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Are Agricultural Options Overpriced?

Author

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  • Urcola, Hernan A.
  • Irwin, Scott H.

Abstract

As agricultural options markets grow, perceptions of overpricing persist among market participants. This study tests the efficiency of corn, soybean, and wheat options by computing trading returns. Several call and put option strategies yield significant profits, but returns are influenced by movements in the futures price, and straddle trading does not lead to significant returns. The combined analysis of put, call, and straddle returns indicates that significant returns can be attributed to drifts in the underlying futures, and that the corn, soybean, and wheat options markets are efficient.

Suggested Citation

  • Urcola, Hernan A. & Irwin, Scott H., 2011. "Are Agricultural Options Overpriced?," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 36(1), pages 1-15, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:jlaare:105525
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.105525
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    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/105525/files/JARE_Apr2011__05_pp63-77_Urcola.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. George M. Constantinides & Jens Carsten Jackwerth & Stylianos Perrakis, 2009. "Mispricing of S&P 500 Index Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(3), pages 1247-1277.
    2. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Gomez, Jennifer K., 2008. "The Impact of Situation and Outlook Information in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets: Evidence from WASDE Reports," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 40(1), pages 89-103, April.
    3. repec:cup:jagaec:v:40:y:2008:i:1:p:89-103_6 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Cited by:

    1. Chavas, Jean-Paul & Li, Jian & Wang, Linjie, 2024. "Option pricing revisited: The role of price volatility and dynamics," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    2. Bozic, Marin & Newton, John & Thraen, Cameron S. & Gould, Brian W., 2012. "Parametric Bootstrap Tests for Futures Price and Implied Volatility Biases with Application to Rating Livestock Margin Insurance for Dairy Cattle," Staff Papers 135077, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
    3. Chavas, Jean-Paul & Li, Jian & Wang, Linjie, 2024. "Option Pricing Revisited: The Role of Price Volatility and Dynamics," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343544, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

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    Keywords

    Risk and Uncertainty;

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