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Beyond one-step-ahead forecasting: Evaluation of alternative multi-step-ahead forecasting models for crude oil prices

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  1. Ding, Yishan, 2018. "A novel decompose-ensemble methodology with AIC-ANN approach for crude oil forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 328-336.
  2. Zhao, Yang & Li, Jianping & Yu, Lean, 2017. "A deep learning ensemble approach for crude oil price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 9-16.
  3. Wang, Yudong & Liu, Li & Diao, Xundi & Wu, Chongfeng, 2015. "Forecasting the real prices of crude oil under economic and statistical constraints," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 599-608.
  4. Wang, Jianzhou & Song, Yiliao & Liu, Feng & Hou, Ru, 2016. "Analysis and application of forecasting models in wind power integration: A review of multi-step-ahead wind speed forecasting models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 960-981.
  5. Li, Mingchen & Cheng, Zishu & Lin, Wencan & Wei, Yunjie & Wang, Shouyang, 2023. "What can be learned from the historical trend of crude oil prices? An ensemble approach for crude oil price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
  6. Lei Jiang & Ling Bai, 2017. "Revisiting the Granger Causality Relationship between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in China: A Multi-Timescale Decomposition Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-17, December.
  7. Krzysztof Drachal & Michał Pawłowski, 2021. "A Review of the Applications of Genetic Algorithms to Forecasting Prices of Commodities," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, January.
  8. Donghua Wang & Tianhui Fang, 2022. "Forecasting Crude Oil Prices with a WT-FNN Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-21, March.
  9. Nikolić, Vlastimir & Shamshirband, Shahaboddin & Petković, Dalibor & Mohammadi, Kasra & Ćojbašić, Žarko & Altameem, Torki A. & Gani, Abdullah, 2015. "Wind wake influence estimation on energy production of wind farm by adaptive neuro-fuzzy methodology," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 361-372.
  10. Xiong, Tao & Li, Chongguang & Bao, Yukun, 2017. "Interval-valued time series forecasting using a novel hybrid HoltI and MSVR model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 11-23.
  11. Marin s Taffarel & Wesley Vieira da Silva & Ademir Clemente & Claudimar Pereira da Veiga & Jansen Maia Del Corso, 2015. "The Brazilian Electricity Energy Market: The Role of Regulatory Content Intensity and Its Impact on Capital Shares Risk," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 5(1), pages 288-304.
  12. José Gustavo Hernández-Travieso & Antonio L. Herrera-Jiménez & Carlos M. Travieso-González & Fernando Morgado-Dias & Jesús B. Alonso-Hernández & Antonio G. Ravelo-García, 2017. "Temperature Control by Its Forecasting Applying Score Fusion for Sustainable Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-17, January.
  13. Yu, Lean & Wang, Zishu & Tang, Ling, 2015. "A decomposition–ensemble model with data-characteristic-driven reconstruction for crude oil price forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 251-267.
  14. Babak Fazelabdolabadi, 2019. "A hybrid Bayesian-network proposition for forecasting the crude oil price," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 5(1), pages 1-21, December.
  15. Xuluo Yin & Jiangang Peng & Tian Tang, 2018. "Improving the Forecasting Accuracy of Crude Oil Prices," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-9, February.
  16. Baruník, Jozef & Malinská, Barbora, 2016. "Forecasting the term structure of crude oil futures prices with neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 366-379.
  17. Zhao, Geya & Xue, Minggao & Cheng, Li, 2023. "A new hybrid model for multi-step WTI futures price forecasting based on self-attention mechanism and spatial–temporal graph neural network," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
  18. Zhou, Fan & Page, Lionel & Perrons, Robert K. & Zheng, Zuduo & Washington, Simon, 2019. "Long-term forecasts for energy commodities price: What the experts think," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  19. Valadkhani, Abbas, 2014. "Switching impacts of the output gap on inflation: Evidence from Canada, the UK and the US," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 270-285.
  20. Wang, Minggang & Zhao, Longfeng & Du, Ruijin & Wang, Chao & Chen, Lin & Tian, Lixin & Eugene Stanley, H., 2018. "A novel hybrid method of forecasting crude oil prices using complex network science and artificial intelligence algorithms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C), pages 480-495.
  21. Taiyong Li & Yingrui Zhou & Xinsheng Li & Jiang Wu & Ting He, 2019. "Forecasting Daily Crude Oil Prices Using Improved CEEMDAN and Ridge Regression-Based Predictors," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-25, September.
  22. Nnaemeka Vincent Emodi & Kyung-Jin Boo, 2015. "Decomposition Analysis of CO2 Emissions from Electricity Generation in Nigeria," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 5(2), pages 565-573.
