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Cointegration and causality between macroeconomic variables and stock market returns

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Cited by:

  1. Saadaoui Mallek, Ray & Albaity, Mohamed & Molyneux, Philip, 2022. "Herding behaviour heterogeneity under economic and political risks: Evidence from GCC," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 345-361.
  2. Jiranyakul, Komain, 2009. "Economic Forces and the Thai Stock Market, 1993-2007," MPRA Paper 45582, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  3. Laopodis, Nikiforos T. & Sawhney, Bansi L., 2002. "Dynamic interactions between Main Street and Wall Street," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 803-815.
  4. Velip Suraj Pavto & Guntur Anjana Raju, 2020. "Relationship between Asian Emerging Stock Markets and Economic Fundamentals: A Cointegration and Block Exogeneity Wald Approach," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(3), pages 280-292.
  5. Nieh, Chien-Chung & Lee, Cheng-Few, 2001. "Dynamic relationship between stock prices and exchange rates for G-7 countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(4), pages 477-490.
  6. Yüksel İLTAŞ & Gülbahar ÜÇLER, 2019. "The Influence of Institutional Quality and Financial Risk on Stock Market Index: An Empirical Study for TurkeyAbstract: This paper aims to analyze the -possible- effects of institutional quality and (," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 27(41).
  7. Kateřina Krchnivá, 2016. "Do Stock Markets Have Any Impact on Real Economic Activity?," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 64(1), pages 283-290.
  8. Guttler, Caio & Meurer, Roberto & Da Silva, Sergio, 2006. "Informational inefficiency of the Brazilian stockmarket," MPRA Paper 1980, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  9. Rida Waheed & Chen Wei & Suleman Sarwar & Yulan Lv, 2018. "Impact of oil prices on firm stock return: industry-wise analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 765-780, September.
  10. Bahaman, Abrar & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Identifying the lead-lag relationship between the shariah (islamic) equity index and macroeconomic variables: Malaysia as a case study," MPRA Paper 103820, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  11. Ronit Mukherji, 2015. "Stock Market Efficiency in Developing Economies," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 9(4), pages 402-429, November.
  12. Duran-Vazquez, Rocio & Lorenzo-Valdes, Arturo & Ruiz-Porras, Antonio, 2011. "Valuation of Latin-American stock prices with alternative versions of the Ohlson model: An investigation of cointegration relationships with time-series and panel-data," MPRA Paper 32043, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  13. Ahmad Hamidi, Hakimah Nur & Khalid, Norlin & Abdul Karim, Zulkefly, 2018. "Revisiting Relationship Between Malaysian Stock Market Index and Selected Macroeconomic Variables Using Asymmetric Cointegration," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 52(1), pages 311-319.
  14. repec:zbw:rwirep:0435 is not listed on IDEAS
  15. Tolga Aydin & Hakan Oner, 2020. "Comparative Analysis for the Relationship between Stock Performance and Macroeconomic Indicators: The Case of Turkey," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 6(3), pages 146-154, September.
  16. Samuel Antwi & Xicang Zhao, 2013. "Impact of Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Ghana: A Cointegration Analysis," International Journal of Business and Social Research, MIR Center for Socio-Economic Research, vol. 3(1), pages 64-74, January.
  17. Şebnem Er & Bengü Vuran Author-Workplace-Name: Teaching and Research Assistant, PhD, Istanbul University, Faculty of Business Administration, Finance Department, 2012. "Factors Affecting Stock Returns of Firms Quoted in ISE Market: A Dynamic Panel Data Approach," International Journal of Business and Social Research, LAR Center Press, vol. 2(1), pages 108-121, February.
  18. Xiaosong Wang & Huan Wu & Le Li, 2022. "Trade policy and return on capital: An empirical analysis based on China's antidumping," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 865-892, January.
  19. Ansgar Belke & Marcel Wiedmann, 2013. "Monetary Policy, Stock Prices and Central Banks - Cross-Country Comparisons of Cointegrated VAR Models," Ruhr Economic Papers 0435, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen.
  20. Muhammad Kamran Khan & Jian-Zhou Teng & Javed Pervaiz & Sunil Kumar Chaudhary, 2017. "Nexuses between Economic Factors and Stock Returns in China," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(9), pages 182-191, September.
