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Do stock prices contain predictive power for the future economic activity? A Granger causality analysis in the frequency domain

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Matteo Farnè & Angela Montanari, 2022. "A Bootstrap Method to Test Granger-Causality in the Frequency Domain," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(3), pages 935-966, March.
  2. Wang, Lu & Ma, Feng & Niu, Tianjiao & Liang, Chao, 2021. "The importance of extreme shock: Examining the effect of investor sentiment on the crude oil futures market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
  3. Ferdinand Fichtner & Heike Joebges, 2024. "Stock market returns and GDP growth," IMK Studies 90-2024, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
  4. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis & Marco C. Sammon, 2021. "What Triggers Stock Market Jumps?," NBER Working Papers 28687, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. Paraskevi Salamaliki, 2015. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Focus on Infrequent Structural Shifts," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2015-08, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
  6. Aydin, Mucahit, 2018. "Natural gas consumption and economic growth nexus for top 10 natural Gas–Consuming countries: A granger causality analysis in the frequency domain," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PB), pages 179-186.
  7. D. O. Olayungbo, 2019. "Effects of Global Oil Price on Exchange Rate, Trade Balance, and Reserves in Nigeria: A Frequency Domain Causality Approach," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-14, March.
  8. Mikhail Stolbov, 2017. "Causality between credit depth and economic growth: evidence from 24 OECD countries," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 493-524, September.
  9. Yang Hu & Yanran Hong & Kai Feng & Jikai Wang, 2023. "Evaluating the Importance of Monetary Policy Uncertainty: The Long- and Short-Term Effects and Responses," Evaluation Review, , vol. 47(2), pages 264-286, April.
  10. Willem Thorbecke, 2025. "How Oil Prices Impact the Japanese and South Korean Economies: Evidence from the Stock Market and Implications for Energy Security," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(11), pages 1-28, May.
  11. Kristoufek, Ladislav, 2017. "Has global warming modified the relationship between sunspot numbers and global temperatures?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 468(C), pages 351-358.
  12. Karoline Krätschell & Torsten Schmidt, 2017. "Long-run waves or short-run fluctuations – what establishes the correlation between oil and food prices?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(54), pages 5535-5546, November.
  13. Will Dison & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2017. "Do macro shocks matter for equities?," Bank of England working papers 692, Bank of England.
  14. Adedoyin Isola Lawal, 2023. "The Nexus between Economic Growth, Energy Consumption, Agricultural Output, and CO 2 in Africa: Evidence from Frequency Domain Estimates," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-27, January.
  15. CLAUDIU TIBERIU ALBULESCU & Daniel Goyeau & AVIRAL KUMAR TIWARI, 2013. "Revisiting The Financial Volatility–Derivative Products Relationship On Euronext.Liffe Using A Frequency Domain Analysis," Brussels Economic Review, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, vol. 56(3-4), pages 349-364.
  16. McMillan, David G., 2021. "When and why do stock and bond markets predict US economic growth?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 331-343.
  17. Zhang, Feipeng & Gao, Hongfu & Yuan, Di, 2024. "The asymmetric effect of G7 stock market volatility on predicting oil price volatility: Evidence from quantile autoregression model," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
  18. Doytch, Nadia & Narayan, Seema, 2021. "Does transitioning towards renewable energy accelerate economic growth? An analysis of sectoral growth for a dynamic panel of countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
  19. Refk Selmi & Jamal Bouoiyour & Amal Miftah, 2019. "China's “New normal”: Will China's growth slowdown derail the BRICS stock markets?," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 159, pages 121-139.
  20. Umit Bulut, 2023. "Measuring the impacts of monetary policy in Turkey: an extended structural vector autoregressive model with structural breaks," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 117-132, February.
  21. Sleibi, Yacoub & Casalin, Fabrizio & Fazio, Giorgio, 2020. "Bank-specific shocks and aggregate leverage: Empirical evidence from a panel of developed countries," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
  22. Willem THORBECKE, 2025. "How Macroeconomic Shocks Impact the Japanese Economy: Evidence from the stock market," Discussion papers 25084, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
  23. Breitung, Jörg & Schreiber, Sven, 2018. "Assessing causality and delay within a frequency band," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 6(C), pages 57-73.
  24. Uche, Emmanuel & Ngepah, Nicholas & Das, Narasingha & Dey, Labani, 2024. "Dynamic interactions of green innovations, green transitions and ecological load capacity factor in BRICS," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
  25. Emmanuel Uche & Kingsley I. Okere & Nicholas Ngepah, 2025. "After the Johannesburg II Declaration, What Next for Ecological Sustainability in BRICS? Perspectives on Green Innovations and Green Transitions," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(3), pages 4348-4365, June.
  26. Temel Gurdal & Mucahit Aydin & Veysel Inal, 2021. "The relationship between tax revenue, government expenditure, and economic growth in G7 countries: new evidence from time and frequency domain approaches," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 305-337, May.
  27. Li Jingjing & Tang Ling & Li Ling, 2020. "The Co-Movements Between Crude Oil Price and Internet Concerns: Causality Analysis in the Frequency Domain," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 8(3), pages 224-239, June.