  23. Sun, Jie & Zhao, Xiaojun & Xu, Chao, 2021. "Crude oil market autocorrelation: Evidence from multiscale quantile regression analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
  24. Quande Qin & Huangda He & Li Li & Ling-Yun He, 2020. "A Novel Decomposition-Ensemble Based Carbon Price Forecasting Model Integrated with Local Polynomial Prediction," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(4), pages 1249-1273, April.
  25. Li, Xuemei & Liu, Xiaoxing, 2023. "Functional classification and dynamic prediction of cumulative intraday returns in crude oil futures," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
  26. Zhang, Jin-Liang & Zhang, Yue-Jun & Zhang, Lu, 2015. "A novel hybrid method for crude oil price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 649-659.
  27. Wang, Bin & Wang, Jun, 2020. "Energy futures and spots prices forecasting by hybrid SW-GRU with EMD and error evaluation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
  28. Niu Dongxiao & Ma Tiannan & Liu Bingyi, 2017. "Power load forecasting by wavelet least squares support vector machine with improved fruit fly optimization algorithm," Journal of Combinatorial Optimization, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 1122-1143, April.
  29. Lu, Quanying & Li, Yuze & Chai, Jian & Wang, Shouyang, 2020. "Crude oil price analysis and forecasting: A perspective of “new triangle”," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
  30. Jiang, He & Hu, Weiqiang & Xiao, Ling & Dong, Yao, 2022. "A decomposition ensemble based deep learning approach for crude oil price forecasting," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  31. Hu, Zhongyi & Bao, Yukun & Chiong, Raymond & Xiong, Tao, 2015. "Mid-term interval load forecasting using multi-output support vector regression with a memetic algorithm for feature selection," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 419-431.
  32. Li, Jinchao & Zhu, Shaowen & Wu, Qianqian, 2019. "Monthly crude oil spot price forecasting using variational mode decomposition," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 240-253.
  33. Chen, Yanhui & Zhang, Chuan & He, Kaijian & Zheng, Aibing, 2018. "Multi-step-ahead crude oil price forecasting using a hybrid grey wave model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 501(C), pages 98-110.
  34. Fang, Tianhui & Zheng, Chunling & Wang, Donghua, 2023. "Forecasting the crude oil prices with an EMD-ISBM-FNN model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PA).
  35. Karasu, Seçkin & Altan, Aytaç & Bekiros, Stelios & Ahmad, Wasim, 2020. "A new forecasting model with wrapper-based feature selection approach using multi-objective optimization technique for chaotic crude oil time series," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
  36. Xu Gong & Keqin Guan & Qiyang Chen, 2022. "The role of textual analysis in oil futures price forecasting based on machine learning approach," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(10), pages 1987-2017, October.
  37. Cortazar, Gonzalo & Ortega, Hector & Valencia, Consuelo, 2021. "How good are analyst forecasts of oil prices?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
  38. Cheng, Fangzheng & Li, Tian & Wei, Yi-ming & Fan, Tijun, 2019. "The VEC-NAR model for short-term forecasting of oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 656-667.
  39. Qin, Quande & Xie, Kangqiang & He, Huangda & Li, Li & Chu, Xianghua & Wei, Yi-Ming & Wu, Teresa, 2019. "An effective and robust decomposition-ensemble energy price forecasting paradigm with local linear prediction," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 402-414.
  40. Anastasios G. Malliaris & Mary Malliaris, 2021. "What Microeconomic Fundamentals Drove Global Oil Prices during 1986–2020?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-13, August.
  41. Ke Gong & Yi Peng & Yong Wang & Maozeng Xu, 2018. "Time series analysis for C2C conversion rate," Electronic Commerce Research, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 763-789, December.
  42. Li, Yanfei & Shi, Huipeng & Han, Fengze & Duan, Zhu & Liu, Hui, 2019. "Smart wind speed forecasting approach using various boosting algorithms, big multi-step forecasting strategy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 540-553.
  43. Yu, Lean & Zhao, Yang & Tang, Ling, 2014. "A compressed sensing based AI learning paradigm for crude oil price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 236-245.
  44. Liu, Li & Wang, Yudong & Yang, Li, 2018. "Predictability of crude oil prices: An investor perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 193-205.
  45. Lang, Korbinian & Auer, Benjamin R., 2020. "The economic and financial properties of crude oil: A review," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  46. Wang, Lu & Ma, Feng & Hao, Jianyang & Gao, Xinxin, 2021. "Forecasting crude oil volatility with geopolitical risk: Do time-varying switching probabilities play a role?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
  47. Chen, Yanhui & He, Kaijian & Zhang, Chuan, 2016. "A novel grey wave forecasting method for predicting metal prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 323-331.
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