Money Velocity with Interest Rate Stochastic Volatility and Exact Aggregation
The determinants of money velocity are explored under various assumptions on interest rate uncertainty in a monetary general equilibrium model. It is found that the appearance of velocity function instability can be produced by overlooking interest rate stochastic volatility. In addition, when interest rates are subject to stochastic volatility, velocity is found to follow a nonlinear stochastic process. We conclude that the variances of interest rate stochastic processes are omitted variables in many studies of velocity function behavior.
|Date of creation:||04 Mar 1998|
|Date of revision:|
|Note:||Type of Document - Microsoft Word; prepared on IBM PC; pages: 22 ; figures: 2 Excel Figures Included. A revised version of this paper, with the modified title, "Stochastic Volatility in Interest Rates and Nonlinearity in Velocity," is forthcoming in a special edition of the International Journal of Systems Science|
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