IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bes/jnlasa/v105i492y2010p1554-1565.html

Combining Nonparametric and Optimal Linear Time Series Predictions

Author

Listed:
  • Dabo-Niang, Sophie
  • Francq, Christian
  • Zakoïan, Jean-Michel

Abstract

We introduce a semiparametric procedure for more efficient prediction of a strictly stationaryprocess admitting an ARMA representation. The procedure is based on the estimation of the ARMArepresentation, followed by a nonparametric regression where the ARMA residuals are used as explanatoryvariables. Compared to standard nonparametric regression methods, the number of explanatory variablescan be reduced because our approach exploits the linear dependence of the process. We establish consistencyand asymptotic normality results. A Monte Carlo study and an empirical application on stockindices suggest that significant gains can be achieved with our approach.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Dabo-Niang, Sophie & Francq, Christian & Zakoïan, Jean-Michel, 2010. "Combining Nonparametric and Optimal Linear Time Series Predictions," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 105(492), pages 1554-1565.
    • Handle: RePEc:bes:jnlasa:v:105:i:492:y:2010:p:1554-1565
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://pubs.amstat.org/doi/abs/10.1198/jasa.2010.tm09549
    File Function: full text
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or

    for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Herwartz, Helmut, 2017. "Stock return prediction under GARCH — An empirical assessment," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 569-580.
    2. Ardelean, Vlad & Pleier, Thomas, 2013. "Outliers & predicting time series: A comparative study," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 05/2013, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bes:jnlasa:v:105:i:492:y:2010:p:1554-1565. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Christopher F. Baum (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.amstat.org/publications/jasa/index.cfm?fuseaction=main .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.