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Public debt and changing inflation targets

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  • Krause, Michael U.
  • Moyen, Stéphane

Abstract

What are the effects of a higher central bank inflation target on the burden of real public debt? Several recent proposals have suggested that even a moderate increase in the inflation target can have a pronounced effect on real public debt. We consider this question in a New Keynesian model with a maturity structure of public debt and an imperfectly observed inflation target. We find that moderate changes in the inflation target only have significant effects on real public debt if they are essentially permanent. Moreover, the additional benefits of not communicating a change in the inflation target are minor.

Suggested Citation

  • Krause, Michael U. & Moyen, Stéphane, 2013. "Public debt and changing inflation targets," Discussion Papers 06/2013, Deutsche Bundesbank.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bubdps:062013
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    Cited by:

    1. Carlos Garriga & Finn E. Kydland & Roman Šustek, 2016. "Nominal Rigidities in Debt and Product Markets," Working Papers 801, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    2. Neck, R. & Blueschke, D., 2016. "What to do when stagflation returns? Monetary and fiscal policy strategies for a monetary union," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 14(PA), pages 128-146.
    3. Reinhard Neck & Dmitri Blueschke, 2014. "“Haircuts” for the EMU periphery: virtue or vice?," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 41(2), pages 153-175, May.
    4. Mayer, Eric & Rüth, Sebastian & Scharler, Johann, 2013. "Government debt, inflation dynamics and the transmission of fiscal policy shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 762-771.
    5. Reinhard Neck & Dmitri Blueschke, 2016. "United we stand: on the macroeconomics of a Fiscal union," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 43(2), pages 333-347, May.
    6. Gerke, Rafael & Giesen, Sebastian & Scheer, Alexander, 2020. "The power of forward guidance in a quantitative TANK model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    7. Bernardin Akitoby & Takuji Komatsuzaki & Ariel J Binder, 2014. "Inflation and Public Debt Reversals in the G7 Countries," IMF Working Papers 14/96, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Scheer, Alexander, 2015. "Debt consolidation with long-term debt," Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112874, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    9. Ansgar Rannenberg, 2019. "Forward guidance with preferences over safe assets," Working Paper Research 364, National Bank of Belgium.
    10. Paulo de Carvalho Lins & Marcio Issao Nakane, 2019. "Floating-rate bonds and monetary policy effectiveness: insights from a DSGE model," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2019_08, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    11. Michael Reiter & Philipp Hergovich, 2016. "Housing and the Redistributive Effects of Monetary Policy," 2016 Meeting Papers 1324, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    public debt; learning; inflation target; callable perpetuity; debt maturity;

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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