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A dynamic general equilibrium model for tax policy analysis in Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Hernandez, Gustavo Adolfo
  • Light, Miles
  • Rutherford, Thomas

Abstract

The paper documents a dynamic general equilibrium model for Colombia based on national accounts from 1999. The paper is part of a project intended to develop a capacity for the the design, specification, and application of computable models within the Colombian Ministry of Finance and Department of National Planning. Our analytical framework includes both forwardlooking expectations and Harris-Todaro labor markets. In the present paper we compare numerical results from the dynamic model with simpler static and steady-state formulations to highlight the importance of transitional effects in evaluating tax policy reform. Our applications include measurement of the marginal cost of funds from different tax bases and the evaluation of discrete changes in tariff structure. The structure of the labor and intermediate credit markets have important implications for the ranking alternative tax reform proposals.

Suggested Citation

  • Hernandez, Gustavo Adolfo & Light, Miles & Rutherford, Thomas, 2002. "A dynamic general equilibrium model for tax policy analysis in Colombia," MPRA Paper 28435, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:28435
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/28435/1/MPRA_paper_28435.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Todaro, Michael P, 1969. "A Model for Labor Migration and Urban Unemployment in Less Developed Countries," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 59(1), pages 138-148, March.
    2. Glenn W. Harrison & Thomas F. Rutherford & David G. Tarr, 2014. "Trade Policy Options for Chile: The Importance of Market Access," World Scientific Book Chapters,in: APPLIED TRADE POLICY MODELING IN 16 COUNTRIES Insights and Impacts from World Bank CGE Based Projects, chapter 14, pages 329-359 World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Lau, Morten I. & Pahlke, Andreas & Rutherford, Thomas F., 2002. "Approximating infinite-horizon models in a complementarity format: A primer in dynamic general equilibrium analysis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 577-609, April.
    4. Hansen, Terje & Koopmans, Tjalling C., 1972. "On the definition and computation of a capital stock invariant under optimization," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 487-523, December.
    5. John Hutton & Anna Ruocco, 1999. "Tax Reform and Employment in Europe," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 6(3), pages 263-287, August.
    6. Thomas F. Rutherford & David Tarr, 2017. "Regional Trading Arrangements for Chile: Do the Results Differ with a Dynamic Model?," World Scientific Book Chapters,in: Trade Policies for Development and Transition, chapter 18, pages 415-437 World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    7. Rutherford, Thomas F, 1999. "Applied General Equilibrium Modeling with MPSGE as a GAMS Subsystem: An Overview of the Modeling Framework and Syntax," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 14(1-2), pages 1-46, October.
    8. Tatsuo Hatta, 1977. "A Theory of Piecemeal Policy Recommendations," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 44(1), pages 1-21.
    9. repec:wsi:wschap:9789813108448_0017 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Dantzig, George B. & Manne, Alan S., 1974. "A complementarity algorithm for an optimal capital path with invariant proportions," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 312-323, November.
    11. Thomas F. Rutherford & David G. Tarr, 2017. "Trade liberalization, product variety and growth in a small open economy: a quantitative assessment," World Scientific Book Chapters,in: Trade Policies for Development and Transition, chapter 17, pages 389-414 World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    12. Ferris, Michael C. & Munson, Todd S., 2000. "Complementarity problems in GAMS and the PATH solver," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 165-188, February.
    13. Thomas F. Rutherford & Miles K. LIGHT, 2002. "A General Equilibrium Model for Tax Policy Analysis in Colombia: The MEGATAX Model," ARCHIVOS DE ECONOMÍA 011291, DEPARTAMENTO NACIONAL DE PLANEACIÓN.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Gustavo Adolfo HERNANDEZ DIAZ, 2011. "Impuestos parafiscales y mercado laboral: Un análisis de Equilibrio General Computable," ARCHIVOS DE ECONOMÍA 008954, DEPARTAMENTO NACIONAL DE PLANEACIÓN.
    2. Thomas F. RUTHERFORD & Miles K. LIGHT & Gustavo Adolfo HERNANDEZ, 2002. "A dynamic general equilibrium model for tax policy analysis in Colombia," ARCHIVOS DE ECONOMÍA 001910, DEPARTAMENTO NACIONAL DE PLANEACIÓN.
    3. Ömer Özak & Oscar Mauricio Valencia, 2002. "Impacto macroeconómico y distributivo del impuesto de seguridad democrática," ARCHIVOS DE ECONOMÍA 011294, DEPARTAMENTO NACIONAL DE PLANEACIÓN.
    4. Jaime Andrés ESTRADA, 2002. "Optimal enforcement: Finding the right balance," ARCHIVOS DE ECONOMÍA 003302, DEPARTAMENTO NACIONAL DE PLANEACIÓN.
    5. Takeda, Shiro, 2007. "The double dividend from carbon regulations in Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 336-364, September.
    6. Paula ACOSTA MARQUEZ, 2002. "Does corporate governance matter for developing countries? An overview of the Mexican case," ARCHIVOS DE ECONOMÍA 002380, DEPARTAMENTO NACIONAL DE PLANEACIÓN.
    7. Carlos Alberto CASTRO IRAGORRI, 2003. "Yet another lagging, coincident and leading index for the Colombian economy," ARCHIVOS DE ECONOMÍA 003785, DEPARTAMENTO NACIONAL DE PLANEACIÓN.
    8. Allan DRAZEN & Marcela ESLAVA, 2003. "The political business cycle in Colombia on the National and Regional level," ARCHIVOS DE ECONOMÍA 003616, DEPARTAMENTO NACIONAL DE PLANEACIÓN.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dynamic general equlibrium; tax reform;

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
    • H22 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Incidence
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis

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