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Comparison of two new ARIMA-ANN and ARIMA-Kalman hybrid methods for wind speed prediction

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  1. D’Amico, Guglielmo & Petroni, Filippo & Prattico, Flavio, 2015. "Economic performance indicators of wind energy based on wind speed stochastic modeling," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 290-297.
  2. Yulong Bai & Lihong Tang & Manhong Fan & Xiaoyan Ma & Yang Yang, 2020. "Fuzzy First-Order Transition-Rules-Trained Hybrid Forecasting System for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasts," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-21, June.
  3. Athraa Ali Kadhem & Noor Izzri Abdul Wahab & Ishak Aris & Jasronita Jasni & Ahmed N. Abdalla, 2017. "Advanced Wind Speed Prediction Model Based on a Combination of Weibull Distribution and an Artificial Neural Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-17, October.
  4. Zhao, Weigang & Wei, Yi-Ming & Su, Zhongyue, 2016. "One day ahead wind speed forecasting: A resampling-based approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 886-901.
  5. Ouyang, Tinghui & Zha, Xiaoming & Qin, Liang & Xiong, Yi & Huang, Heming, 2017. "Model of selecting prediction window in ramps forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 98-107.
  6. Wang, Deyun & Luo, Hongyuan & Grunder, Olivier & Lin, Yanbing, 2017. "Multi-step ahead wind speed forecasting using an improved wavelet neural network combining variational mode decomposition and phase space reconstruction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1345-1358.
  7. Guanjun Liu & Chao Wang & Hui Qin & Jialong Fu & Qin Shen, 2022. "A Novel Hybrid Machine Learning Model for Wind Speed Probabilistic Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-16, September.
  8. Wang, Jianzhou & Xiong, Shenghua, 2014. "A hybrid forecasting model based on outlier detection and fuzzy time series – A case study on Hainan wind farm of China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 526-541.
  9. Zhang, Chi & Wei, Haikun & Zhao, Junsheng & Liu, Tianhong & Zhu, Tingting & Zhang, Kanjian, 2016. "Short-term wind speed forecasting using empirical mode decomposition and feature selection," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA), pages 727-737.
  10. Wang, Yun & Wang, Haibo & Srinivasan, Dipti & Hu, Qinghua, 2019. "Robust functional regression for wind speed forecasting based on Sparse Bayesian learning," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 43-60.
  11. Jiang, Han & Xi, Zhongli & A. Rahman, Anas & Zhang, Xiaoqing, 2020. "Prediction of output power with artificial neural network using extended datasets for Stirling engines," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).
  12. Cai, Haoshu & Jia, Xiaodong & Feng, Jianshe & Yang, Qibo & Hsu, Yuan-Ming & Chen, Yudi & Lee, Jay, 2019. "A combined filtering strategy for short term and long term wind speed prediction with improved accuracy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 1082-1090.
  13. Tascikaraoglu, A. & Erdinc, O. & Uzunoglu, M. & Karakas, A., 2014. "An adaptive load dispatching and forecasting strategy for a virtual power plant including renewable energy conversion units," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 445-453.
  14. Hainan Guo & Haobin Gu & Yu Zhou & Jiaxuan Peng, 2022. "A data-driven multi-fidelity simulation optimization for medical staff configuration at an emergency department in Hong Kong," Flexible Services and Manufacturing Journal, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 238-262, June.
  15. Li, Wenzhe & Jia, Xiaodong & Li, Xiang & Wang, Yinglu & Lee, Jay, 2021. "A Markov model for short term wind speed prediction by integrating the wind acceleration information," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 242-253.
  16. Aziz Ezzat, Ahmed, 2020. "Turbine-specific short-term wind speed forecasting considering within-farm wind field dependencies and fluctuations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
  17. Xiong, Tao & Bao, Yukun & Hu, Zhongyi, 2013. "Beyond one-step-ahead forecasting: Evaluation of alternative multi-step-ahead forecasting models for crude oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 405-415.
  18. Wang, Jianzhou & Qin, Shanshan & Zhou, Qingping & Jiang, Haiyan, 2015. "Medium-term wind speeds forecasting utilizing hybrid models for three different sites in Xinjiang, China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 91-101.
  19. Wu, Xuedong & Zhu, Zhiyu & Su, Xunliang & Fan, Shaosheng & Du, Zhaoping & Chang, Yanchao & Zeng, Qingjun, 2015. "A study of single multiplicative neuron model with nonlinear filters for hourly wind speed prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 194-201.