  21. Ameyaw, Bismark & Yao, Li & Oppong, Amos & Agyeman, Joy Korang, 2019. "Investigating, forecasting and proposing emission mitigation pathways for CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion only: A case study of selected countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 7-21.
  22. R. Ratneswary V. Rasiah, 2010. "Macroeconomic Activity And The Malaysian Stock Market: Empirical Evidence Of Dynamic Relations," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 4(2), pages 59-69.
  23. Manning, Neil, 2002. "Common trends and convergence? South East Asian equity markets, 1988-1999," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 183-202, April.
  24. Chung, Tin-fah & Ariff, M., 2016. "A test of the linkage among money supply, liquidity and share prices in Asia," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 48-61.
  25. Yunus, Nafeesa, 2023. "Long-run and short-run impact of the U.S. economy on stock, bond and housing markets: An evaluation of U.S. and six major economies," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 211-232.
  26. Ali Akbar Nazari & Mohammad Taher Ahmadi Shadmehri, 2016. "Examining the Relationship between Economic Variables and Financial Performance of the Companies in Tehran Stock Exchange," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(7), pages 188-197, July.
  27. Goran Mojanoski, 2022. "Long-Run And Short-Run Causality Between Stock Price Indices And Macroeconomic Variables: Evidence Of Panel Vecm Analysis From Bosnia And Herzegovina, Croatia, North Macedonia And Serbia," Economic Review: Journal of Economics and Business, University of Tuzla, Faculty of Economics, vol. 20(2), pages 3-14, November.
  28. Lin, Jeng-Bau & Fu, Shan-Heng, 2016. "Investigating the dynamic relationships between equity markets and currency markets," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 69(6), pages 2193-2198.
  29. Yang, Ann Shawing & Pangastuti, Airin, 2016. "Stock market efficiency and liquidity: The Indonesia Stock Exchange merger," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 28-40.
  30. Jeongwoo Kim, 2019. "Optimally adjusted last cluster for prediction based on balancing the bias and variance by bootstrapping," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(11), pages 1-31, November.
  31. Sergio Da Silva & Roberto Meurer & Caio Guttler, 2008. "Is the Brazilian stockmarket efficient?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 7(1), pages 1-16.
  32. Ansgar Belke & Marcel Wiedmann, 2018. "Dissecting long-run and short-run causalities between monetary policy and stock prices," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 15(4), pages 761-786, October.
  33. Ranjan Kumar Nayak, 2022. "Performance of Odisha State Co-operative Bank: An ARDL Approach," Arthaniti: Journal of Economic Theory and Practice, , vol. 21(1), pages 7-26, June.
  34. Sirucek, Martin, 2012. "Macroeconomic variables and stock market: US review," MPRA Paper 39094, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  35. Wong Keung-Wing & Habibullah Khan & Jun Du, 2006. "Money, Interest Rate and Stock Prices: New Evidence from Singapore and The United States," Departmental Working Papers wp0601, National University of Singapore, Department of Economics.
  36. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Dene Hurley & Román Ferrer, 2021. "U.S. stock prices and macroeconomic fundamentals: Fresh evidence using the quantile ARDL approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3569-3587, July.
  37. Verma, Rahul & Ozuna, Teofilo, 2005. "Are emerging equity markets responsive to cross-country macroeconomic movements?: Evidence from Latin America," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 73-87, January.
  38. Animesh Bhattacharjee & Joy Das, 2021. "Investigating the Long-run and the Short-run Relationship Between Domestic Macroeconomic Forces and Indian Equity Market: Evidence Based on ARDL Bounds Testing Approach," Paradigm, , vol. 25(1), pages 61-76, June.
  39. Mohammad Joarder & Monir Ahmed & Tahsina Haque & Syed Hasanuzzaman, 2014. "An empirical testing of informational efficiency in Bangladesh capital market," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 47(1), pages 63-87, February.
  40. Liang, Chin-Chia & Lin, Jeng-Bau & Hsu, Hao-Cheng, 2013. "Reexamining the relationships between stock prices and exchange rates in ASEAN-5 using panel Granger causality approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 560-563.
