

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