  20. Naik, Jyotirmayee & Dash, Sujit & Dash, P.K. & Bisoi, Ranjeeta, 2018. "Short term wind power forecasting using hybrid variational mode decomposition and multi-kernel regularized pseudo inverse neural network," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 180-212.
  21. Hua Li & Zhen Wang & Binbin Shan & Lingling Li, 2022. "Research on Multi-Step Prediction of Short-Term Wind Power Based on Combination Model and Error Correction," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-21, November.
  22. Sizhou Sun & Jingqi Fu & Ang Li, 2019. "A Compound Wind Power Forecasting Strategy Based on Clustering, Two-Stage Decomposition, Parameter Optimization, and Optimal Combination of Multiple Machine Learning Approaches," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-22, September.
  23. Vogel, E.E. & Saravia, G. & Kobe, S. & Schumann, R. & Schuster, R., 2018. "A novel method to optimize electricity generation from wind energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 724-735.
  24. Shukur, Osamah Basheer & Lee, Muhammad Hisyam, 2015. "Daily wind speed forecasting through hybrid KF-ANN model based on ARIMA," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 637-647.
  25. Wei Sun & Qi Gao, 2019. "Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction Based on Variational Mode Decomposition and Linear–Nonlinear Combination Optimization Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-27, June.
  26. Chinmoy, Lakshmi & Iniyan, S. & Goic, Ranko, 2019. "Modeling wind power investments, policies and social benefits for deregulated electricity market – A review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C), pages 364-377.
  27. Hui Wang & Jingxuan Sun & Jianbo Sun & Jilong Wang, 2017. "Using Random Forests to Select Optimal Input Variables for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-13, October.
  28. Ouyang, Tinghui & Kusiak, Andrew & He, Yusen, 2017. "Predictive model of yaw error in a wind turbine," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 119-130.
  29. Sun, Fei & Jin, Tongdan, 2022. "A hybrid approach to multi-step, short-term wind speed forecasting using correlated features," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 742-754.
  30. Neeraj Bokde & Andrés Feijóo & Nadhir Al-Ansari & Siyu Tao & Zaher Mundher Yaseen, 2020. "The Hybridization of Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Forecasting Models: Application of Short-Term Wind Speed and Power Modeling," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-23, April.
  31. Verdejo, Humberto & Awerkin, Almendra & Saavedra, Eugenio & Kliemann, Wolfgang & Vargas, Luis, 2016. "Stochastic modeling to represent wind power generation and demand in electric power system based on real data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 283-295.
  32. Zhao, Yongning & Ye, Lin & Li, Zhi & Song, Xuri & Lang, Yansheng & Su, Jian, 2016. "A novel bidirectional mechanism based on time series model for wind power forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 793-803.
  33. Chen, Xi & Yu, Ruyi & Ullah, Sajid & Wu, Dianming & Li, Zhiqiang & Li, Qingli & Qi, Honggang & Liu, Jihui & Liu, Min & Zhang, Yundong, 2022. "A novel loss function of deep learning in wind speed forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PB).
  34. Vladimir Simankov & Pavel Buchatskiy & Semen Teploukhov & Stefan Onishchenko & Anatoliy Kazak & Petr Chetyrbok, 2023. "Review of Estimating and Predicting Models of the Wind Energy Amount," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-24, August.
  35. Sun, Gaiping & Jiang, Chuanwen & Cheng, Pan & Liu, Yangyang & Wang, Xu & Fu, Yang & He, Yang, 2018. "Short-term wind power forecasts by a synthetical similar time series data mining method," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 575-584.
  36. Xiu, Chunbo & Wang, Tiantian & Tian, Meng & Li, Yanqing & Cheng, Yi, 2014. "Short-term prediction method of wind speed series based on fractal interpolation," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 89-97.
  37. Xin Zhao & Haikun Wei & Chenxi Li & Kanjian Zhang, 2020. "A Hybrid Nonlinear Forecasting Strategy for Short-Term Wind Speed," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-15, April.
  38. Oluseyi O. Ajayi & Richard O. Fagbenle & James Katende & Julius M. Ndambuki & David O. Omole & Adekunle A. Badejo, 2014. "Wind Energy Study and Energy Cost of Wind Electricity Generation in Nigeria: Past and Recent Results and a Case Study for South West Nigeria," Energies, MDPI, vol. 7(12), pages 1-27, December.
