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Surprise and Dispersion: Informational Impact of USDA Announcements

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  • Fernandez-Perez, Adrian
  • Frijns, Bart
  • Indriawan, Ivan
  • Tourani-Rad, Alireza

Abstract

We examine the role of information asymmetry on changes in bid‐ask spreads during major United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) announcements. Our analyses, using corn, wheat, and soybean futures, indicate that information asymmetry is significantly higher on USDA announcement days compared to nonannouncement days. We further observe that the increased information asymmetry prior to news announcements is mainly driven by the divergence in private information possessed by market participants. However, once the USDA news is released, not only the dispersion in investors’ private information but also the surprises in news announcements contribute to increased information asymmetry and widening of bid‐ask spreads.
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Suggested Citation

  • Fernandez-Perez, Adrian & Frijns, Bart & Indriawan, Ivan & Tourani-Rad, Alireza, 2017. "Surprise and Dispersion: Informational Impact of USDA Announcements," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 259208, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea17:259208
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.259208
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    Cited by:

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    2. Adjemian, Michael K. & Irwin, Scott H., 2020. "The market response to government crop news under different release regimes," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 19(C).
    3. An N. Q. Cao & Michel A. Robe, 2022. "Market uncertainty and sentiment around USDA announcements," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 250-275, February.
    4. Yang, Yao & Karali, Berna, 2022. "The Role of USDA Reports on Extreme Volatility Coexceedances: An Application to the Soybean Complex," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322104, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. Joshua Huang & Teresa Serra & Philip Garcia & Scott H. Irwin, 2022. "To batch or not to batch? The release of USDA crop reports," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 53(1), pages 143-154, January.
    6. Bunek, Gabriel D. & Janzen, Joseph P., 2024. "Does public information facilitate price consensus? Characterizing USDA announcement effects using realized volatility," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    7. Cao, An N.Q. & Ionici, Octavian & Robe, Michel A., 2022. "USDA Announcements and the Stock Prices of Food-Sector Companies," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322062, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

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