Les liaisons fallacieuses : quasi-colinéarité et « suppresseur classique », aide au développement et croissance
This paper shows that a multiple regression with two highly correlated explanatory variables, both of them with a near zero correlation with the dependent variable may correspond to a spurious regression or to a homeostatic model, with estimates highly sensible to outliers. The regression method does not allow how to decide which one of the two models is relevant. Statistical significance of the (very high) parameters is easily obtained, as shown doing Monte Carlo simulations. An example is provided by the Burnside and Dollar  article on aid, policies and growth.
|Date of creation:||Feb 2012|
|Date of revision:|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: |
Phone: + 33 44 07 81 00
Fax: + 33 1 44 07 83 01
Web page: http://centredeconomiesorbonne.univ-paris1.fr/
More information through EDIRC
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Chatelain, Jean-Bernard & Ralf, Kirsten, 2014.
"Spurious regressions and near-multicollinearity, with an application to aid, policies and growth,"
EconStor Open Access Articles,
ZBW - German National Library of Economics, pages 85-96.
- Chatelain, Jean-Bernard & Ralf, Kirsten, 2014. "Spurious regressions and near-multicollinearity, with an application to aid, policies and growth," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 85-96.
- Chatelain, Jean-Bernard & Ralf, Kirsten, 2012. "Spurious Regressions and Near-Multicollinearity, with an Application to Aid, Policies and Growth," MPRA Paper 42533, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Jean-Bernard Chatelain & Kirsten Ralf, 2012. "Spurious Regressions and Near-Multicollinearity, with an Application to Aid, Policies and Growth," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 12078, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
- Hristos Doucouliagos & Martin Paldam, 2010.
"Conditional aid effectiveness: A meta-study,"
Journal of International Development,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(4), pages 391-410.
- repec:cup:cbooks:9780521002882 is not listed on IDEAS
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:mse:cesdoc:12011. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Lucie Label)
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.