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The Incentives for Takeover in Oligopoly

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  • Roman Inderst
  • Christian Wey

Abstract

This paper presents a model of takeover incentives in an oligopolistic industry, which,in contrast to previous approaches, takes both insiders' and outsiders' gains from anincrease in industry concentration into account. Our main application is to comparetakeover incentives in a differentiated Cournot and Bertrand oligopoly model withlinear demand and costs. We provide a complete analysis for arbitrary numbers of firms,complements and substitutes, and degrees of product differentiation. An increase inconcentration is more likely under Cournot competition if products are complementsand more likely under Bertrand competition if products are substitutes. Moreover, asproducts become closer substitutes, a takeover becomes more likely under Bertrand andless likely under Cournot competition. ZUSAMMENFASSUNG - (Übernahmeanreize im Oligopol) In dieser Arbeit wird ein Modell zur Analyse von Fusionsanreizen vorgestellt, in dem - im Gegensatz zu vorhergehenden Untersuchungen - sowohl die Gewinnzuwächse der an der Fusion beteiligten Firmen als auch die Gewinnveränderungen der Konkurrenzunternehmen die Übernahmewahrscheinlichkeit bestimmen. Die wichtigste Anwendung ist der Vergleich der Übernahmeanreize im Cournot- und Bertrand-Oligopol mit differenzierten Gütern und linearen Nachfrage- und Kostenfunktionen. Die Arbeit bietet eine vollständige Analyse für eine beliebige Anzahl von Unternehmen, komplementäre und substituierbare Güter und unterschiedliche Grade der Produktdifferenzierung. Eine Zunahme der Konzentration in einer Industrie ist wahrscheinlicher bei Cournot-Konkurrenz, wenn die Güter komplementär sind, und wahrscheinlicher bei Bertrand-Konkurrenz, wenn die Güter substituierbar sind. Des weiteren steigt (sinkt) die Übernahmewahrscheinlichkeit mit zunehmender Substituierbarkeit der Güter bei Bertrand- (Cournot-) Konkurrenz.

Suggested Citation

  • Roman Inderst & Christian Wey, 2001. "The Incentives for Takeover in Oligopoly," CIG Working Papers FS IV 01-24, Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin (WZB), Research Unit: Competition and Innovation (CIG).
  • Handle: RePEc:wzb:wzebiv:fsiv01-24
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Roberto Burguet & Ramon Caminal, 2015. "Bargaining Failures And Merger Policy," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 56(3), pages 1019-1041, August.
    2. Granier, Laurent & Podesta, Marion, 2010. "Bundling and Mergers in Energy Markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 1316-1324, November.
    3. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:4:y:2008:i:14:p:1-5 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Alberto Salvo, 2010. "Sequential Cross‐border Mergers in Models of Oligopoly," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 77(306), pages 352-383, April.
    5. Marco Pagnozzi & Antonio Rosato, 2014. "Entry by Takeover: Auctions vs. Negotiations," CSEF Working Papers 353, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    6. Albert Banal-Estañol & Paul Heidhues & Rainer Nitsche & Jo Seldeslachts, 2006. "Merger Clusters during Economic Booms," CIG Working Papers SP II 2006-17, Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin (WZB), Research Unit: Competition and Innovation (CIG).
    7. Christos Cabolis & Constantine Manasakis & Emmanuel Petrakis, 2008. "Horizontal Mergers and Acquisitions with Endogenous Efficiency Gains," Working Papers 0817, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
    8. Banal-Estanol, A. & Heidhues, P., 2006. "Merged clusters during economic booms," Working Papers 06/07, Department of Economics, City University London.
    9. Jozsef Molnar, 2002. "Preemptive Horizontal Mergers: Theory and Evidence," CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS 0213, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
    10. Pagnozzi, Marco & Rosato, Antonio, 2016. "Entry by takeover: Auctions vs. bilateral negotiations," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 68-84.
    11. Cabolis, C. & Manasakis, C. & Moreno, Diego & Petrakis, Emmanuel, 2016. "R&D investments fostering horizontal mergers," UC3M Working papers. Economics 23280, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
    12. Jehiel, Philippe & Moldovanu, Benny, 2005. "Allocative and Informational Externalities in Auctions and Related Mechanisms," Discussion Paper Series of SFB/TR 15 Governance and the Efficiency of Economic Systems 142, Free University of Berlin, Humboldt University of Berlin, University of Bonn, University of Mannheim, University of Munich.
    13. Albert Banal‐Estañol & Paul Heidhues & Rainer Nitsche & Jo Seldeslachts, 2010. "Screening And Merger Activity," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 58(4), pages 794-817, December.
    14. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2007_017 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Jens Südekum, 2010. "National champions and globalization," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 43(1), pages 204-231, February.
    16. Felix Höffler, 2008. "On the consistent use of linear demand systems if not all varieties are available," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 4(14), pages 1-5.
    17. Roland Kirstein, 2013. "Fight or buy? A comparison of internationalization strategies," FEMM Working Papers 130003, Otto-von-Guericke University Magdeburg, Faculty of Economics and Management.
    18. Felix Höffler, 2008. "On the consistent use of linear demand systems if not all varieties are available," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group 08-01, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management.
    19. Jozsef Molnar, 2002. "Preemptive Horizontal Mergers: Theory and Evidence," CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS 0213, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
    20. Rosato, Antonio, 2008. "“Matching Auctions” for Hostile Takeovers: A Model with Endogenous Target," MPRA Paper 15083, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 07 Jan 2009.
    21. Cabolis, C. & Manasakis, C. & Moreno, D. & Petrakis, E., 2021. "The interactions of R&D investments and horizontal mergers," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 507-534.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Merger; Takeover; Bidding; Oligopoly;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D43 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection
    • D44 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Auctions
    • L10 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - General
    • L41 - Industrial Organization - - Antitrust Issues and Policies - - - Monopolization; Horizontal Anticompetitive Practices

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