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A discrete‐time hazard analysis of the exit of burley tobacco growers in Tennessee, North Carolina, and Virginia

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  • Kelly J. Tiller
  • Shiferaw T. Feleke
  • Jane H. Starnes

Abstract

This article examines the exit and survival dynamics of burley tobacco growers in Tennessee, North Carolina, and Virginia using a discrete‐time hazard logit model. The study also predicts the effects of selected farm and family characteristics on exit hazards, assesses the proportionality of their effects over time and their relative importance in explaining the variation in exit hazards among burley tobacco growers. Results provide the longitudinal progression of the probability of exiting the tobacco industry since the end of the federal tobacco program in 2004, and identify off‐farm participation, percentage of farm receipts from tobacco, tobacco price, educational level, and farm size as the most important determinants of the decision to exit the tobacco industry. Further, the effects of off‐farm participation and farm size on the exit hazards of burley tobacco farms are proportional over time while the effects of the percentage of farm receipts from tobacco and tobacco price are time variant.

Suggested Citation

  • Kelly J. Tiller & Shiferaw T. Feleke & Jane H. Starnes, 2010. "A discrete‐time hazard analysis of the exit of burley tobacco growers in Tennessee, North Carolina, and Virginia," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 41(5), pages 397-408, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:agecon:v:41:y:2010:i:5:p:397-408
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1574-0862.2010.00453.x
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    2. Tianzhi Gao & Yaqin Ren & Qian Lu & Hui Feng, 2023. "Conservation Tillage Technology: A Study on the Duration from Awareness to Adoption and Its Influencing Factors—Based on the Survey of the Yellow River Basin in China," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-17, June.
    3. Sarah Ann Wheeler & Alec Zuo, 2017. "The impact of drought and water scarcity on irrigator farm exit intentions in the Murray–Darling Basin," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 61(3), pages 404-421, July.
    4. Khataza, Robertson R.B. & Doole, Graeme J. & Kragt, Marit E. & Hailu, Atakelty, 2018. "Information acquisition, learning and the adoption of conservation agriculture in Malawi: A discrete-time duration analysis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 299-307.

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