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Structural gravity estimation & agriculture

  • Prehn, Sören
  • Brümmer, Bernhard
  • Glauben, Thomas

Recently, discussion about the appropriate estimation of gravity trade models has started in agriculture. Here, we are going to review recent developments in the literature. It appears that fixed effects Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood is not only the only consistent estimator [Santos Silva and Tenreyro, 2006] but also it already allows for a structural fit [Fally, 2012]. Fixed effects in conjunction with the adding-up property of Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood - which has been so far neglegted - can be harnessed to directly deduce multilateral resistance indexes (i.e. general equilibrium effects) from reduced-form estimation. This innovation made by Fally will ease comparative statics and incidence analysis, making Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood even more preferable in practice.

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Paper provided by Georg-August University of Göttingen, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development (DARE) in its series DARE Discussion Papers with number 1209.

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Date of creation: 2012
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Handle: RePEc:zbw:daredp:1209
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  1. James E. Anderson & Eric van Wincoop, 2003. "Gravity with Gravitas: A Solution to the Border Puzzle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(1), pages 170-192, March.
  2. Kevin E. Staub & Rainer Winkelmann, 2013. "Consistent Estimation Of Zero‐Inflated Count Models," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(6), pages 673-686, 06.
  3. Joao Santos Silva & Silvana Tenreyro, 2009. "Further simulation evidence on the performance of the Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood estimator," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 25506, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  4. Peter H. Egger & Mario Larch, 2012. "Estimating Consistent Border Effects in Gravity Models with Multilateral Resistance," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(9), pages 1121-1125, 09.
  5. Joao Santos Silva & Silvana Tenreyro, 2005. "The Log of Gravity," CEP Discussion Papers dp0701, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
  6. James E. Anderson & Yoto V. Yotov, 2010. "The Changing Incidence of Geography," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(5), pages 2157-86, December.
  7. Clément Bosquet & Hervé Boulhol, 2014. "Applying the GLM Variance Assumption to Overcome the Scale-Dependence of the Negative Binomial QGPML Estimator," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(7), pages 772-784, October.
  8. Clément Bosquet & Hervé Boulhol, 2010. "Scale-dependence of the Negative Binomial Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Estimator," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00535594, HAL.
  9. Zahoor Ul Haq & Karl Meilke & John Cranfield, 2013. "Selection bias in a gravity model of agrifood trade," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Foundation for the European Review of Agricultural Economics, vol. 40(2), pages 331-360, March.
  10. Anderson, James & Milot, Catherine & Yotov, Yoto, 2012. "How Much Does Geography Deflect Services Trade?," School of Economics Working Paper Series 2012-5, LeBow College of Business, Drexel University.
  11. James E. Anderson & Yoto V. Yotov, 2012. "Gold Standard Gravity," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 795, Boston College Department of Economics.
  12. Martijn Burger & Frank van Oort & Gert-Jan Linders, 2009. "On the Specification of the Gravity Model of Trade: Zeros, Excess Zeros and Zero-inflated Estimation," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(2), pages 167-190.
  13. Philippidis, George & Resano-Ezcaray, Helena & Sanjuan-Lopez, Ana Isabel, 2011. "Capturing zero trade values in gravity equations of trade: A disaggregated sectoral analysis," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 114760, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  14. Busse, Stefan & Brümmer, Bernard & Ihle, Rico, 2010. "Interdependencies between fossil fuel and renewable energy markets: the German biodiesel market," DARE Discussion Papers 1010, Georg-August University of Göttingen, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development (DARE).
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