  41. Cunha, Ronan & Pereira, Pedro L. Valls, 2015. "Automatic model selection for forecasting Brazilian stock returns," Textos para discussão 398, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  42. Athanasios Koulakiotis & Apostolis Kiohos & Vassilios Babalos, 2015. "Exploring the interaction between stock price index and exchange rates: an asymmetric threshold approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(13), pages 1273-1285, March.
  43. Binswanger, Mathias, 2004. "Stock returns and real activity in the G-7 countries: did the relationship change during the 1980s?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 237-252, May.
  44. Mazhar Hallak Kantakji, 2019. "The Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on US Islamic and Conventional Equity تأثير العوامل الاقتصادية الكلية على الأسهم الإسلامية والتقليدية الأمريكية," Journal of King Abdulaziz University: Islamic Economics, King Abdulaziz University, Islamic Economics Institute., vol. 32(2), pages 43-58, January.
  45. Matthew Serfling & Dragan Miljkovic, 2011. "Time series analysis of the relationships among (macro) economic variables, the dividend yield and the price level of the S&P 500 Index," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(15), pages 1117-1134.
  46. Tugce Karatas & Ali Hirsa, 2021. "Two-Stage Sector Rotation Methodology Using Machine Learning and Deep Learning Techniques," Papers 2108.02838, arXiv.org.
  47. Chen, Mei-Ping & Lin, Yu-Hui & Tseng, Chun-Yao & Chen, Wen-Yi, 2015. "Bubbles in health care: Evidence from the U.S., U.K., and German stock markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 193-205.
  48. Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, Mak B. & Bahmani, Sahar, 2015. "Causal nexus between economic growth, inflation, and stock market development: The case of OECD countries," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 98-111.
  49. Chin-Hong Puah & Muzafar Shah Habibullah & Venus Khim-Sen Liew, 2010. "Is money neutral in stock market? The case of Malaysia," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 30(3), pages 1852-1861.
  50. Rudra P. Pradhan & Mak B. Arvin & John H. Hall & Sahar Bahmani, 2014. "Causal nexus between economic growth, banking sector development, stock market development, and other macroeconomic variables: The case of ASEAN countries," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 23(4), pages 155-173, November.
  51. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:7:y:2008:i:1:p:1-16 is not listed on IDEAS
  52. de Pontes, Lucca Siebra & Rêgo, Leandro Chaves, 2022. "Impact of macroeconomic variables on the topological structure of the Brazilian stock market: A complex network approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 604(C).
  53. Pooja Joshi & A. K. Giri, 2015. "Cointegration and Causality between Macroeconomic variables and Stock Prices: Empirical Analysis from Indian Economy," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 5(2), pages 327-345, December.
  54. Ye, Min & Hutson, Elaine & Muckley, Cal, 2014. "Exchange rate regimes and foreign exchange exposure: The case of emerging market firms," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 156-182.
  55. Johann Burgstaller, 2002. "Are stock returns a leading indicator for real macroeconomic developments?," Economics working papers 2002-07, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
  56. Kiran Kumar Kotha & Bhawna Sahu, 2016. "Macroeconomic Factors and the Indian Stock Market: Exploring Long and Short Run Relationships," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(3), pages 1081-1091.
  57. Chu, Patrick Kuok-Kun, 2011. "Relationship between macroeconomic variables and net asset values (NAV) of equity funds: Cointegration evidence and vector error correction model of the Hong Kong Mandatory Provident Funds (MPFs)," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(5), pages 792-810.
  58. Ólan T. Henry & Nilss Olekalns & Jonathan Thong, 2004. "Do stock market returns predict changes to output? Evidence from a nonlinear panel data model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 29(3), pages 527-540, September.
  59. Bekhet, Hussain Ali & Al-Smadi, Raed Walid, 2015. "Determinants of Jordanian foreign direct investment inflows: Bounds testing approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 27-35.
  60. Mansor H. Ibrahim and Wan Sulaiman Wan Yusoff, 2001. "Macroeconomic Variables, Exchange Rate And Stock Price: A Malaysian Perspective," IIUM Journal of Economics and Management, IIUM Journal of Economis and Management, vol. 9(2), pages 141-164, December.
