IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/aen/journl/ej41-2-green.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Optimal Storage, Investment and Management under Uncertainty: It is Costly to Avoid Outages!

Author

Listed:
  • Joachim Geske and Richard Green

Abstract

We show how electricity storage is operated optimally when the load net of renewable output is uncertain. We estimate a diurnal Markov-process representation of how Germany's residual load changed from hour to hour and design a simple dynamic stochastic electricity system model with non-intermittent generation technologies and storage. We derive the optimal storage, generator output and capacity levels. If storage capacity replaces some generation capacity, the optimal storage strategy must balance arbitrage (between periods of high and low marginal cost) against precautionary storage to ensure energy is available throughout a long peak in net demand. Solving the model numerically under uncertainty (only the transition probabilities to future loads are known), we compare the results to perfect foresight findings. The latter over-estimate the cost-saving potential of energy storage by 27%, as storage can take up arbitrage opportunities that would not be chosen if there was a need for precautionary storage.

Suggested Citation

  • Joachim Geske and Richard Green, 2020. "Optimal Storage, Investment and Management under Uncertainty: It is Costly to Avoid Outages!," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2), pages 1-28.
    • Handle: RePEc:aen:journl:ej41-2-green
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.iaee.org/en/publications/ejarticle.aspx?id=3475
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to IAEE members and subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Böhringer, Christoph & Rosendahl, Knut Einar, 2022. "Europe beyond coal – An economic and climate impact assessment," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    2. Topalović, Zejneba & Haas, Reinhard & Ajanović, Amela & Hiesl, Albert, 2022. "Economics of electric energy storage. The case of Western Balkans," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PA).
    3. Newbery, David, 2021. "National Energy and Climate Plans for the island of Ireland: wind curtailment, interconnectors and storage," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    4. Reinhard Haas & Claudia Kemfert & Hans Auer & Amela Ajanovic & Marlene Sayer & Albert Hiesl, 2022. "On the economics of storage for electricity: Current state and future market design prospects," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(3), May.
    5. Best, Rohan & Li, Han & Trück, Stefan & Truong, Chi, 2021. "Actual uptake of home batteries: The key roles of capital and policy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    6. Albert Hiesl & Amela Ajanovic & Reinhard Haas, 2020. "On current and future economics of electricity storage," Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 10(6), pages 1176-1192, December.
    7. Gorman, Will & Montañés, Cristina Crespo & Mills, Andrew & Kim, James Hyungkwan & Millstein, Dev & Wiser, Ryan, 2022. "Are coupled renewable-battery power plants more valuable than independently sited installations?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    8. Antweiler, Werner, 2021. "Microeconomic models of electricity storage: Price Forecasting, arbitrage limits, curtailment insurance, and transmission line utilization," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F0 - International Economics - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:aen:journl:ej41-2-green. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: David Williams (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iaeeeea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.