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Work Histories and Pension Entitlements in Argentina, Chile and Uruguay

  • Alvaro Forteza
  • Ignacio Apella
  • Eduardo Fajnzylber
  • Carlos Grushka
  • Ianina Rossi
  • Graciela Sanroman

    ()

    (Studies Division, Chilean Pension Supervisor)

We propose alternative methods to project pension rights and implement them in Chile and Uruguay and partially in Argentina. We use incomplete work histories databases from the social security administrations to project entire lifetime work histories. We first fit linear probability and duration models of the contribution status and dynamic linear models of the income level. We then run Monte Carlo simulations to project work histories and compute pension rights. According to our results, significant swathes of the population would not access to fundamental pension benefits at age 65, if the current eligibility rules were strictly enforced. .

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File URL: http://www.spensiones.cl/redirect/files/doctrab/DT00032.pdf
File Function: Revised version, 2009
Download Restriction: no

Paper provided by Superintendencia de Pensiones in its series Working Papers with number 32.

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Date of creation: Sep 2009
Date of revision: Sep 2009
Handle: RePEc:sdp:sdpwps:32
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.spensiones.cl/

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  1. Ann Huff Stevens, 1999. "Climbing out of Poverty, Falling Back in: Measuring the Persistence of Poverty Over Multiple Spells," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 34(3), pages 557-588.
  2. David Bravo & Jere R. Behrman & Olivia s. Mitchell & Petra E. Todd. & Javiera Vásquez, 2008. "Encuesta de protección social 2006: Presentación general y principales resultados," Working Papers wp273, University of Chile, Department of Economics.
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