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An Evaluation of Outlook Information for Australian Agricultural Commodities

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  • Freebairn, John W.

Abstract

This paper reviews the literature on the production, dissemination and use made of market outlook information for agricultural commodities. It focuses on the requirements and demand for market outlook information, the level of accuracy of information currently available, of future prospective gains in accuracy, some estimates of the value of outlook information, and government participation in the supply of outlook information.

Suggested Citation

  • Freebairn, John W., 1978. "An Evaluation of Outlook Information for Australian Agricultural Commodities," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 46(03), pages 1-21, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:remaae:10307
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.10307
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    File URL: http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/10307/files/46030294.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Christ, Carl F, 1975. "Judging the Performance of Econometric Models of the U.S. Economy," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 16(1), pages 54-74, February.
    2. Bonnen, James T., 1975. "Improving Information on agriculture and Rural Life," 1975 Annual Meeting, August 10-13, Columbus, Ohio 284091, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    3. Dillon, John L., 1971. "An Expository Review of Bernoullian Decision Theory in Agriculture: Is Utility Futility?," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 39(01), pages 1-78, March.
    4. Jonson, P D & Mahoney, D M, 1973. "Price Expectations in Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 49(125), pages 50-61, March.
    5. Freebairn, J W, 1976. "The Value and Distribution of the Benefits of Commodity Price Outlook Information," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 52(138), pages 199-212, June.
    6. B. S. Fisher & Carolyn Tanner, 1978. "The Formulation of Price Expectations: An Empirical Test of Theoretical Models," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 60(2), pages 245-248.
    7. Tomek, William G. & Robinson, Kenneth L., 1977. "Agricultural Price Analysis and Outlook," A Survey of Agricultural Economics Literature, Volume 1: Traditional Fields of Agricultural Economics 1940s to 1970s,, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    8. Smith, A W & Smith, R L, 1976. "A Model of the Australian Farm Sector: A Progress Report," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 52(140), pages 462-482, December.
    9. Derek R. Byerlee & Jock R. Anderson, 1969. "Value Of Predictors Of Uncontrolled Factors In Response Functions," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 13(2), pages 118-127, December.
    10. John W. Freebairn, 1975. "Forecasting For Australian Agriculture," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 19(3), pages 154-174, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sanders, Dwight R. & Manfredo, Mark R. & Boris, Keith, 2009. "Evaluating information in multiple horizon forecasts: The DOE's energy price forecasts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 189-196.
    2. Manfredo, Mark R. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2004. "The Value of Public Price Forecasts: Additional Evidence in the Live Hog Market," Journal of Agribusiness, Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia, vol. 22(2), pages 1-13.
    3. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Isengildina, Olga, 2006. "The Value of USDA Situation and Outlook Information in Hog and Cattle Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 31(2), pages 1-21, August.
    4. Lusk, Jayson L., 2016. "From Farm Income to Food Consumption: Valuing USDA Data Products," C-FARE Reports 266593, Council on Food, Agricultural, and Resource Economics (C-FARE).
    5. Sanders, Dwight R. & Manfredo, Mark R. & Boris, Keith, 2008. "Accuracy and efficiency in the U.S. Department of Energy's short-term supply forecasts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 1192-1207, May.
    6. Pluske, Johanna M. & Fraser, Rob W., 1995. "Can Producers Place Valid and Reliable Valuations on Wool Price-Risk Information?," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 63(02), pages 1-8, August.
    7. Ates, Aaron M. & Lusk, Jayson L. & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2019. "Forecasting Meat Prices Using Consumer Expectations from the Food Demand Survey (FooDS)," Journal of Food Distribution Research, Food Distribution Research Society, vol. 50(1), March.
    8. Lindner, Robert K., 1987. "Toward A Framework For Evaluating Agricultural Economics Research," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 31(2), pages 1-17, August.
    9. Andrew M. McKenzie & Jessica L. Darby, 2017. "Information Content of USDA Rice Reports and Price Reactions of Rice Futures," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 552-568, September.
    10. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Scott H. Irwin & Darrel L. Good & Jennifer K. Gomez, 2008. "Impact of WASDE reports on implied volatility in corn and soybean markets," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(4), pages 473-490.

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