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Valuation of wind power distributed generation by using Longstaff–Schwartz option pricing method

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  • Díaz, Guzmán
  • Moreno, Blanca
  • Coto, José
  • Gómez-Aleixandre, Javier

Abstract

In the context of decaying capital cost and uncertain revenues, prospective valuation of a wind power distributed generation (DG) project is difficult. The conventional net present value (NPV) presents a static picture that does not account for the value of waiting for better market conditions to proceed with a DG investment. On the contrary, real options (RO) analysis does account for the managerial flexibility to switch between options over the investment horizon.

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  • Díaz, Guzmán & Moreno, Blanca & Coto, José & Gómez-Aleixandre, Javier, 2015. "Valuation of wind power distributed generation by using Longstaff–Schwartz option pricing method," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 223-233.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:145:y:2015:i:c:p:223-233
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.02.046
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    6. Kitzing, Lena & Juul, Nina & Drud, Michael & Boomsma, Trine Krogh, 2017. "A real options approach to analyse wind energy investments under different support schemes," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 83-96.
    7. Didier Nibbering & Coos van Buuren & Wei Wei, 2021. "Real Options Valuation of Wind Energy Based on the Empirical Production Uncertainty," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 19/21, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    8. Díaz, Guzmán & Moreno, Blanca, 2016. "Valuation under uncertain energy prices and load demands of micro-CHP plants supplemented by optimally switched thermal energy storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 553-569.

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