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Partial Distributional Policy Effects

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  • Christoph Rothe

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a method to evaluate the effect of a counterfactual change in the unconditional distribution of a single covariate on the unconditional distribution of an outcome variable of interest. Both fixed and infinitesimal changes are considered. We show that such effects are point identified under general conditions if the covariate affected by the counterfactual change is continuously distributed, but are typically only partially identified if its distribution is discrete. For the latter case, we derive informative bounds making use of the available information. We also discuss estimation and inference.
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Suggested Citation

  • Christoph Rothe, 2012. "Partial Distributional Policy Effects," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 80(5), pages 2269-2301, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecm:emetrp:v:80:y:2012:i:5:p:2269-2301
    DOI: ECTA9671
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.3982/ECTA9671
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    as
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    Cited by:

    1. Victor Chernozhukov & Iván Fernández‐Val & Blaise Melly, 2013. "Inference on Counterfactual Distributions," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 81(6), pages 2205-2268, November.
    2. Pallab Kumar Ghosh & Jae Yoon Lee, 2016. "Decomposition of Changes in Korean Wage Inequality, 1998–2007," Journal of Labor Research, Springer, vol. 37(1), pages 1-28, March.
    3. Samantha Leorato & Franco Peracchi, 2015. "Comparing Distribution and Quantile Regression," EIEF Working Papers Series 1511, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Oct 2015.
    4. Michael J. Kottelenberg & Steven F. Lehrer, 2014. "Do the Perils of Universal Childcare Depend on the Child’s Age?," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo, vol. 60(2), pages 338-365.
    5. Ghosh, Pallab Kumar, 2014. "The contribution of human capital variables to changes in the wage distribution function," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 58-69.
    6. Liang, Che-Yuan, 2018. "Taxes and Household Labor Supply: Estimating Distributional Effects of Nonlinear Prices on Multidimensional Choice," Working Paper Series 2018:2, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
    7. SOLOGON Denisa & VAN KERM Philippe & LI Jinjing & O'DONOGHUE Cathal, 2018. "Accounting for Differences in Income Inequality across Countries: Ireland and the United Kingdom," LISER Working Paper Series 2018-01, LISER.
    8. Pallab Ghosh & Jae Lee, 2016. "Decomposition of Changes in Korean Wage Inequality, 1998–2007," Journal of Labor Research, Springer, vol. 37(1), pages 1-28, March.
    9. Pablo Lavado & Gonzalo Rivera, 2016. "Identifying Treatment Effects with Data Combination and Unobserved Heterogeneity," Working Papers 2016-79, Peruvian Economic Association.
    10. Pablo Lavado, "undated". "Identifying Treatment Effects and Counterfactual Distributions using Data Combination with Unobserved Heterogeneity," Working Papers 13-25, Departamento de Economía, Universidad del Pacífico.
    11. repec:gam:jecnmx:v:6:y:2018:i:2:p:28-:d:149033 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Franco Peracchi & Samantha Leorato, 2015. "Shape Regressions," Working Papers gueconwpa~15-15-06, Georgetown University, Department of Economics.
    13. Wolski, Marcin, 2018. "Sovereign risk and corporate cost of borrowing: Evidence from a counterfactual study," EIB Working Papers 2018/05, European Investment Bank (EIB).
    14. Christoph Rothe & Dominik Wied, 2013. "Misspecification Testing in a Class of Conditional Distributional Models," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 108(501), pages 314-324, March.
    15. Stanislav Anatolyev & Jozef Barunik, 2017. "A simple model for forecasting conditional return distributions," Papers 1711.05681, arXiv.org.
    16. Zheng Fang & Chris Sakellariou, 2013. "Evolution of Urban–rural Living Standards Inequality in Thailand: 1990–2006," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 27(3), pages 285-306, September.
    17. Pablo Lavado & Gonzalo Rivera, 2015. "Identifying treatment effects and counterfactual distributions using data combination with unobserved heterogeneity," Working Papers 15-14, Centro de Investigación, Universidad del Pacífico.
    18. Roger Koenker & Samantha Leorato & Franco Peracchi, 2013. "Distributional vs. Quantile Regression," EIEF Working Papers Series 1329, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Dec 2013.
    19. Thomschke, Lorenz, 2015. "Changes in the distribution of rental prices in Berlin," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 88-100.
    20. Sakellariou, Chris, 2012. "Decomposing the increase in TIMSS Scores in Ghana : 2003-2007," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6084, The World Bank.
    21. B. Essama-Nssah & Peter J. Lambert, 2011. "Influence functions for distributional statistics," Working Papers 236, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.
    22. Daniel Dugger & Peter Lambert, 2014. "The 1913 paper of René Gâteaux, upon which the modern-day influence function is based," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 12(1), pages 149-152, March.
    23. VAN KERM Philippe & YU Seunghee & CHOE Chung, 2014. "Wage differentials between native, immigrant and cross-border workers: Evidence and model comparisons," LISER Working Paper Series 2014-05, LISER.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models

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