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On The Impact Of Fundamentals, Liquidity, And Coordination On Market Stability

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  • Jón Daníelsson
  • Francisco Peñaranda

Abstract

We develop a coordination game to model interactions between fundamentals and liquidity during unstable periods in financial markets. We then propose a flexible econometric framework for estimation of the model and analysis of its quantitative implications. The specific empirical application is carry trades in the yen–dollar market, including the turmoil of 1998. We find a generally very deep market, with low information disparities amongst agents. We observe occasionally episodes of market fragility, or turmoil with up by the escalator, down by the elevator patterns in prices. The key role of strategic behavior in the econometric model is also confirmed.

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/j.1468-2354.2011.00642.x
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association in its journal International Economic Review.

Volume (Year): 52 (2011)
Issue (Month): 3 (08)
Pages: 621-638

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Handle: RePEc:ier:iecrev:v:52:y:2011:i:3:p:621-638

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  1. Martin D. D. Evans and Richard K. Lyons., 1999. "Order Flow and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Research Program in Finance Working Papers RPF-288, University of California at Berkeley.
  2. Christian Hellwig & Arijit Mukherji & Aleh Tsyvinski, 2005. "Self-Fulfilling Currency Crises: The Role of Interest Rates," NBER Working Papers 11191, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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  13. repec:cup:etheor:v:12:y:1996:i:4:p:657-81 is not listed on IDEAS
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  17. Dasgupta, Amil, 2007. "Coordination and delay in global games," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 195-225, May.
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