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Work histories and pension entitlements in Argentina, Chile and Uruguay

  • Forteza, Alvaro
  • Apella, Ignacio
  • Fajnzylber, Eduardo
  • Grushka, Carlos
  • Rossi, Ianina
  • Sanroman, Graciela

The authors propose alternative methods to project pension rights and implement them in Chile and Uruguay and partially in Argentina. The authors use incomplete work histories databases from the social security administrations to project entire lifetime work histories. The authors first fit linear probability and duration models of the contribution status and dynamic linear models of the income level. The authors then run Monte Carlo simulations to project work histories and compute pension rights. According to results, significant swathes of the population would not access to fundamental pension benefits at age 65, if the current eligibility rules were strictly enforced.

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Paper provided by The World Bank in its series Social Protection Discussion Papers with number 52446.

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Date of creation: 01 Dec 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:wbk:hdnspu:52446
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  1. Ann Huff Stevens, 1999. "Climbing out of Poverty, Falling Back in: Measuring the Persistence of Poverty Over Multiple Spells," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 34(3), pages 557-588.
  2. David Bravo & Jere R. Behrman & Olivia s. Mitchell & Petra E. Todd. & Javiera Vásquez, 2008. "Encuesta de protección social 2006: Presentación general y principales resultados," Working Papers wp273, University of Chile, Department of Economics.
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