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The Impact of Situation and Outlook Information in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets: Evidence from WASDE Reports

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Lehecka, Georg V., 2014. "The Value of USDA Crop Progress and Condition Information: Reactions of Corn and Soybean Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 39(01), pages 1-18, April.
  2. Nicolas Merener, 2012. "Globally Distributed Production and Asset Pricing:the Rise of Latin America in CME Soybean Futures," Business School Working Papers 2012-01, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
  3. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Cao, Xiang & Karali, Berna & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael & Johansson, Robert C., 2021. "When does USDA information have the most impact on crop and livestock markets?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
  4. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., "undated". "USDA Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates and Yield Forecasts: Dispelling Myths and Misunderstandings," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183528, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
  5. Karali, Berna, 2012. "Do USDA Announcements Affect Comovements Across Commodity Futures Returns?," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(01), pages 1-21, April.
  6. repec:hal:wpaper:hal-02149355 is not listed on IDEAS
  7. MacDonald, Stephen & Ash, Mark & Cooke, Bryce, 2017. "The Evolution of Inefficiency in USDA’s Forecasts of U.S. and World Soybean Markets," MPRA Paper 87545, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  8. repec:ags:jrapmc:122315 is not listed on IDEAS
  9. Kaus, Taylor T. & Mattos, Fabio L., "undated". "Too much information? How relevant are agricultural reports that provide similar information?," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258367, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  10. Ying, Jiahui & Shonkwiler, J. Scott, "undated". "A Temporal Impact Assessment Method for the Informational Content of USDA Reports in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258201, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  11. Darby, Jessica L. & McKenzie, Andrew M., 2015. "Information Content of USDA Rice Reports and Price Reactions of Rice Futures," 2015 Conference, April 20-21, 2015, St. Louis, Missouri 285835, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  12. Bunek, Gabriel D. & Janzen, Joseph P., 2015. "Characterizing the Effect of USDA Report Announcements in the Winter Wheat Futures Market Using Realized Volatility," 2015 Conference, April 20-21, 2015, St. Louis, Missouri 285838, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  13. MacDonald, Stephen & Ash, Mark, 2016. "Detecting the Sources of Information Rigidity: Analyzing Forecast Bias and Smoothing in USDA’s Soybean Forecasts," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235349, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  14. Xiaoyang Wang & Philip Garcia & Scott H. Irwin, 2014. "The Behavior of Bid-Ask Spreads in the Electronically-Traded Corn Futures Market," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 96(2), pages 557-577.
  15. Dorfman, Jeffrey H. & Karali, Berna, 2013. "A Nonparametric Search for Information Effects from USDA Reports," 2013 Conference, April 22-23, 2013, St. Louis, Missouri 285795, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  16. Berna Karali & Scott H. Irwin & Olga Isengildina‐Massa, 2020. "Supply Fundamentals and Grain Futures Price Movements," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(2), pages 548-568, March.
  17. Dorfmann, Jeffrey & Karali, Berna, 2015. "A Nonparametric Search for Information Effects from USDA Reports," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 40(01), pages 1-20.
  18. Adjemian, Michael K. & Arnade, Carlos Anthony, "undated". "Not Lost in Translation: The Impact of USDA Reports on International Corn Markets," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258362, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  19. Siddhartha S. Bora & Ani L. Katchova & Todd H. Kuethe, 2021. "The Rationality of USDA Forecasts under Multivariate Asymmetric Loss," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 103(3), pages 1006-1033, May.
  20. Karali, Berna & Massa, Olga Isengildina & Irwin, Scott H., 2019. "Fundamentals and Grain Futures Markets," 2019 Conference, April 15-16, 2019, Minneapolis, Minnesota 309633, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  21. Piette, Pierrick, 2019. "Can Satellite Data Forecast Valuable Information from USDA Reports ? Evidences on Corn Yield Estimates," 2019 Conference, April 15-16, 2019, Minneapolis, Minnesota 309635, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  22. McKenzie, Andrew M. & Ke, Yangmin, 2022. "How do USDA announcements affect international commodity prices?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
  23. Adrian Fernandez‐Perez & Bart Frijns & Ivan Indriawan & Alireza Tourani‐Rad, 2019. "Surprise and dispersion: informational impact of USDA announcements," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 50(1), pages 113-126, January.
