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Microsimulation Projection of the Educational Integration and Labour Force Participation of First- and Second-Generation Immigrants


  • Thomas Horvath
  • Martin Spielauer


  • Marian Fink


In this paper, we present the results of a dynamic microsimulation analysis that examines how changes in the educational integration of first- and second-generation immigrants would affect the future size of the Austrian labour force. Due to population ageing and migration, the number and proportion of people with a migration background will increase significantly in the coming decades. Differences in educational careers, as well as differences in labour market participation between the second generation of migrants with EU or EFTA backgrounds and people without a migration background, would have only a minor impact on future labour force participation dynamics. In contrast, closing education and labour force participation gaps for the second generation of migrants with a third country background would lead to a significant increase in the size and qualification structure of the working population.

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  • Thomas Horvath & Martin Spielauer & Marian Fink, 2020. "Microsimulation Projection of the Educational Integration and Labour Force Participation of First- and Second-Generation Immigrants," WIFO Working Papers 615, WIFO.
  • Handle: RePEc:wfo:wpaper:y:2020:i:615

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Mehtap Akguc & Ana Ferrer, 2015. "Educational Attainment and Labor Market Performance: An Analysis of Immigrants in France," Working Papers 1505, University of Waterloo, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2015.
    2. Martin Spielauer, 2004. "Intergenerational Educational Transmission within Families: An Analysis and Microsimulation Projection for Austria," Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna, vol. 2(1), pages 253-282.
    3. McGinnity, Frances & Darmody, Merike & Murray, Aisling, 2015. "Academic Achievement among Immigrant Children in Irish Primary Schools," Papers WP512, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    4. Peter Huber & Thomas Horvath & Julia Bock-Schappelwein, 2017. "Österreich als Zuwanderungsland," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 59404.
    5. Horst Entorf, 2015. "Migrants and educational achievement gaps," IZA World of Labor, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), pages 146-146, April.
    6. repec:iza:izawol:journl:y:2015:p:146 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Dustmann, Christian & Frattini, Tommaso, 2011. "Immigration: The European Experience," IZA Discussion Papers 6261, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    8. Stanislav Kolenikov, 2014. "Calibrating survey data using iterative proportional fitting (raking)," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 14(1), pages 22-59, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Thomas Horvath & Walter Hyll & Helmut Mahringer & Hedwig Lutz & Martin Spielauer, 2022. "Ältere am Arbeitsmarkt: Eine Vorausschau bis 2040 als Grundlage für wirtschaftspolitische Maßnahmen," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 69701.
    2. Peter Huber & Martin Spielauer, 2020. "Return and Onward Migration and Labour Market Entry. Empirical Analysis and Microsimulation Projection for Austria," WIFO Working Papers 616, WIFO.

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    More about this item


    Integration; Migration; Education; Human Capital; Dynamic microsimulation;
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