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Historical geopolitical risk and the behaviour of stock returns in advanced economies

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Afees A. Salisu & Philip C. Omoke & Abdulsalam Abidemi Sikiru, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and global financial cycle: Some forecasting experiments," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 3-16, January.
  2. Afonso, António & Alves, José & Monteiro, Sofia, 2024. "Beyond borders: Assessing the influence of Geopolitical tensions on sovereign risk dynamics," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  3. Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Gabauer, David & Stenfors, Alexis, 2025. "US sectoral stock market volatility and geopolitical risk categories," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
  4. Li, Dongxin & Zhang, Li & Li, Lihong, 2023. "Forecasting stock volatility with economic policy uncertainty: A smooth transition GARCH-MIDAS model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
  5. Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Gozgor, Giray & Goodell, John W., 2023. "Impact of Russia-Ukraine war attention on cryptocurrency: Evidence from quantile dependence analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  6. Salisu, Afees A. & Olaniran, Abeeb O. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2025. "Geopolitical risk, climate risk and financial innovation in the energy market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 315(C).
  7. Kristjanpoller, Werner & Nekhili, Ramzi & Bouri, Elie, 2024. "Blockchain ETFs and the cryptocurrency and Nasdaq markets: Multifractal and asymmetric cross-correlations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 637(C).
  8. Khan, Nasir & Saleem, Asima & Ozkan, Oktay, 2023. "Do geopolitical oil price risk influence stock market returns and volatility of Pakistan: Evidence from novel non-parametric quantile causality approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  9. Azimli, Asil & Kalmaz, Demet Beton, 2025. "The impact of Russia’s Geopolitical Risk on stock markets’ high-moment risk," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 49(1).
  10. António Afonso & José Alves & Sofia Monteiro, 2024. "The pressure is on: how geopolitical tensions impact institutional fiscal and external stability responses," Working Papers REM 2024/0318, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
  11. Osama D. Sweidan, 2023. "Geopolitical Risk and Income Inequality: Evidence from the US Economy," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 169(1), pages 575-597, September.
  12. Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(1), pages 487-513, July.
  13. Gong, Xiao-Li & Li, Ye & Xiong, Xiong, 2025. "Tail risk interconnectedness between cryptocurrency and clean energy markets under geopolitical conflicts," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 668(C).
  14. Andrada-Félix, Julián & Fernández-Rodríguez, Fernando & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón, 2024. "A crisis like no other? Financial market analogies of the COVID-19-cum-Ukraine war crisis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  15. Yu Song & Bo Chen & Xin-Yi Wang, 2023. "Cryptocurrency technology revolution: are Bitcoin prices and terrorist attacks related?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-20, December.
  16. Carney, Richard W. & El Ghoul, Sadok & Guedhami, Omrane & Wang, He (Helen), 2024. "Geopolitical risk and the cost of capital in emerging economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
  17. Sun, Chentong & Yi, Shangkun & Wu, Fenglin & Li, Yanshuang & Dong, Zibing, 2025. "Mainshocks and aftershocks: Assessing the resilience of Asia-Pacific stock markets amid global financial cycle shocks," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  18. Salachas, Evangelos & Kouretas, Georgios P. & Laopodis, Nikiforos T. & Vlamis, Prodromos, 2024. "Stock market spillovers of global risks and hedging opportunities," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  19. Kamal, Md Rajib & Ahmed, Shaker & Hasan, Mostafa Monzur, 2023. "The impact of the Russia-Ukraine crisis on the stock market: Evidence from Australia," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  20. Jawadi, Fredj & Rozin, Philippe & Gnegne, Yacouba & Cheffou, Abdoulkarim Idi, 2024. "Geopolitical risks and business fluctuations in Europe: A sectorial analysis," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
  21. Bingchun Liu & Mingzhao Lai, 2025. "Advanced Machine Learning for Financial Markets: A PCA-GRU-LSTM Approach," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 16(1), pages 3140-3174, March.
  22. MD ASIF UL ALAM & Erik Devos & Zifeng Feng, 2023. "Firm reaction to geopolitical crises: Evidence from the Russia‐Ukraine conflict," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 46(S1), pages 163-182, December.
  23. Fiorillo, Paolo & Meles, Antonio & Pellegrino, Luigi Raffaele & Verdoliva, Vincenzo, 2024. "Geopolitical risk and stock price crash risk: The mitigating role of ESG performance," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  24. Umar, Zaghum & Hadad, Elroi & Phiri, Andrew & Teplova, Tamara, 2025. "Dynamics of asymmetric connectedness among magnificent seven technology giants: Insights from QVAR analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
  25. Demiralay, Sercan & Kaawach, Said & Kilincarslan, Erhan & Semeyutin, Artur, 2024. "Geopolitical tensions and sovereign credit risks," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
  26. Zhang, Yaojie & Zhang, Yuxuan & Ren, Xinrui & Jin, Meichen, 2024. "Geopolitical risk exposure and stock returns: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  27. Qureshi, Fiza & Qureshi, Saba & Ismail, Izlin & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2025. "Unlocking economic insights: ESG integration, market dynamics and sustainable transitions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
  28. Fiorillo, Paolo & Meles, Antonio & Salerno, Dario & Verdoliva, Vincenzo, 2024. "Geopolitical turmoil and investor green preference: Evidence from the corporate bond market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
  29. Gao, Jie & Fan, Chunguo & Xu, Liang & Chen, Hongni & Chen, Hangyu & Liang, Zhilei, 2025. "Intelligent decision making and risk management in stock index futures markets under the influence of global geopolitical volatility," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  30. Wang, Fanyi & Zhang, Weiwei & Zhang, Du, 2024. "The time-varying impact of geopolitical risks on financial stress in China: A TVP-VAR analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
  31. Boungou, Whelsy & Urom, Christian, 2025. "Geopolitical tensions and banks’ stock market performance," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
  32. Ali, Syed Riaz Mahmood & Anik, Kaysul Islam & Hasan, Mohammad Nurul & Kamal, Md Rajib, 2023. "Geopolitical threats, equity returns, and optimal hedging," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
  33. Kamal, Md Rajib & Wahlstrøm, Ranik Raaen, 2023. "Cryptocurrencies and the threat versus the act event of geopolitical risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
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