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Zur Robustheit des ifo Geschäftsklimaindikators in Bezug auf fehlende Werte

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  • Christian Seiler

Abstract

Seit 1949 erhebt das ifo Institut monatlich Daten zur wirtschaftlichen Lage der Unternehmen in Deutschland. Das Instrument der Datenerhebung ist, wie in vielen sozioökonomischen Disziplinen, die direkte Befragung der Firmen. Ein bekanntes Phänomen, das im Befragungsprozess auftreten kann, sind fehlende Angaben zu einzelnen Fragen oder sogar die Nicht-Beantwortung des gesamten Fragebogens. Der vorliegende Artikel zeigt, dass die Ergebnisse des ifo Konjunkturtests sehr stabil gegenüber Antwortausfällen sind und diese insbesondere nicht zu einer Verschlechterung der Prognoseleistung des Geschäftsklimaindikators führen.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Seiler, 2012. "Zur Robustheit des ifo Geschäftsklimaindikators in Bezug auf fehlende Werte," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(17), pages 19-22, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:65:y:2012:i:17:p:19-22
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    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/ifosd_2012_17_2.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Christian Seiler, 2015. "On the robustness of balance statistics with respect to nonresponse," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2014(2), pages 45-62.
    2. Seiler, Christian & Heumann, Christian, 2013. "Microdata imputations and macrodata implications: Evidence from the Ifo Business Survey," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 722-733.
    3. Christian Seiler, 2010. "Dynamic Modelling of Nonresponse in Business Surveys," ifo Working Paper Series 93, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    4. Beate Schirwitz & Christian Seiler & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2009. "Regionale Konjunkturzyklen in Deutschland – Teil II: Die Zyklendatierung," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(14), pages 24-31, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Christian Seiler & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Das ifo Geschäftsklima und die deutsche Konjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(18), pages 17-21, October.

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    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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