  61. Richard Kofi Asravor & Prince Dieu‐Donne Fonu, 2021. "Dynamic relation between macroeconomic variable, stock market returns and stock market development in Ghana," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2637-2646, April.
  62. Samuel Antwi & Xicang Zhao, 2013. "Impact of Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Ghana: A Cointegration Analysis," International Journal of Business and Social Research, LAR Center Press, vol. 3(1), pages 64-74, January.
  63. Belke, Ansgar & Wiedmann, Marcel, 2013. "Monetary Policy, Stock Prices and Central Banks - Cross-Country Comparisons of Cointegrated VAR Models," Ruhr Economic Papers 435, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
  64. Bhuiyan, Erfan M. & Chowdhury, Murshed, 2020. "Macroeconomic variables and stock market indices: Asymmetric dynamics in the US and Canada," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 62-74.
  65. Neha GUPTA & Arya KUMAR, 2020. "Macroeconomic variables and market expectations: Indian Stock Market," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(3(624), A), pages 161-178, Autumn.
  66. Chauvet, Marcelle & Jiang, Cheng, 2023. "Nonlinear relationship between monetary policy and stock returns: Evidence from the U.S," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
  67. Thuy Thu Nguyen & Hong Thi Mai & Tram Thi Minh Tran, 2020. "Monetary Policy and Stock Market Returns: Evidence from ARDL Bounds Testing Approach for the Case of Vietnam," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(7), pages 758-777, July.
  68. Prakash Kumar Shrestha Ph.D. & Biggyan Raj Subedi, 2014. "Determinants of Stock Market Performance in Nepal," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Research Department, vol. 26(2), pages 25-40, October.
  69. Kirikkaleli, Dervis, 2020. "The effect of domestic and foreign risks on an emerging stock market: A time series analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
  70. Lizardo, Radhamés A. & Mollick, André V., 2009. "Do foreign purchases of U.S. stocks help the U.S. stock market?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 19(5), pages 969-986, December.
  71. Muhammad Ali Nasir & Muhammad Shahbaz & Trinh Thi Mai & Moade Shubita, 2021. "Development of Vietnamese stock market: Influence of domestic macroeconomic environment and regional markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1435-1458, January.
  72. Hettihewa, Samanthala & Saha, Shrabani & Zhang, Hanxiong, 2018. "Does an aging population influence stock markets? Evidence from New Zealand," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 142-158.
  73. Ansgar Belke & Marcel Wiedmann, 2013. "Money, Stock Prices and Central Banks – Cross-Country Comparisons of Cointegrated VAR Models," ROME Working Papers 201308, ROME Network.
  74. Seungho Baek & Kwan Yong Lee & Merih Uctum & Seok Hee Oh, 2020. "Robo-Advisors: Machine Learning in Trend-Following ETF Investments," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-15, August.
  75. Verma, Rahul & Soydemir, Gokce, 2006. "Modeling country risk in Latin America: A country beta approach," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 192-213, December.
  76. Širůček, Martin, 2015. "Kauzalní vztah peněžní nabídky a amerického akciového trhu [Money supply and US stock market causality]," MPRA Paper 66357, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 Aug 2015.
  77. Asmy, Mohamed & Rohilina, Wisam & Hassama, Aris & Fouad, Md., 2009. "Effects of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Prices in Malaysia: An Approach of Error Correction Model," MPRA Paper 20970, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  78. Şebnem Er & Bengü Vuran Author-Workplace-Name: Teaching and Research Assistant, PhD, Istanbul University, Faculty of Business Administration, Finance Department, 2012. "Factors Affecting Stock Returns of Firms Quoted in ISE Market: A Dynamic Panel Data Approach," International Journal of Business and Social Research, MIR Center for Socio-Economic Research, vol. 2(1), pages 108-121, February.
  79. Baker, H. Kent & Kumar, Satish & Pandey, Nitesh, 2021. "Thirty years of the Global Finance Journal: A bibliometric analysis," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
  80. Huaibing Yu, 2019. "Long-run Cointegration and Market Equilibrium in Large Cap Stocks," Journal of Finance and Investment Analysis, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 8(1), pages 1-2.
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