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Long-term memory in electricity prices: Czech market evidence

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  • Ladislav Kristoufek
  • Petra Lunackova

Abstract

We analyze long-term memory properties of hourly prices of electricity in the Czech Republic between 2009 and 2012. As the dynamics of the electricity prices is dominated by cycles -- mainly intraday and daily -- we opt for the detrended fluctuation analysis, which is well suited for such specific series. We find that the electricity prices are non-stationary but strongly mean-reverting which distinguishes them from other financial assets which are usually characterized as unit root series. Such description is attributed to specific features of electricity prices, mainly to non-storability. Additionally, we argue that the rapid mean-reversion is due to the principles of electricity spot prices. These properties are shown to be stable across all studied years.

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File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1309.0582
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Paper provided by arXiv.org in its series Papers with number 1309.0582.

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Date of creation: Sep 2013
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Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1309.0582
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Find related papers by JEL classification:
  • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
  • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
  • L94 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Electric Utilities

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