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The spatial and temporal diffusion of agricultural land prices

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  • Yang, Xinyue
  • Odening, Martin
  • Ritter, Matthias

Abstract

In the last decade, many parts of the world experienced severe increases in agricultural land prices. This price surge, however, did not take place evenly in space and time. To better understand the spatial and temporal behavior of land prices, we employ a price diffusion model that combines features of market integration models and spatial econometric models. An application of this model to farmland prices in Germany shows that prices on a county-level are cointegrated. Apart from convergence towards a long-run equilibrium, we find that price transmission also proceeds through short-term adjustments caused by neighboring regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Yang, Xinyue & Odening, Martin & Ritter, Matthias, 2018. "The spatial and temporal diffusion of agricultural land prices," FORLand Working Papers 01 (2018), Humboldt University Berlin, DFG Research Unit 2569 FORLand "Agricultural Land Markets – Efficiency and Regulation".
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:forlwp:012018
    DOI: 10.18452/18720
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    18. repec:hal:journl:peer-00796743 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Cited by:

    1. Ritter, Matthias & Hüttel, Silke & Odening, Martin & Seifert, Stefan, 2020. "Revisiting the relationship between land price and parcel size in agriculture," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    2. Aaron Grau & Martin Odening & Matthias Ritter, 2020. "Land price diffusion across borders – the case of Germany," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(50), pages 5446-5463, October.
    3. Marlene Kionka & Martin Odening & Jana Plogmann & Matthias Ritter, 2021. "Measuring liquidity in agricultural land markets," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 82(4), pages 690-713, September.
    4. Mateusz Tomal & Agata Gumieniak, 2020. "Agricultural Land Price Convergence: Evidence from Polish Provinces," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-20, May.
    5. Cord-Friedrich von Hobe & Marius Michels & Oliver Musshoff, 2021. "German Farmers’ Perspectives on Price Drivers in Agricultural Land Rental Markets—A Combination of a Systematic Literature Review and Survey Results," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-22, February.
    6. Jarmila Lazíková & Ľubica Rumanovská & Ivan Takáč & Piotr Prus & Alexander Fehér, 2021. "Regional Differences of Agricultural Land Market in Slovakia: A Challenge for Sustainable Agriculture," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-20, April.
    7. Song, Malin & Xie, Qianjiao & Chen, Jiandong, 2022. "Effects of government competition on land prices under opening up conditions: A case study of the Huaihe River ecological economic belt," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    8. Ritter, Matthias & Huttel, Silke & Odening, Martin & Seifert, Stefan, 2019. "Revisiting The Relationship Between Land Price And Parcel Size," 2019 Conference (63rd), February 12-15, 2019, Melbourne, Australia 285062, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society (AARES).
    9. Plogmann, Jana & Mußhoff, Oliver & Odening, Martin & Ritter, Matthias, 2022. "Farmland sales under returns and price uncertainty," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    10. Grau, Aaron & Jasic, Svetlana & Ritter, Matthias & Odening, Martin, 2019. "The impact of production intensity on agricultural land prices," FORLand Working Papers 09 (2019), Humboldt University Berlin, DFG Research Unit 2569 FORLand "Agricultural Land Markets – Efficiency and Regulation".
    11. Pavel Ciaian & Edoardo Baldoni & d'Artis Kancs & Dušan Drabik, 2021. "The Capitalization of Agricultural Subsidies into Land Prices," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 13(1), pages 17-38, October.
    12. Kvartiuk, Vasyl & Herzfeld, Thomas & Bukin, Eduard, 2022. "Decentralized public farmland conveyance: Rental rights auctioning in Ukraine," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agricultural land markets; price diffusion; spatial dependence; ripple effect;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q24 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Land
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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