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A novel clustering algorithm based on mathematical morphology for wind power generation prediction

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  • Hao, Ying
  • Dong, Lei
  • Liao, Xiaozhong
  • Liang, Jun
  • Wang, Lijie
  • Wang, Bo

Abstract

Wind power has the characteristic of daily similarity. Furthermore, days with wind power variation trends reflect similar meteorological phenomena. Therefore, wind power prediction accuracy can be improved and computational complexity during model simulation reduced by choosing the historical days whose numerical weather prediction information is similar to that of the predicted day as training samples. This paper proposes a new prediction model based on a novel dilation and erosion (DE) clustering algorithm for wind power generation. In the proposed model, the days with similar numerical weather prediction (NWP) information to the predicted day are selected via the proposed DE clustering algorithm, which is based on the basic operations in mathematical morphology. And the proposed DE clustering algorithm can cluster automatically without supervision. Case study conducted using data from Yilan wind farm in northeast China indicate that the performance of the new generalized regression neural network (GRNN) prediction model based on the proposed DE clustering algorithm (DE clustering-GRNN) is better than that of the DPK-medoids clustering-GRNN, the K-means clustering-GRNN, and the AM-GRNN in terms of day-ahead wind power prediction. Further, the proposed DE clustering-GRNN model is adaptive.

Suggested Citation

  • Hao, Ying & Dong, Lei & Liao, Xiaozhong & Liang, Jun & Wang, Lijie & Wang, Bo, 2019. "A novel clustering algorithm based on mathematical morphology for wind power generation prediction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 572-585.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:136:y:2019:i:c:p:572-585
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2019.01.018
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    6. Ye, Lin & Li, Yilin & Pei, Ming & Zhao, Yongning & Li, Zhuo & Lu, Peng, 2022. "A novel integrated method for short-term wind power forecasting based on fluctuation clustering and history matching," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
    7. Fahd A. Alturki & Emad Mahrous Awwad, 2021. "Sizing and Cost Minimization of Standalone Hybrid WT/PV/Biomass/Pump-Hydro Storage-Based Energy Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-20, January.
    8. Ifaei, Pouya & Nazari-Heris, Morteza & Tayerani Charmchi, Amir Saman & Asadi, Somayeh & Yoo, ChangKyoo, 2023. "Sustainable energies and machine learning: An organized review of recent applications and challenges," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
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    10. Li, Lei & Yin, Xiao-Li & Jia, Xin-Chun & Sobhani, Behrooz, 2020. "Day ahead powerful probabilistic wind power forecast using combined intelligent structure and fuzzy clustering algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).

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