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Trade Wars: The Exaggerated Impact of Trade in Economic Debate

  • Richard B. Freeman

The rules governing trade and capital flows have been at the center of controversy as globalization has proceeded. One reason is the belief that trade and capital flows have massive effects on the labor market -- either positive, per the claims of international financial institutions and free trade enthusiasts, or negative, per the ubiquitous protestors at WTO, IMF, and World Bank meetings demanding global labor standards. Comparing the claims made in this debate with the outcomes of trade agreements, this paper finds that the debate has exaggerated the effects of trade on economies and the labor market. Changes in trade policy have had modest impacts on labour market. Other aspects of globalization -- immigration, capital flows, and technology transfer -- have greater impacts, with volatile capital flows creating great risk for the well-being of workers. As for labor standards, global standards do not threaten the comparative advantage of developing countries nor do poor labor standards create a race to the bottom'.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 10000.

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Date of creation: Oct 2003
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Publication status: published as Richard B. Freeman, 2004. "Trade Wars: The Exaggerated Impact of Trade in Economic Debate," The World Economy, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 27(1), pages 1-23, 01.
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:10000
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  19. repec:rus:hseeco:121599 is not listed on IDEAS
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