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A trigonometric grey prediction approach to forecasting electricity demand

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  1. Barman, Mayur & Dev Choudhury, Nalin Behari, 2019. "Season specific approach for short-term load forecasting based on hybrid FA-SVM and similarity concept," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 886-896.
  2. Aydin, Gokhan, 2014. "Modeling of energy consumption based on economic and demographic factors: The case of Turkey with projections," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 382-389.
  3. Wu, Lifeng & Gao, Xiaohui & Xiao, Yanli & Yang, Yingjie & Chen, Xiangnan, 2018. "Using a novel multi-variable grey model to forecast the electricity consumption of Shandong Province in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 327-335.
  4. Zhu, Suling & Wang, Jianzhou & Zhao, Weigang & Wang, Jujie, 2011. "A seasonal hybrid procedure for electricity demand forecasting in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(11), pages 3807-3815.
  5. An, Ning & Zhao, Weigang & Wang, Jianzhou & Shang, Duo & Zhao, Erdong, 2013. "Using multi-output feedforward neural network with empirical mode decomposition based signal filtering for electricity demand forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 279-288.
  6. Pao, H.T., 2009. "Forecasting energy consumption in Taiwan using hybrid nonlinear models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(10), pages 1438-1446.
  7. Suganthi, L. & Samuel, Anand A., 2012. "Energy models for demand forecasting—A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 1223-1240.
  8. Chia-Nan Wang & Minh Nhat Nguyen & Anh Luyen Le & Hector Tibo, 2020. "A DEA Resampling Past-Present-Future Comparative Analysis of the Food and Beverage Industry: The Case Study on Thailand vs. Vietnam," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-24, July.
  9. Jasiński, Tomasz, 2022. "A new approach to modeling cycles with summer and winter demand peaks as input variables for deep neural networks," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
  10. OA Carboni & P. Russu, 2014. "Measuring Environmental and Economic Efficiency in Italy: an Application of the Malmquist-DEA and Grey Forecasting Model," Working Paper CRENoS 201401, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
  11. Sun, Xu & Sun, Wangshu & Wang, Jianzhou & Zhang, Yixin & Gao, Yining, 2016. "Using a Grey–Markov model optimized by Cuckoo search algorithm to forecast the annual foreign tourist arrivals to China," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 369-379.
  12. Aftab Ahmed Almani & Xueshan Han, 2023. "Real-Time Pricing-Enabled Demand Response Using Long Short-Time Memory Deep Learning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-13, March.
  13. Li, Guo-Dong & Masuda, Shiro & Nagai, Masatake, 2012. "An optimal hybrid model for atomic power generation prediction in Japan," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 655-661.
  14. Jing, You-Yin & Bai, He & Wang, Jiang-Jiang, 2012. "A fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making model for CCHP systems driven by different energy sources," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 286-296.
  15. Hamzacebi, Coskun & Es, Huseyin Avni, 2014. "Forecasting the annual electricity consumption of Turkey using an optimized grey model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 165-171.
  16. Wang, Shuai & Yu, Lean & Tang, Ling & Wang, Shouyang, 2011. "A novel seasonal decomposition based least squares support vector regression ensemble learning approach for hydropower consumption forecasting in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(11), pages 6542-6554.
  17. Deb, Chirag & Zhang, Fan & Yang, Junjing & Lee, Siew Eang & Shah, Kwok Wei, 2017. "A review on time series forecasting techniques for building energy consumption," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 902-924.
  18. Zeng, Chunlei & Wu, Changchun & Zuo, Lili & Zhang, Bin & Hu, Xingqiao, 2014. "Predicting energy consumption of multiproduct pipeline using artificial neural networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 791-798.
  19. Karakurt, Izzet, 2021. "Modelling and forecasting the oil consumptions of the BRICS-T countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
  20. Fei Ye & Xinxiu Xie & Li Zhang & Xiaoling Hu, 2018. "An Improved Grey Model and Scenario Analysis for Carbon Intensity Forecasting in the Pearl River Delta Region of China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-16, January.
  21. Moustris, K. & Kavadias, K.A. & Zafirakis, D. & Kaldellis, J.K., 2020. "Medium, short and very short-term prognosis of load demand for the Greek Island of Tilos using artificial neural networks and human thermal comfort-discomfort biometeorological data," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 147(P1), pages 100-109.
  22. Carlo Andrea Bollino & Francesco Asdrubali & Paolo Polinori & Simona Bigerna & Silvia Micheli & Claudia Guattari & Antonella Rotili, 2017. "A Note on Medium- and Long-Term Global Energy Prospects and Scenarios," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-25, May.