  28. Tsangyao Chang & Omid Ranjbar & Charl Jooste, 2017. "Stock Market Interactions between the BRICS and the United States: Evidence from Asymmetric Granger Causality Tests in the Frequency Domain," Iranian Economic Review (IER), Faculty of Economics,University of Tehran.Tehran,Iran, vol. 21(2), pages 297-320, Spring.
  29. Shi, Guangping & Liu, Xiaoxing, 2020. "Stock price fluctuation and the business cycle in the BRICS countries: A nonparametric quantiles causality approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
  30. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2016. "The responses of BRICS Equities to China's Slowdown: A Multi-Scale Causality Analysis," Working papers of CATT hal-01880323, HAL.
  31. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Mutascu, Mihai Ioan & Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu & Kyophilavong, Phouphet, 2015. "Frequency domain causality analysis of stock market and economic activity in India," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 224-238.
  32. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Chang, Tsangyao & Ranjbar, Omid, 2016. "Asymmetric causality using frequency domain and time-frequency domain (wavelet) approaches," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 66-78.
  33. repec:bof:bofitp:urn:nbn:fi:bof-201505061169 is not listed on IDEAS
  34. Veli Yilanci & Onder Ozgur & Muhammed Sehid Gorus, 2021. "Stock prices and economic activity nexus in OECD countries: new evidence from an asymmetric panel Granger causality test in the frequency domain," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-22, December.
  35. Willem THORBECKE, 2024. "How Oil Prices Impact the Indonesian and South Korean Economies: Evidence from the stock market," Discussion papers 24070, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
  36. Lawal Isola ADEDOYIN & Frank AWONUSI & Martins I. OLOYE, 2015. "All share price and inflation volatility in Nigeria. An application of the EGARCH model," EuroEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 1(34), pages 75-82, May.
  37. Chatelais, Nicolas & Stalla-Bourdillon, Arthur & Chinn, Menzie D., 2023. "Forecasting real activity using cross-sectoral stock market information," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
  38. David G. McMillan, 2023. "Do financial markets predict macroeconomic performance? US evidence from risk‐based measures," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 91(5), pages 439-466, September.
  39. Kassouri, Yacouba & Altıntaş, Halil, 2020. "Threshold cointegration, nonlinearity, and frequency domain causality relationship between stock price and Turkish Lira," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  40. Geraci, Marco Valerio & Gnabo, Jean-Yves, 2018. "Measuring Interconnectedness between Financial Institutions with Bayesian Time-Varying Vector Autoregressions," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 53(3), pages 1371-1390, June.
  41. Bozoklu, Seref & Yilanci, Veli, 2013. "Energy consumption and economic growth for selected OECD countries: Further evidence from the Granger causality test in the frequency domain," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 877-881.
  42. Marco Valerio Geraci & Jean-Yves Gnabo, 2015. "Measuring Interconnectedness between Financial Institutions with Bayesian Time-Varying VARS," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2015-51, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  43. Lyócsa, Štefan & Výrost, Tomáš & Plíhal, Tomáš, 2021. "A tale of tails : New evidence on the growth-return nexus," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
  44. P. Reusens & Ch. Warisse, 2018. "House prices and economic growth in Belgium," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iv, pages 81-106, december.
  45. Fuat SEKMEN & Hasmet GOKIRMAK, 2018. "Causal relationship between internet use and economic development for selected Central Asian economies," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(3(616), A), pages 145-152, Autumn.
  46. Aydin, Mucahit, 2019. "Renewable and non-renewable electricity consumption–economic growth nexus: Evidence from OECD countries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 599-606.
  47. Borjigin, Sumuya & Yang, Yating & Yang, Xiaoguang & Sun, Leilei, 2018. "Econometric testing on linear and nonlinear dynamic relation between stock prices and macroeconomy in China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 493(C), pages 107-115.
  48. Gorus, Muhammed Sehid & Aydin, Mucahit, 2019. "The relationship between energy consumption, economic growth, and CO2 emission in MENA countries: Causality analysis in the frequency domain," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 815-822.
  49. David G. McMillan, 2021. "Predicting GDP growth with stock and bond markets: Do they contain different information?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3651-3675, July.
  50. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2016. "The responses of BRICS Equities to China's Slowdown: A Multi-Scale Causality Analysis," Working Papers hal-01880323, HAL.
  51. Olusola Joel Oyeleke*, 2021. "Frequency Domain Approach To Causality Among Fiscal Deficit, Interest Rates And Inflation In Nigeria," Ilorin Journal of Economic Policy, Department of Economics, University of Ilorin, vol. 8(1), pages 46-59.
  52. Mikhail Stolbov, 2017. "Causality between credit depth and economic growth: evidence from 24 OECD countries," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 493-524, September.
  53. Nicolas Chatelais & Arthur Stalla-Bourdillon & Menzie D. Chinn, 2022. "Macroeconomic Forecasting using Filtered Signals from a Stock Market Cross Section," NBER Working Papers 30305, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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