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What are metal prices like? Co-movement, price cycles and long-run trends

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Liang, Xuedong & Yang, Xu & Yan, Fuhai & Li, Zhi, 2020. "Exploring global embodied metal flows in international trade based combination of multi-regional input-output analysis and complex network analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
  2. Peter Buchholz & Friedrich-W. Wellmer & Dennis Bastian & Maren Liedtke, 2020. "Leaning against the wind: low-price benchmarks for acting anticyclically in the metal markets," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 33(1), pages 81-100, July.
  3. Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Aye, Goodness C. & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Trends and cycles in historical gold and silver prices," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 98-109.
  4. Wang, Xiao-Qing & Wu, Tong & Zhong, Huaming & Su, Chi-Wei, 2023. "Bubble behaviors in nickel price: What roles do geopolitical risk and speculation play?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  5. Tsai, I-Chun & Wang, Yu-Min & Lin, Che-Chun, 2025. "Energy commodities, metal markets, and money supply: Asymmetric information transmission mechanism of easing and tightening," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 335(C).
  6. Sipan Aslan & Ceylan Yozgatligil & Cem Iyigun, 2018. "Temporal clustering of time series via threshold autoregressive models: application to commodity prices," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 260(1), pages 51-77, January.
  7. Cerqueti, Roy & Mattera, Raffaele & Storani, Saverio, 2025. "Systemic resilience of networked commodities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
  8. Su, Chi-Wei & Wang, Xiao-Qing & Zhu, Haotian & Tao, Ran & Moldovan, Nicoleta-Claudia & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2020. "Testing for multiple bubbles in the copper price: Periodically collapsing behavior," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
  9. Jyrki Savolainen & Michele Urbani, 2021. "Maintenance optimization for a multi-unit system with digital twin simulation," Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, Springer, vol. 32(7), pages 1953-1973, October.
  10. Rubaszek, Michał & Karolak, Zuzanna & Kwas, Marek, 2020. "Mean-reversion, non-linearities and the dynamics of industrial metal prices. A forecasting perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
  11. Mikael Collan & Jyrki Savolainen & Pasi Luukka, 2017. "Investigating the effect of price process selection on the value of a metal mining asset portfolio," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 30(2), pages 107-115, July.
  12. Guo, Sui & Li, Huajiao & An, Haizhong & Sun, Qingru & Hao, Xiaoqing & Liu, Yanxin, 2019. "Steel product prices transmission activities in the midstream industrial chain and global markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 56-71.
  13. Tapia Cortez, Carlos A. & Hitch, Michael & Sammut, Claude & Coulton, Jeff & Shishko, Robert & Saydam, Serkan, 2018. "Determining the embedding parameters governing long-term dynamics of copper prices," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 186-197.
  14. Sun, Xiaotian & Fang, Wei & Gao, Xiangyun & An, Sufang & Liu, Siyao & Wu, Tao, 2021. "Time-varying causality inference of different nickel markets based on the convergent cross mapping method," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  15. Savolainen, Jyrki, 2016. "Real options in metal mining project valuation: Review of literature," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 49-65.
  16. Savolainen, Jyrki & Collan, Mikael & Kyläheiko, Kalevi & Luukka, Pasi, 2017. "On the trade-off between the leverage effect and real options thinking: A simulation-based model on metal mining investment," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 43-51.
  17. Ding, Yinghui & Chen, Shan & Li, Haoran & Sun, Qingru & Chen, Hanyu & Yu, Hui, 2023. "Causality inference among base metal, rare metal and precious metal markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
  18. Marañon, Matias & Kumral, Mustafa, 2018. "Exploring the Elliott Wave Principle to interpret metal commodity price cycles," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 125-138.
