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Nexuses between economic factors and stock returns in China

Listed author(s):
  • Khan, Muhammad Kamran
  • Teng, Jian -Zhou
  • Parviaz, Javed
  • Chaudhary, Sunil Kumar
Registered author(s):

    Economist and stock managers always focus on stock market return. This study investigated short and long run relationship between economic factors and stock returns in China by applying ARDL approach from 01/2000 to 12/2016. Estimated results of bound test for co-integration shows that long run relationships exist among the variables except inflation rate. Results of short and long run ARDL demonstrate that exchange rate and inflation rate have positive effect on stock returns in China while interest rate have negative effect on stock returns. Results indicate that stock returns in China are very sensitive and can be affected positively or negatively with increase and decrease in economic factors. Both local and regional factors in China can directly and indirectly explain Shanghai Stock Exchange stock returns.

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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/81017/1/MPRA_paper_81017.pdf
    File Function: original version
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    Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 81017.

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    Date of creation: 05 Aug 2017
    Date of revision: 21 Aug 2017
    Publication status: Published in International Journal of Economics and Finance 9.9(2017): pp. 182-191
    Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:81017
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