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Wind wake influence estimation on energy production of wind farm by adaptive neuro-fuzzy methodology

Author

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  • Nikolić, Vlastimir
  • Shamshirband, Shahaboddin
  • Petković, Dalibor
  • Mohammadi, Kasra
  • Ćojbašić, Žarko
  • Altameem, Torki A.
  • Gani, Abdullah

Abstract

Dissection of the power output in a row of working turbines and the reliance on wind course in respect to the column heading is examined. The point is to portray the extent of the wake impacts and give a sign of the indication of wind bearing. The target is to delineate whether the uniting of wakes inside extensive wind homesteads can be depicted by basic direct models or whether the consideration of the two-route collaboration between the wind turbines and the limit layer is a fundamental essential for precise models of wakes to be utilized within future wind farm plan. Soft computing methodologies may be utilized as substitute for analytical approach since they provides some benefits such as no need to information of internal system parameters, compact solution for multi-variable problems. This investigation dealt with application of ANFIS (adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system) for predicting the wake power and wind speed deficit. To provide statistical analysis, RMSE (root mean square error), coefficient of determination (R2) and Pearson coefficient (r) were utilized. The study results suggested that ANFIS would be an efficient soft computing methodology to offer precise predictions of wake wind speed deficit and power deficit ratio in wind farms. According to the achieved results, the best prediction was observed for free wind speed of 8 m/s. The RMSE, R2 and r were computed as 0.0763, 0.9893 and 0.9946 for ANFIS prediction of wake wind speed deficit and as 0.0128, 0.9967 and 0.9984 for ANFIS prediction of power deficit ratio.

Suggested Citation

  • Nikolić, Vlastimir & Shamshirband, Shahaboddin & Petković, Dalibor & Mohammadi, Kasra & Ćojbašić, Žarko & Altameem, Torki A. & Gani, Abdullah, 2015. "Wind wake influence estimation on energy production of wind farm by adaptive neuro-fuzzy methodology," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 361-372.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:80:y:2015:i:c:p:361-372
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2014.11.078
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Mehrbakhsh Nilashi & Fausto Cavallaro & Abbas Mardani & Edmundas Kazimieras Zavadskas & Sarminah Samad & Othman Ibrahim, 2018. "Measuring Country Sustainability Performance Using Ensembles of Neuro-Fuzzy Technique," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-20, August.
    6. Shamshirband, Shahaboddin & Keivani, Afram & Mohammadi, Kasra & Lee, Malrey & Hamid, Siti Hafizah Abd & Petkovic, Dalibor, 2016. "Assessing the proficiency of adaptive neuro-fuzzy system to estimate wind power density: Case study of Aligoodarz, Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 429-435.
    7. Yang, Jian & Song, Dongran & Dong, Mi & Chen, Sifan & Zou, Libing & Guerrero, Josep M., 2016. "Comparative studies on control systems for a two-blade variable-speed wind turbine with a speed exclusion zone," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 294-309.
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    11. Wu, Xuedong & Zhu, Zhiyu & Su, Xunliang & Fan, Shaosheng & Du, Zhaoping & Chang, Yanchao & Zeng, Qingjun, 2015. "A study of single multiplicative neuron model with nonlinear filters for hourly wind speed prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 194-201.
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