  19. Bielak, Łukasz & Grzesiek, Aleksandra & Janczura, Joanna & Wyłomańska, Agnieszka, 2021. "Market risk factors analysis for an international mining company. Multi-dimensional, heavy-tailed-based modelling," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  20. Ewees, Ahmed A. & Elaziz, Mohamed Abd & Alameer, Zakaria & Ye, Haiwang & Jianhua, Zhang, 2020. "Improving multilayer perceptron neural network using chaotic grasshopper optimization algorithm to forecast iron ore price volatility," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
  21. Kwas, Marek & Paccagnini, Alessia & Rubaszek, Michał, 2021. "Common factors and the dynamics of industrial metal prices. A forecasting perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  22. Barbaglia, Luca & Wilms, Ines & Croux, Christophe, 2016. "Commodity dynamics: A sparse multi-class approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 62-72.
  23. Marañon, Matias & Kumral, Mustafa, 2019. "Kondratiev long cycles in metal commodity prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 21-28.
  24. Claudio-Quiroga, Gloria & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Maiza-Larrarte, Andoni, 2023. "Mineral prices persistence and the development of a new energy vehicle industry in China: A fractional integration approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  25. repec:ocp:ppaper:pb1824 is not listed on IDEAS
  26. C. A. Tapia Cortez & J. Coulton & C. Sammut & S. Saydam, 2018. "Determining the chaotic behaviour of copper prices in the long-term using annual price data," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 4(1), pages 1-13, December.
  27. Christopher L. Gilbert, 2024. "Is there a copper super-cycle?," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 37(2), pages 359-380, June.
  28. Roy Cerqueti & Raffaele Mattera & Saverio Storani, 2025. "Systemic resilience of networked commodities," Post-Print hal-05109120, HAL.
  29. Brett J. Watson & Roderick G. Eggert, 2021. "Understanding relative metal prices and availability: Combining physical and economic perspectives," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 25(4), pages 890-899, August.
  30. Bouri, Elie & Nekhili, Ramzi & Todorova, Neda, 2023. "Dynamic co-movement in major commodity markets during crisis periods: A wavelet local multiple correlation analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
  31. Massimiliano Calvia, 2024. "Beef, lamb, pork and poultry meat commodity prices: Historical fluctuations and synchronisation with a focus on recent global crises," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 70(1), pages 24-33.
  32. Mehmet Balcilar & Ojonugwa Usman & Busra Agan, 2024. "On the connectedness of commodity markets: A critical and selective survey of empirical studies and bibliometric analysis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(1), pages 97-136, February.
  33. Sami Ben Jabeur & Salma Mefteh-Wali & Jean-Laurent Viviani, 2024. "Forecasting gold price with the XGBoost algorithm and SHAP interaction values," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 334(1), pages 679-699, March.
  34. Pincheira, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolas, 2018. "Forecasting Base Metal Prices with Commodity Currencies," MPRA Paper 83564, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  35. Baffes, John & Kabundi, Alain, 2023. "Commodity price shocks: Order within chaos?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  36. Zheng, Shuxian & Tan, Zhanglu & Xing, Wanli & Zhou, Xuanru & Zhao, Pei & Yin, Xiuqi & Hu, Han, 2022. "A comparative exploration of the chaotic characteristics of Chinese and international copper futures prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  37. Pincheira, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolas, 2018. "The predictive relationship between exchange rate expectations and base metal prices," MPRA Paper 89423, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  38. Pincheira, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolás, 2021. "Forecasting aluminum prices with commodity currencies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  39. Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Wanas Al-Jarrah, Idries Mohammad & Mensi, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Co-movements and spillovers between prices of precious metals and non-ferrous metals: A multiscale analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
  40. Konstantinos Oikonomou & Dimitris Damigos, 2025. "Short term forecasting of base metals prices using a LightGBM and a LightGBM - ARIMA ensemble," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 38(1), pages 37-49, March.
  41. Pincheira Brown, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolás, 2019. "Forecasting base metal prices with the Chilean exchange rate," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 256-281.
  42. Massimiliano Calvia, 2026. "Dissecting Extreme Price Fluctuations in Mineral Fertilizers: Regularities and Co‐Movements in Light of Global Food Security," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 48(1), pages 87-105, March.