  23. Pao, Hsiao-Tien & Fu, Hsin-Chia & Tseng, Cheng-Lung, 2012. "Forecasting of CO2 emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in China using an improved grey model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 400-409.
  24. Goutam Dutta & Krishnendranath Mitra, 2017. "A literature review on dynamic pricing of electricity," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 68(10), pages 1131-1145, October.
  25. Ene, Seval & Öztürk, Nursel, 2017. "Grey modelling based forecasting system for return flow of end-of-life vehicles," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 155-166.
  26. Tang, Hui-Wen Vivian & Yin, Mu-Shang, 2012. "Forecasting performance of grey prediction for education expenditure and school enrollment," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 452-462.
  27. Gholami, M. & Barbaresi, A. & Torreggiani, D. & Tassinari, P., 2020. "Upscaling of spatial energy planning, phases, methods, and techniques: A systematic review through meta-analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
  28. Yi-Chung Hu & Peng Jiang, 2017. "Forecasting energy demand using neural-network-based grey residual modification models," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 68(5), pages 556-565, May.
  29. Chia-Nan Wang & Tien-Muoi Le & Han-Khanh Nguyen, 2019. "Application of Optimization to Select Contractors to Develop Strategies and Policies for the Development of Transport Infrastructure," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-19, January.
  30. Hu, Huanling & Wang, Lin & Peng, Lu & Zeng, Yu-Rong, 2020. "Effective energy consumption forecasting using enhanced bagged echo state network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
  31. Pao, Hsiao-Tien, 2009. "Forecast of electricity consumption and economic growth in Taiwan by state space modeling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(11), pages 1779-1791.
  32. Che, Jinxing & Wang, Jianzhou & Wang, Guangfu, 2012. "An adaptive fuzzy combination model based on self-organizing map and support vector regression for electric load forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 657-664.
  33. Wang, Xiaolei & Xie, Naiming & Yang, Lu, 2022. "A flexible grey Fourier model based on integral matching for forecasting seasonal PM2.5 time series," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
  34. Oliviero A. Carboni & Paolo Russu, 2018. "Measuring and forecasting regional environmental and economic efficiency in Italy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(4), pages 335-353, January.
  35. Barman, Mayur & Dev Choudhury, N.B. & Sutradhar, Suman, 2018. "A regional hybrid GOA-SVM model based on similar day approach for short-term load forecasting in Assam, India," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 710-720.
  36. Arisoy, Ibrahim & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2014. "Estimating industrial and residential electricity demand in Turkey: A time varying parameter approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 959-964.
  37. Naiming Xie & Alan Pearman, 2014. "Forecasting energy consumption in China following instigation of an energy-saving policy," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 74(2), pages 639-659, November.
  38. Dutta, Goutam & Mitra, Krishnendranath, 2015. "Dynamic Pricing of Electricity: A Survey of Related Research," IIMA Working Papers WP2015-08-03, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
  39. Chang, Che-Jung & Li, Der-Chiang & Huang, Yi-Hsiang & Chen, Chien-Chih, 2015. "A novel gray forecasting model based on the box plot for small manufacturing data sets," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 265(C), pages 400-408.
  40. Fei Wang & Wei Chao, 2018. "A New Perspective on Improving Hospital Energy Administration Based on Recurrence Interval Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-18, May.
  41. Wang, Qiang & Li, Shuyu & Li, Rongrong & Ma, Minglu, 2018. "Forecasting U.S. shale gas monthly production using a hybrid ARIMA and metabolic nonlinear grey model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 378-387.
  42. Prasad, Ravita D. & Raturi, Atul, 2017. "Grid electricity for Fiji islands: Future supply options and assessment of demand trends," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 860-871.
  43. Huang, Lizhen & Bohne, Rolf André & Lohne, Jardar, 2015. "Shelter and residential building energy consumption within the 450 ppm CO2eq constraints in different climate zones," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 90(P1), pages 965-979.
  44. Bianco, Vincenzo & Manca, Oronzio & Nardini, Sergio & Minea, Alina A., 2010. "Analysis and forecasting of nonresidential electricity consumption in Romania," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(11), pages 3584-3590, November.
  45. Chen, Ho-Wen & Yu, Ruey-Fang & Ning, Shu-Kuang & Huang, Hsin-Chih, 2010. "Forecasting effluent quality of an industry wastewater treatment plant by evolutionary grey dynamic model," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 235-241.
