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The dynamics of co-jumps, volatility and correlation

Author

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  • Adam Clements

    () (QUT)

  • Yin Liao

    () (QUT)

Abstract

Understanding the dynamics of volatility and correlation is a crucially important issue. The literature has developed rapidly in recent years with more sophisticated estimates of volatility, and its associated jump and diffusion components. Previous work has found that jumps at an index level are not related to future volatility. Here we examine the links between co-jumps within a group of large stocks, the volatility of, and correlation between their returns. It is found that the occurrence of common, or co-jumps between the stocks are unrelated to the level of volatility or correlation. On the other hand, both volatility and correlation are lower subsequent to a co-jump. This indicates that co-jumps are a transient event but in contrast to earlier research have a greater impact that jumps at an index level.

Suggested Citation

  • Adam Clements & Yin Liao, 2013. "The dynamics of co-jumps, volatility and correlation," NCER Working Paper Series 91, National Centre for Econometric Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:qut:auncer:2013_3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2007. "Roughing It Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling, and Forecasting of Return Volatility," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 89(4), pages 701-720, November.
    3. Zhang, Lan & Mykland, Per A. & Ait-Sahalia, Yacine, 2005. "A Tale of Two Time Scales: Determining Integrated Volatility With Noisy High-Frequency Data," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 100, pages 1394-1411, December.
    4. Jérôme Lahaye & Sébastien Laurent & Christopher J. Neely, 2011. "Jumps, cojumps and macro announcements," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(6), pages 893-921, September.
    5. Fulvio Corsi, 2009. "A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 7(2), pages 174-196, Spring.
    6. Ole E. Barndorff‐Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2002. "Econometric analysis of realized volatility and its use in estimating stochastic volatility models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 64(2), pages 253-280, May.
    7. Engle, Robert, 2002. "Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(3), pages 339-350, July.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Laurini, Márcio Poletti & Mauad, Roberto Baltieri, 2015. "A common jump factor stochastic volatility model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 2-10.
    2. Andrey Itkin, 2017. "Modeling stochastic skew of FX options using SLV models with stochastic spot/vol correlation and correlated jumps," Papers 1701.02821, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2017.
    3. Márcio Poletti Laurini & Roberto Baltieri Mauad & Fernando Antonio Lucena Aiube, 2016. "Multivariate Stochastic Volatility-Double Jump Model: an application for oil assets," Working Papers Series 415, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    4. Jozef Barunik & Pavel Fiser, 2019. "Co-jumping of Treasury Yield Curve Rates," Papers 1905.01541, arXiv.org.
    5. Gresnigt, Francine & Kole, Erik & Franses, Philip Hans, 2015. "Interpreting financial market crashes as earthquakes: A new Early Warning System for medium term crashes," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 123-139.
    6. Caporin, Massimiliano & Kolokolov, Aleksey & Renò, Roberto, 2014. "Multi-jumps," MPRA Paper 58175, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Realized volatility; correlation; jumps; co-jumps; point process;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G00 - Financial Economics - - General - - - General

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