  43. repec:osf:osfxxx:s8ayp_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
  44. Nekhili, Ramzi & Sultan, Jahangir & Mensi, Walid, 2021. "Co-movements among precious metals and implications for portfolio management: A multivariate wavelet-based dynamic analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  45. Shao, Liuguo & Nong, Hao & Zhang, Hua, 2026. "Analysis of homogeneous and heterogeneous response of clean energy metal prices under geopolitical risk shocks," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
  46. Tano, Sofia & Pettersson, Örjan & Stjernström, Olof, 2016. "Labour income effects of the recent “mining boom” in northern Sweden," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 31-40.
  47. Carpentier, Cécile & Suret, Jean-Marc, 2019. "On the performance of a stepping-stone market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 226-239.
  48. Salisu, Afees A. & Ndako, Umar B. & Oloko, Tirimisiyu F., 2019. "Assessing the inflation hedging of gold and palladium in OECD countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 357-377.
  49. Monge, Manuel & Gil-Alana, Luis A., 2021. "Lithium industry and the U.S. crude oil prices. A fractional cointegration VAR and a Continuous Wavelet Transform analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
  50. Jung Youn Mo & Wooyoung Jeon, 2018. "The Impact of Electric Vehicle Demand and Battery Recycling on Price Dynamics of Lithium-Ion Battery Cathode Materials: A Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-15, August.
  51. He, Kaijian & Liu, Youjin & Yu, Lean & Lai, Kin Keung, 2016. "Multiscale dependence analysis and portfolio risk modeling for precious metal markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 224-233.
  52. An, Sufang & Gao, Xiangyun & An, Haizhong & Liu, Siyao & Sun, Qingru & Jia, Nanfei, 2020. "Dynamic volatility spillovers among bulk mineral commodities: A network method," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
  53. Szarek, Dawid & Bielak, Łukasz & Wyłomańska, Agnieszka, 2020. "Long-term prediction of the metals’ prices using non-Gaussian time-inhomogeneous stochastic process," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 555(C).
  54. Cifuentes, Sebastián & Cortazar, Gonzalo & Ortega, Hector & Schwartz, Eduardo S., 2020. "Expected prices, futures prices and time-varying risk premiums: The case of copper," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
  55. Ihle, Rico & Bar-Nahum, Ziv & Nivievskyi, Oleg & Rubin, Ofir D., 2022. "Russia’s invasion of Ukraine increased the synchronisation of global commodity prices," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 66(04), January.
  56. Tapia, Carlos & Coulton, Jeff & Saydam, Serkan, 2020. "Using entropy to assess dynamic behaviour of long-term copper price," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
  57. Shammugam, Shivenes & Rathgeber, Andreas & Schlegl, Thomas, 2019. "Causality between metal prices: Is joint consumption a more important determinant than joint production of main and by-product metals?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 49-66.
  58. Addison, Tony & Ghoshray, Atanu, 2023. "Discerning trends in international metal prices in the presence of nonstationary volatility," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  59. repec:ocp:rpcoen:pb-18-24 is not listed on IDEAS
  60. Alper Kara & Dilem Yildirim & G. Ipek Tunc, 2023. "Market efficiency in non-renewable resource markets: evidence from stationarity tests with structural changes," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 36(2), pages 279-290, June.
  61. Di Shang & Chang Yu & Gang Diao, 2021. "Study on Impacts of COVID-19 Pandemic Recession Based on Monte Carlo Simulation," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2021(6), pages 724-747.
  62. Chen, Yan & Bouri, Elie & Zhang, Lei, 2025. "Dynamics of co-bubble networks across commodity futures prices and portfolio performance," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
  63. Guo, Tianjiao & Geng, Yong & Song, Xiaoqian & Rui, Xue & Ge, Zewen, 2023. "Tracing magnesium flows in China: A dynamic material flow analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  64. Yves Jégourel, 2018. "Tendances et cyclicité du prix des matières premières (partie 2) : le super-cycle des matières premières en question," Policy briefs on Commodities & Energy 1801, Policy Center for the New South.
  65. Vasyl Golosnoy & Anja Rossen, 2018. "Modeling dynamics of metal price series via state space approach with two common factors," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 1477-1501, June.
  66. Rodríguez-Puello, Gabriel, 2024. "Digging for Trouble? Uncovering the Link Between Mining Booms and Crime," OSF Preprints s8ayp, Center for Open Science.
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