  39. Wang, Jianzhou & An, Yining & Li, Zhiwu & Lu, Haiyan, 2022. "A novel combined forecasting model based on neural networks, deep learning approaches, and multi-objective optimization for short-term wind speed forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
  40. Bayón, L. & Grau, J.M. & Ruiz, M.M. & Suárez, P.M., 2016. "A comparative economic study of two configurations of hydro-wind power plants," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 8-16.
  41. Sandra Minerva Valdivia-Bautista & José Antonio Domínguez-Navarro & Marco Pérez-Cisneros & Carlos Jesahel Vega-Gómez & Beatriz Castillo-Téllez, 2023. "Artificial Intelligence in Wind Speed Forecasting: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-28, March.
  42. Ait Maatallah, Othman & Achuthan, Ajit & Janoyan, Kerop & Marzocca, Pier, 2015. "Recursive wind speed forecasting based on Hammerstein Auto-Regressive model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 191-197.
  43. Shireen, Tahasin & Shao, Chenhui & Wang, Hui & Li, Jingjing & Zhang, Xi & Li, Mingyang, 2018. "Iterative multi-task learning for time-series modeling of solar panel PV outputs," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 654-662.
  44. Lin, Boqiang & Zhang, Chongchong, 2021. "A novel hybrid machine learning model for short-term wind speed prediction in inner Mongolia, China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 1565-1577.
  45. Cai, Haoshu & Jia, Xiaodong & Feng, Jianshe & Yang, Qibo & Li, Wenzhe & Li, Fei & Lee, Jay, 2021. "A unified Bayesian filtering framework for multi-horizon wind speed prediction with improved accuracy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 709-719.
  46. Erasmo Cadenas & Wilfrido Rivera & Rafael Campos-Amezcua & Christopher Heard, 2016. "Wind Speed Prediction Using a Univariate ARIMA Model and a Multivariate NARX Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-15, February.
  47. Osamah Basheer Shukur & Muhammad Hisyam Lee, 2015. "Imputation of Missing Values in Daily Wind Speed Data Using Hybrid AR-ANN Method," Modern Applied Science, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(11), pages 1-1, October.
  48. Liu, Hui & Tian, Hong-qi & Liang, Xi-feng & Li, Yan-fei, 2015. "Wind speed forecasting approach using secondary decomposition algorithm and Elman neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 183-194.
  49. Taiyong Li & Min Zhou & Chaoqi Guo & Min Luo & Jiang Wu & Fan Pan & Quanyi Tao & Ting He, 2016. "Forecasting Crude Oil Price Using EEMD and RVM with Adaptive PSO-Based Kernels," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-21, December.
  50. Shahram Hanifi & Saeid Lotfian & Hossein Zare-Behtash & Andrea Cammarano, 2022. "Offshore Wind Power Forecasting—A New Hyperparameter Optimisation Algorithm for Deep Learning Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-21, September.
  51. Qunli Wu & Chenyang Peng, 2016. "A Least Squares Support Vector Machine Optimized by Cloud-Based Evolutionary Algorithm for Wind Power Generation Prediction," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-20, July.
  52. Siavash Asiaban & Nezmin Kayedpour & Arash E. Samani & Dimitar Bozalakov & Jeroen D. M. De Kooning & Guillaume Crevecoeur & Lieven Vandevelde, 2021. "Wind and Solar Intermittency and the Associated Integration Challenges: A Comprehensive Review Including the Status in the Belgian Power System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-41, May.
  53. Jiang Wu & Yu Chen & Tengfei Zhou & Taiyong Li, 2019. "An Adaptive Hybrid Learning Paradigm Integrating CEEMD, ARIMA and SBL for Crude Oil Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-23, April.
  54. Zhao, Jing & Guo, Yanling & Xiao, Xia & Wang, Jianzhou & Chi, Dezhong & Guo, Zhenhai, 2017. "Multi-step wind speed and power forecasts based on a WRF simulation and an optimized association method," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 183-202.
  55. Dongxiao Niu & Yi Liang & Wei-Chiang Hong, 2017. "Wind Speed Forecasting Based on EMD and GRNN Optimized by FOA," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-18, December.
  56. Jiang, Ping & Yang, Hufang & Heng, Jiani, 2019. "A hybrid forecasting system based on fuzzy time series and multi-objective optimization for wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 786-801.
  57. Peng Chen & Andrew Vivian & Cheng Ye, 2022. "Forecasting carbon futures price: a hybrid method incorporating fuzzy entropy and extreme learning machine," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 559-601, June.
