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On the Future of Inflation Targeting in East Asia

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  • Ulrich Volz

Abstract

This article analyzes the problems associated with inflation targeting (IT) regimes in a number of East Asian countries. It scrutinizes the policy conflicts that can arise when a central bank that has adopted a formal inflation target to guide the conduct of monetary policy simultaneously manages the exchange rate and pursues financial stability objectives. To this end, it empirically investigates the importance of exchange rate and terms of trade movements as determinants of inflation rates across East Asian economies and discusses the role of central banks in guarding financial stability and the ways this may conflict with an IT regime. The article argues that IT never really has been a suitable monetary framework for East Asian countries and that it should hence be supplanted by transparent monetary frameworks that explicitly recognize the multiple goals that are being pursued by East Asian central banks.

Suggested Citation

  • Ulrich Volz, 2015. "On the Future of Inflation Targeting in East Asia," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(3), pages 638-652, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:rdevec:v:19:y:2015:i:3:p:638-652
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/rode.12173
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    Cited by:

    1. Valera, Harold Glenn A. & Holmes, Mark J. & Hassan, Gazi M., 2017. "How credible is inflation targeting in Asia? A quantile unit root perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 194-210.
    2. David Finck & Peter Tillmann, 2022. "The Role of Global and Domestic Shocks for Inflation Dynamics: Evidence from Asia," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(5), pages 1181-1208, October.
    3. Constantine, Collin & Direye, Eli & Khemraj, Tarron, 2019. "Central Bank Bills and the Exchange Rate: The Case of Papua New Guinea," MPRA Paper 101264, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Direye, Eli & Khemraj, Tarron, 2021. "Central bank securities and FX market intervention in a developing economy," MPRA Paper 111533, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 09 Aug 2021.
    5. Eli Direye & Tarron Khemraj, 2022. "Central bank securities and foreign exchange market intervention in a developing economy," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(1), pages 280-297, February.

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