  46. Wang, Yuanyuan & Wang, Jianzhou & Zhao, Ge & Dong, Yao, 2012. "Application of residual modification approach in seasonal ARIMA for electricity demand forecasting: A case study of China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 284-294.
  47. Khan, Muhammad Arshad, 2015. "Modelling and forecasting the demand for natural gas in Pakistan," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 1145-1159.
  48. Jiang, Ping & Li, Ranran & Liu, Ningning & Gao, Yuyang, 2020. "A novel composite electricity demand forecasting framework by data processing and optimized support vector machine," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
  49. Weiwei Pan & Lirong Jian & Tao Liu, 2019. "Grey system theory trends from 1991 to 2018: a bibliometric analysis and visualization," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 121(3), pages 1407-1434, December.
  50. Weide Li & Demeng Kong & Jinran Wu, 2017. "A Novel Hybrid Model Based on Extreme Learning Machine, k-Nearest Neighbor Regression and Wavelet Denoising Applied to Short-Term Electric Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-16, May.
  51. Debnath, Kumar Biswajit & Mourshed, Monjur, 2018. "Forecasting methods in energy planning models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 297-325.
  52. Wu, Li-Ming & Chen, Bai-Sheng & Bor, Yun-Chang & Wu, Yin-Chin, 2007. "Structure model of energy efficiency indicators and applications," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(7), pages 3768-3777, July.
  53. Zhao, Ze & Wang, Jianzhou & Zhao, Jing & Su, Zhongyue, 2012. "Using a Grey model optimized by Differential Evolution algorithm to forecast the per capita annual net income of rural households in China," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 40(5), pages 525-532.
  54. Li-Ling Peng & Guo-Feng Fan & Min-Liang Huang & Wei-Chiang Hong, 2016. "Hybridizing DEMD and Quantum PSO with SVR in Electric Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-20, March.
  55. Ahmed Ismail & Mustafa Baysal, 2023. "Dynamic Pricing Based on Demand Response Using Actor–Critic Agent Reinforcement Learning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-19, July.
  56. Bianco, Vincenzo & Scarpa, Federico & Tagliafico, Luca A., 2014. "Scenario analysis of nonresidential natural gas consumption in Italy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 392-403.
  57. Wu, Lifeng & Liu, Sifeng & Liu, Dinglin & Fang, Zhigeng & Xu, Haiyan, 2015. "Modelling and forecasting CO2 emissions in the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) countries using a novel multi-variable grey model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 489-495.
  58. Kankal, Murat & AkpInar, Adem & Kömürcü, Murat Ihsan & Özsahin, Talat Sükrü, 2011. "Modeling and forecasting of Turkey's energy consumption using socio-economic and demographic variables," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(5), pages 1927-1939, May.
  59. Wang, Chi-hsiang & Grozev, George & Seo, Seongwon, 2012. "Decomposition and statistical analysis for regional electricity demand forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 313-325.
  60. Pao, Hsiao-Tien & Tsai, Chung-Ming, 2011. "Modeling and forecasting the CO2 emissions, energy consumption, and economic growth in Brazil," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 2450-2458.
  61. Tang, Ling & Yu, Lean & Wang, Shuai & Li, Jianping & Wang, Shouyang, 2012. "A novel hybrid ensemble learning paradigm for nuclear energy consumption forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 432-443.
  62. Cinar, Didem & Kayakutlu, Gulgun & Daim, Tugrul, 2010. "Development of future energy scenarios with intelligent algorithms: Case of hydro in Turkey," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1724-1729.
  63. Al-Muhawesh, Tareq A. & Qamber, Isa S., 2008. "The established mega watt linear programming-based optimal power flow model applied to the real power 56-bus system in eastern province of Saudi Arabia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 12-21.
  64. Guo-Feng Fan & Shan Qing & Hua Wang & Wei-Chiang Hong & Hong-Juan Li, 2013. "Support Vector Regression Model Based on Empirical Mode Decomposition and Auto Regression for Electric Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-15, April.
  65. Aneeque A. Mir & Mohammed Alghassab & Kafait Ullah & Zafar A. Khan & Yuehong Lu & Muhammad Imran, 2020. "A Review of Electricity Demand Forecasting in Low and Middle Income Countries: The Demand Determinants and Horizons," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-35, July.
  66. Yi-Chung Hu, 2017. "Nonadditive Grey Prediction Using Functional-Link Net for Energy Demand Forecasting," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-14, July.
  67. Liu, Xiuli & Moreno, Blanca & García, Ana Salomé, 2016. "A grey neural network and input-output combined forecasting model. Primary energy consumption forecasts in Spanish economic sectors," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 115(P1), pages 1042-1054.
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