IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/chieco/v94y2025ipcs1043951x25002536.html

Invoicing currency and settlement currency: An empirical study and implications for RMB internationalization

Author

Listed:
  • Liu, Tao
  • Wang, Xiaosong
  • Woo, Wing Thye

Abstract

This paper studies the relationship between invoicing currency and settlement currency in international trade. First we build a three-country model to highlight the various drivers of currency choices. Then, with a country-level dataset from 2011 to 2017, we confirm a positive feedback between the dual functions of international currencies. For example, in a country’s export, a 1% increase of USD as settlement (invoicing) currency would raise the USD share in invoicing (settlement) currency by 0.47% (0.27%). Such pattern largely holds for USD and EUR in various empirical specifications, but it is not robust for other currencies. We further discuss the implications for RMB, which has considerable international influence as a settlement currency but still lags behind as an invoicing currency.

Suggested Citation

  • Liu, Tao & Wang, Xiaosong & Woo, Wing Thye, 2025. "Invoicing currency and settlement currency: An empirical study and implications for RMB internationalization," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 94(PC).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:chieco:v:94:y:2025:i:pc:s1043951x25002536
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2025.102595
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1043951X25002536
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.chieco.2025.102595?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mr. Thomas William Dorsey & Mika Saito & Armine Khachatryan & Ms. Irena Asmundson & Ioana Niculcea, 2011. "Trade and Trade Finance in the 2008-09 Financial Crisis," IMF Working Papers 2011/016, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Goldberg, Linda S. & Tille, Cédric, 2016. "Micro, macro, and strategic forces in international trade invoicing: Synthesis and novel patterns," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 173-187.
    3. Hélène Rey, 2001. "International Trade and Currency Exchange," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 68(2), pages 443-464.
    4. Matteo Maggiori & Brent Neiman & Jesse Schreger, 2020. "International Currencies and Capital Allocation," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 128(6), pages 2019-2066.
    5. Benjamin J. Cohen, 2014. "Will History Repeat Itself? Lessons for the Yuan," ADBI Working Papers 453, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    6. Jeffrey Frankel, 2012. "Internationalization of the RMB and Historical Precedents," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 27, pages 329-365.
    7. He, Qing & Korhonen, Iikka & Guo, Junjie & Liu, Fangge, 2016. "The geographic distribution of international currencies and RMB internationalization," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 442-458.
    8. Saleem Bahaj & Ricardo Reis, 2020. "Jumpstarting an International Currency," Discussion Papers 2015, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    9. Gita Gopinath & Oleg Itskhoki & Roberto Rigobon, 2010. "Currency Choice and Exchange Rate Pass-Through," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(1), pages 304-336, March.
    10. Gita Gopinath & Emine Boz & Camila Casas & Federico J. Díez & Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Mikkel Plagborg-Møller, 2020. "Dominant Currency Paradigm," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 110(3), pages 677-719, March.
    11. Christopher Clayton & Amanda Dos Santos & Matteo Maggiori & Jesse Schreger, 2025. "Internationalizing Like China," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 115(3), pages 864-902, March.
    12. Martin, Philippe & Rey, Helene, 2004. "Financial super-markets: size matters for asset trade," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(2), pages 335-361, December.
    13. Kamps, Annette, 2006. "The euro as invoicing currency in international trade," Working Paper Series 665, European Central Bank.
    14. Yusuru Ozeki & Mr. George S Tavlas, 1992. "The Internationalization of Currencies: An Appraisal of the Japanese Yen," IMF Occasional Papers 1992/001, International Monetary Fund.
    15. Sato, Kiyotaka & Shimizu, Junko, 2018. "International use of the renminbi for invoice currency and exchange risk management: Evidence from the Japanese firm-level data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 286-301.
    16. Mukhin, Dmitry, 2022. "An equilibrium model of the international price system," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 112500, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    17. Goldberg, Linda S. & Tille, Cédric, 2008. "Vehicle currency use in international trade," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(2), pages 177-192, December.
    18. Friberg, Richard & Wilander, Fredrik, 2008. "The currency denomination of exports -- A questionnaire study," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(1), pages 54-69, May.
    19. Christopher Clayton & Matteo Maggiori & Jesse Schreger, 2026. "A Framework for Geoeconomics," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 94(1), pages 105-136, January.
    20. Ding, Shuze & Puzzello, Daniela, 2020. "Legal restrictions and international currencies: An experimental approach," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    21. Batten, Jonathan A. & Szilagyi, Peter G., 2016. "The internationalisation of the RMB: New starts, jumps and tipping points," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 221-238.
    22. Novy, Dennis, "undated". "Hedge Your Costs: Exchange Rate Risk and Endogenous Currency Invoicing," Economic Research Papers 269735, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
    23. Boz, Emine & Casas, Camila & Georgiadis, Georgios & Gopinath, Gita & Le Mezo, Helena & Mehl, Arnaud & Nguyen, Tra, 2022. "Patterns of invoicing currency in global trade: New evidence," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    24. Kiyotaka Sato, 2003. "Currency Invoicing in Japanese Exports to East Asia: Implications for Yen Internationalization," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 17(2), pages 129-154, June.
    25. Devereux, Michael B. & Dong, Wei & Tomlin, Ben, 2017. "Importers and exporters in exchange rate pass-through and currency invoicing," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 187-204.
    26. Marco Cipriani & Linda S. Goldberg & Gabriele La Spada, 2023. "Financial Sanctions, SWIFT, and the Architecture of the International Payment System," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 37(1), pages 31-52, Winter.