  24. Milacek, Trent T. & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2013. "How Much Would It Be Worth to Know the WASDE Report In Advance?," 2013 Conference, April 22-23, 2013, St. Louis, Missouri 285789, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  25. Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R. & Good, Darrel L., 2014. "Evaluation of Selected USDA WAOB and NASS Forecasts and Estimates in Corn and Soybeans," Marketing and Outlook Research Reports 183477, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
  26. Alex Frino & Michael Garcia, 2018. "Should macroeconomic information be released during trading breaks in futures markets?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(7), pages 775-787, July.
  27. Karali, Berna & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael K. & Johansson, Robert, 2019. "Are USDA reports still news to changing crop markets?," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 66-76.
  28. Xie, Ran & Isengildina-Massa, Olga Isengildina- & Sharp, Julia L., 2014. "Quantifying Public and Private Information Effects on the Cotton Market," 2014 Conference, April 21-22, 2014, St. Louis, Missouri 285815, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  29. repec:isu:genstf:201501010800005902 is not listed on IDEAS
  30. Joshua Huang & Teresa Serra & Philip Garcia, 2021. "The Value of USDA Announcements in the Electronically Traded Corn Futures Market: A Modified Sufficient Test with Risk Adjustments," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(3), pages 712-734, September.
  31. Urcola, Hernan A. & Irwin, Scott H., 2011. "Are Agricultural Options Overpriced?," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 36(01), pages 1-15, April.
  32. Lusk, Jayson L., "undated". "From Farm Income to Food Consumption: Valuing USDA Data Products," C-FARE Reports 266593, Council on Food, Agricultural, and Resource Economics (C-FARE).
  33. Ying, Jiahui & Chen, Yu & Dorfman, Jeffrey H., 2017. "Is the Value of USDA Announcement Effects Declining over Time?," 2017 Conference, April 24-25, 2017, St. Louis, Missouri 285877, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  34. Kishore Joseph & Philip Garcia, 2018. "Intraday market effects in electronic soybean futures market during non-trading and trading hour announcements," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(11), pages 1188-1202, March.
  35. repec:ags:jrapmc:122314 is not listed on IDEAS
  36. Andrew M. McKenzie & Jessica L. Darby, 2017. "Information Content of USDA Rice Reports and Price Reactions of Rice Futures," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 552-568, September.
  37. Xiao, Jinzhi & Lence, Sergio H. & Hart, Chad, 2014. "Usda And Private Analysts' Forecasts Of Ending Stocks: How Good Are They?," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170642, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  38. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Scott H. Irwin & Darrel L. Good & Jennifer K. Gomez, 2008. "Impact of WASDE reports on implied volatility in corn and soybean markets," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(4), pages 473-490.
  39. Ferguson, Shon & Ubilava, David, 2022. "Global commodity market disruption and the fallout," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 66(04), January.
  40. Bunek, Gabriel D. & Janzen, Joseph P., 2024. "Does public information facilitate price consensus? Characterizing USDA announcement effects using realized volatility," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
  41. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & MacDonald, Stephen & Xie, Ran, 2012. "A Comprehensive Evaluation of USDA Cotton Forecasts," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(01), pages 1-16, April.
  42. Wang, Xiaoyang & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H., 2012. "The Behavior of Bid-Ask Spreads in the Electronically Traded Corn Futures Market," 2012 Conference, April 16-17, 2012, St. Louis, Missouri 285781, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  43. Isengildina-Massa, Olga Isengildina- & Karali, Berna & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael K., 2016. "The Value of USDA Information in a Big Data Era," 2016 Conference, April 18-19, 2016, St. Louis, Missouri 285854, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  44. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, . "Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Corn Yield Forecasts," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5.
  45. Dominik Boos, 2024. "Risky times: Seasonality and event risk of commodities," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(5), pages 767-783, May.
  46. Brooks, Kathleen & Mattos, Fabio, 2014. "How Do Agricultural Futures Prices Respond To New Information About Drought Conditions?," 2014 Conference, April 21-22, 2014, St. Louis, Missouri 285821, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  47. Goyal, Raghav & Adjemian, Michael K., 2021. "The 2019 government shutdown increased uncertainty in major agricultural commodity markets," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
  48. Tianyang Zhang & Ziran Li, 2022. "Can a rational expectation storage model explain the USDA ending grain stocks forecast errors?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 313-337, March.
  49. Lehecka, Georg V., 2013. "The Reaction of Corn and Soybean Futures Markets to USDA Crop Progress and Condition Information," 2013 Annual Meeting, February 2-5, 2013, Orlando, Florida 142491, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
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