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Capturing common components in high-frequency financial time series: A multivariate stochastic multiplicative error model

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  • Hautsch, Nikolaus

Abstract

We model high-frequency trading processes by a multivariate multiplicative error model that is driven by component-specific observation driven dynamics as well as a common latent autoregressive factor. The model is estimated using efficient importance sampling techniques. Applying the model to 5Â min return volatilities, trade sizes and trading intensities from four liquid stocks traded at the NYSE, we show that a subordinated common process drives the individual components and captures a substantial part of the dynamics and cross-dependencies of the variables. Common shocks mainly affect the return volatility and the trade size. Moreover, we identify effects that capture rather genuine relationships between the individual trading variables.

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  • Hautsch, Nikolaus, 2008. "Capturing common components in high-frequency financial time series: A multivariate stochastic multiplicative error model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(12), pages 3978-4015, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:32:y:2008:i:12:p:3978-4015
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    Cited by:

    1. Markus Engler & Vahidin Jeleskovic, 2016. "Intraday volatility, trading volume and trading intensity in the interbank market e-MID," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201648, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    2. Nikolaus Hautsch & Vahidin Jeleskovic, 2008. "Modelling High-Frequency Volatility and Liquidity Using Multiplicative Error Models," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2008-047, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
    3. Kul B. Luintel & Yongdeng Xu, 2017. "Testing weak exogeneity in multiplicative error models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(10), pages 1617-1630, October.
    4. Matteo Barigozzi & Christian T. Brownlees & Giampiero M. Gallo & David Veredas, 2010. "Disentangling Systematic and Idiosyncratic Risk for Large Panels of Assets," Econometrics Working Papers Archive wp2010_06, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
    5. David German & Henry Schellhorn, 2012. "A No-Arbitrage Model of Liquidity in Financial Markets involving Brownian Sheets," Papers 1206.4804, arXiv.org.
    6. Bodnar, Taras & Hautsch, Nikolaus, 2016. "Dynamic conditional correlation multiplicative error processes," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 41-67.
    7. Hautsch, Nikolaus & Hess, Dieter & Veredas, David, 2011. "The impact of macroeconomic news on quote adjustments, noise, and informational volatility," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(10), pages 2733-2746, October.
    8. Fabrizio Cipollini & Robert F. Engle & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2017. "Copula–Based vMEM Specifications versus Alternatives: The Case of Trading Activity," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-24, April.
    9. Ng, F.C. & Li, W.K. & Yu, Philip L.H., 2016. "Diagnostic checking of the vector multiplicative error model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 86-97.
    10. Karanasos, Menelaos & Xu, Yongdeng & Yfanti, Stavroula, 2017. "Constrained QML Estimation for Multivariate Asymmetric MEM with Spillovers: The Practicality of Matrix Inequalities," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2017/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    11. Chen, Fei & Diebold, Francis X. & Schorfheide, Frank, 2013. "A Markov-switching multifractal inter-trade duration model, with application to US equities," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 320-342.
    12. Christian T. Brownlees & Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2011. "Multiplicative Error Models," Econometrics Working Papers Archive 2011_03, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti", revised Apr 2011.
    13. Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2021. "Multiplicative Error Models: 20 years on," Papers 2107.05923, arXiv.org.
    14. Sergey Lototsky & Henry Schellhorn & Ran Zhao, 2016. "A String Model of Liquidity in Financial Markets," Papers 1608.05900, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2018.
    15. Brownlees Christian T. & Vannucci Marina, 2013. "A Bayesian approach for capturing daily heterogeneity in intra-daily durations time series," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 21-46, February.
    16. Fabrizio Cipollini & Robert F. Engle & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2016. "Copula--based Specification of vector MEMs," Papers 1604.01338, arXiv.org.
    17. Groß-Klußmann, Axel & Hautsch, Nikolaus, 2011. "When machines read the news: Using automated text analytics to quantify high frequency news-implied market reactions," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 321-340, March.
    18. Ke, Rui & Lu, Wanbo & Jia, Jing, 2021. "Evaluating multiplicative error models: A residual-based approach," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    19. Taras Bodnar & Nikolaus Hautsch, 2012. "Copula-Based Dynamic Conditional Correlation Multiplicative Error Processes," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2012-044, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
    20. Barigozzi, Matteo & Brownlees, Christian & Gallo, Giampiero M. & Veredas, David, 2014. "Disentangling systematic and idiosyncratic dynamics in panels of volatility measures," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(2), pages 364-384.
    21. Groß-Klußmann, Axel & Hautsch, Nikolaus, 2009. "Quantifying high-frequency market reactions to real-time news sentiment announcements," CFS Working Paper Series 2009/31, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    22. Arango, Ignacio & Agudelo, Diego A., 2019. "How does information disclosure affect liquidity? Evidence from an emerging market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    23. N. Taylor & Y. Xu, 2017. "The logarithmic vector multiplicative error model: an application to high frequency NYSE stock data," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(7), pages 1021-1035, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Multiplicative error model Common factor Efficient importance sampling Intra-day trading process;

    JEL classification:

    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection

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