    27. Liu, Tao & Wang, Xiaosong & Woo, Wing Thye, 2022. "The rise of Renminbi in Asia: Evidence from Network Analysis and SWIFT dataset," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    28. Pedro Gomis-Porqueras & Timothy Kam & Christopher Waller, 2017. "Nominal Exchange Rate Determinacy under the Threat of Currency Counterfeiting," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 9(2), pages 256-273, April.
    29. Chinn, Menzie D. & Frankel, Jeffrey A. & Ito, Hiro, 2024. "The dollar versus the euro as international reserve currencies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    30. Bacchetta, Philippe & van Wincoop, Eric, 2005. "A theory of the currency denomination of international trade," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(2), pages 295-319, December.
    31. Liu, Tao & Lu, Dong & Woo, Wing Thye, 2019. "Trade, finance and international currency," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 374-413.
    32. Hiroo Taguchi, 1994. "On the Internationalization of the Japanese Yen," NBER Chapters, in: Macroeconomic Linkage: Savings, Exchange Rates, and Capital Flows, pages 335-357, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    33. He, Qing & Liang, Bailin & Liu, Junyi, 2024. "RMB internationalization and exchange rate exposure of Chinese listed firms," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    34. Chung, Wanyu, 2016. "Imported inputs and invoicing currency choice: Theory and evidence from UK transaction data," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 237-250.
    35. Dmitry Mukhin, 2022. "An Equilibrium Model of the International Price System," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(2), pages 650-688, February.
    36. Zhang, Cathy, 2014. "An information-based theory of international currency," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(2), pages 286-301.
    37. Shin-ichi Fukuda, 1996. "The Structural Determinants of Invoice Currencies in Japan: The Case of Foreign Trade with East Asian Countries," NBER Chapters, in: Financial Deregulation and Integration in East Asia, pages 147-165, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    38. Mary Amiti & Oleg Itskhoki & Jozef Konings, 2022. "Dominant Currencies: How Firms Choose Currency Invoicing and Why it Matters," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 137(3), pages 1435-1493.
    39. Manuel Arellano & Stephen Bond, 1991. "Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 58(2), pages 277-297.
    40. repec:osf:socarx:r2msa_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
    41. Tony Zhang, 2022. "Monetary Policy Spillovers through Invoicing Currencies," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(1), pages 129-161, February.
    42. Barry Eichengreen & Marc Flandreau, 2012. "The Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the Rise of the Dollar as an International Currency, 1914–1939," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 57-87, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tao Liu & Dong Lu & Liang Wang, 2025. "Hegemony or Harmony? A Unified Framework for the International Monetary System," Working Papers 202504, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
    2. Tao Liu & Dong Lu & Liang Wang, 2023. "Hegemony or Harmony? A Unified Framework for the International Monetary System," Working Papers 202305, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
    3. Boz, Emine & Casas, Camila & Georgiadis, Georgios & Gopinath, Gita & Le Mezo, Helena & Mehl, Arnaud & Nguyen, Tra, 2022. "Patterns of invoicing currency in global trade: New evidence," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    4. Liu, Tao & Wang, Xiaosong & Woo, Wing Thye, 2019. "The road to currency internationalization: Global perspectives and chinese experience," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 73-101.
    5. Liu, Tao & Lu, Dong, 2019. "Trade, finance and endogenous invoicing currency: Theory and firm-level evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 21-44.
    6. Liu, Tao & Lu, Dong & Woo, Wing Thye, 2019. "Trade, finance and international currency," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 374-413.
    7. Son, Minkyu, 2026. "The path to currency internationalization: Insights from the Chinese renminbi," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    8. Benguria, Felipe & Wagner, Rodrigo, 2024. "Trade invoicing currencies and exchange rate pass-through: The introduction of the euro as a natural experiment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    9. Cook, David & Patel, Nikhil, 2023. "Dollar invoicing, global value chains, and the business cycle dynamics of international trade," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    10. Natalie Chen & Wanyu Chung & Dennis Novy, 2022. "Vehicle Currency Pricing and Exchange Rate Pass-Through," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 20(1), pages 312-351.
    11. Han, Han & Liu, Tao & Lu, Dong, 2026. "The announcement effect on international currency choices: Theory and evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    12. Antoine Berthou, 2023. "International sanctions and the dollar: Evidence from trade invoicing," Working papers 924, Banque de France.
    13. Alina Iancu & Gareth Anderson & Sakai Ando & Ethan Boswell & Andrea Gamba & Shushanik Hakobyan & Lusine Lusinyan & Neil Meads & Yiqun Wu, 2022. "Reserve Currencies in an Evolving International Monetary System," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(5), pages 879-915, November.
    14. Tao Liu & Xiaosong Wang & Wing Thye Woo, 2024. "Network effect and international currency," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 126(3), pages 600-626, July.
    15. Corsetti, Giancarlo & Crowley, Meredith & Han, Lu, 2022. "Invoicing and the dynamics of pricing-to-market: Evidence from UK export prices around the Brexit referendum," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    16. Xie, Oliver, 2024. "Financial Hedging and Optimal Currency of Invoicing," SocArXiv v8zdk, Center for Open Science.
    17. repec:osf:socarx:v8zdk_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Mukhin, Dmitry, 2022. "An equilibrium model of the international price system," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 112500, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    19. Liu, Tao & Lu, Dong & Zhang, Ruifeng, 2017. "Currency choice in international trade: a new monetarist approach and firm-level evidence," MPRA Paper 79149, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Linda S. Goldberg, 2011. "The international role of the dollar: Does it matter if this changes?," Staff Reports 522, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    21. Georgiadis, Georgios & Schumann, Ben, 2021. "Dominant-currency pricing and the global output spillovers from US dollar appreciation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:chieco:v:94:y:2025:i:pc:s1043951x25002536. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/chieco .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.