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Jobless Growth in the Central and Eastern European Countries

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  • Özlem Onaran

Abstract

This paper estimates a labor demand equation based on the panel data of manufacturing industry in the Central and Eastern European Countries (the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Lithuania, Bulgaria, and Romania) in order to test the effect of domestic factors (wages and output) and international factors (exports, imports, and foreign direct investment) on employment during the era of post-transition recovery. The findings indicate that employment does not respond to wages in more than half of the cases. The output elasticity of labor demand is mostly positive, but low, with a number of cases where employment is completely de-linked from output. An impressive speed of integration to the European economic sphere through FDI and international trade has not prevented job losses in the manufacturing industry. While there are very few cases of positive effects, insignificant effects of trade and FDI dominate the findings with some evidence of negative effects as well

Suggested Citation

  • Özlem Onaran, 2008. "Jobless Growth in the Central and Eastern European Countries," Working Papers wp165, Political Economy Research Institute, University of Massachusetts at Amherst.
    • Handle: RePEc:uma:periwp:wp165
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Sanjaya Kumar Malik, 2019. "Foreign Direct Investment and Employment in Indian Manufacturing Industries," The Indian Journal of Labour Economics, Springer;The Indian Society of Labour Economics (ISLE), vol. 62(4), pages 621-637, December.
    2. Özlem Onaran, 2008. "The Effects of Globalization on Wages, Employment, and Wage Share in Austria," Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft - WuG, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik, vol. 34(3), pages 337-360.
    3. Lichter, Andreas & Peichl, Andreas & Siegloch, Sebastian, 2015. "The own-wage elasticity of labor demand: A meta-regression analysis," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 94-119.
    4. Sandeep Kumar Kujur, 2018. "Impact of Technological Change on Employment: Evidence from the Organised Manufacturing Industry in India," The Indian Journal of Labour Economics, Springer;The Indian Society of Labour Economics (ISLE), vol. 61(2), pages 339-376, June.
    5. Naudé, Wim & Surdej, Aleksander & Cameron, Martin, 2019. "The Past and Future of Manufacturing in Central and Eastern Europe: Ready for Industry 4.0?," IZA Discussion Papers 12141, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    6. Markus Leibrecht & Michael Klien & Oezlem Onaran, 2011. "Globalization, welfare regimes and social protection expenditures in Western and Eastern European countries," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 148(3), pages 569-594, September.
    7. Claudius Gräbner-Radkowitsch & Dennis Tamesberger & Philipp Heimberger & Timo Kapelari & Jakob Kapeller, 2022. "Trade Models In The European Union," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 67(235), pages 7-36, October –.
    8. Mehmet Demiral & Ozge Demiral & Aizhan Khoich & Aigul Maidyrova, 2020. "Empirical Links between Global Value Chains,Trade and Unemployment," Montenegrin Journal of Economics, Economic Laboratory for Transition Research (ELIT), vol. 16(4), pages 95-107.
    9. El-hadj Bah & Josef C. Brada, 2014. "Labor Markets in the Transition Economies: An Overview," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 11(1), pages 3-53, June.
    10. Ha Thi Thanh Doan & Trinh Quang Long, 2019. "Technical Change, Exports, and Employment Growth in China: A Structural Decomposition Analysis," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 18(2), pages 28-46, Summer.
    11. Lino P. Briguglio & Melchior Vella, 2015. "Labour demand in the EU and returns to scale: A production function approach," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(8), pages 1103-1116, December.
    12. World Bank Group, 2014. "Balancing Flexibility and Worker Protection," World Bank Publications - Reports 23024, The World Bank Group.
    13. Jan Babecky & Kamil Galuscak & Lubomir Lizal, 2011. "Firm-Level Labour Demand: Adjustment in Good Times and During the Crisis," Working Papers 2011/15, Czech National Bank.
    14. Villa, Stefania., 2010. "Exploring the linkages between investment and employment in Moldova : a time-series analysis," ILO Working Papers 994553423402676, International Labour Organization.
    15. Olu Ajakaiye & Afeikhena T. Jerome & David Nabena & Olufunke A. Alaba, 2015. "Understanding the relationship between growth and employment in Nigeria," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2015-124, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    16. Olu Ajakaiye & Afeikhena T. Jerome & David Nabena & Olufunke A. Alaba, 2015. "Understanding the relationship between growth and employment in Nigeria," WIDER Working Paper Series 124, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    17. Uros Delevic, . "Employment and state incentives in transition economies: are subsidies for FDI ineffective? The case of Serbia," UNCTAD Transnational Corporations Journal, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.
    18. Mondschean, Thomas & Oppenheimer, Margaret, 2011. "Regional Long-term and Short-term Unemployment and Education in Transition: The Case of Poland," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 23-48.
    19. Jacek Klich, 2014. "Foreign Direct Investment in the Visegrad Countries after 2004: Have the Visegrad Countries’ Membership in the European Union Changed Something?," Entrepreneurial Business and Economics Review, Centre for Strategic and International Entrepreneurship at the Cracow University of Economics., vol. 2(3), pages 19-31.
    20. Richard Kofi Asravor & Frank Gyimah Sackey, 2022. "Wage Price Floors and Sectoral Employment Outcomes in Ghana," The Indian Journal of Labour Economics, Springer;The Indian Society of Labour Economics (ISLE), vol. 65(1), pages 103-122, March.
    21. Laura Dargenyte-Kacileviciene & Mindaugas Butkus & Kristina Matuzeviciute, 2022. "Gender-, Age- and Educational Attainment Level-Specific Output–Employment Relationship and Its Dependence on Foreign Direct Investment," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-25, October.
    22. repec:ilo:ilowps:455342 is not listed on IDEAS
    23. Piotr Misztal, 2014. "The Hypothesis Of Jobless Economic Growth In The Global Triad Countries," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 9(3), pages 109-129, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Central and Eastern European Countries; employment; FDI; trade;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand

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