  58. Huajin Li & Yusen He & He Yang & Yong Wei & Songlin Li & Jianqiang Xu, 2021. "Rainfall prediction using optimally pruned extreme learning machines," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(1), pages 799-817, August.
  59. Lu, Peng & Ye, Lin & Pei, Ming & Zhao, Yongning & Dai, Binhua & Li, Zhuo, 2022. "Short-term wind power forecasting based on meteorological feature extraction and optimization strategy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 642-661.
  60. Ata, Rasit, 2015. "Artificial neural networks applications in wind energy systems: a review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 534-562.
  61. Liu, Hui & Chen, Chao, 2019. "Data processing strategies in wind energy forecasting models and applications: A comprehensive review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C), pages 392-408.
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  63. Weide Li & Xuan Yang & Hao Li & Lili Su, 2017. "Hybrid Forecasting Approach Based on GRNN Neural Network and SVR Machine for Electricity Demand Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-17, January.
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  67. Neeraj Bokde & Andrés Feijóo & Daniel Villanueva & Kishore Kulat, 2019. "A Review on Hybrid Empirical Mode Decomposition Models for Wind Speed and Wind Power Prediction," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-42, January.
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  69. Akçay, Hüseyin & Filik, Tansu, 2017. "Short-term wind speed forecasting by spectral analysis from long-term observations with missing values," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 653-662.
  70. Hamid Moeeni & Hossein Bonakdari, 2018. "Impact of Normalization and Input on ARMAX-ANN Model Performance in Suspended Sediment Load Prediction," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(3), pages 845-863, February.
  71. Yingrui Zhou & Taiyong Li & Jiayi Shi & Zijie Qian, 2019. "A CEEMDAN and XGBOOST-Based Approach to Forecast Crude Oil Prices," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-15, February.
  72. Song, Dongran & Yang, Jian & Su, Mei & Liu, Anfeng & Cai, Zili & Liu, Yao & Joo, Young Hoon, 2017. "A novel wind speed estimator-integrated pitch control method for wind turbines with global-power regulation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 816-830.
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  74. Tascikaraoglu, A. & Uzunoglu, M., 2014. "A review of combined approaches for prediction of short-term wind speed and power," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 243-254.
  75. Hu, Rui & Hu, Weihao & Gökmen, Nuri & Li, Pengfei & Huang, Qi & Chen, Zhe, 2019. "High resolution wind speed forecasting based on wavelet decomposed phase space reconstruction and self-organizing map," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 17-31.
  76. Yechi Zhang & Jianzhou Wang & Haiyan Lu, 2019. "Research and Application of a Novel Combined Model Based on Multiobjective Optimization for Multistep-Ahead Electric Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-27, May.
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  82. Liu, Hui & Tian, Hongqi & Liang, Xifeng & Li, Yanfei, 2015. "New wind speed forecasting approaches using fast ensemble empirical model decomposition, genetic algorithm, Mind Evolutionary Algorithm and Artificial Neural Networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 1066-1075.
  83. Wang, Jian-Zhou & Wang, Yun & Jiang, Ping, 2015. "The study and application of a novel hybrid forecasting model – A case study of wind speed forecasting in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 472-488.
  84. Liu, Hui & Tian, Hong-qi & Pan, Di-fu & Li, Yan-fei, 2013. "Forecasting models for wind speed using wavelet, wavelet packet, time series and Artificial Neural Networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 191-208.
  85. Chen, Xue-Jun & Zhao, Jing & Jia, Xiao-Zhong & Li, Zhong-Long, 2021. "Multi-step wind speed forecast based on sample clustering and an optimized hybrid system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(P1), pages 595-611.
  86. Manisha Sawant & Rupali Patil & Tanmay Shikhare & Shreyas Nagle & Sakshi Chavan & Shivang Negi & Neeraj Dhanraj Bokde, 2022. "A Selective Review on Recent Advancements in Long, Short and Ultra-Short-Term Wind Power Prediction," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-24, October.
  87. Liu, Hui & Duan, Zhu & Li, Yanfei & Lu, Haibo, 2018. "A novel ensemble model of different mother wavelets for wind speed multi-step forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 1783-1800.
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  90. Hao, Ying & Dong, Lei & Liao, Xiaozhong & Liang, Jun & Wang, Lijie & Wang, Bo, 2019. "A novel clustering algorithm based on mathematical morphology for wind power generation prediction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 572-585.
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