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Macroeconomic Impact of Remittances on Output Growth: Evidence from Turkey

Author

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  • Aysit Tansel

    (Department of Economics, METU)

  • Pinar Yasar

    (State Planning Organization)

Abstract

This study estimates a Keynesian simultaneous, dynamic macroeconometric model to investigate the impact of remittances on key macro variables such as consumption, investment, imports and income in Turkey. The estimated impact and dynamic multipliers indicate that impact of remittances on consumption, imports and income are all positive and reduce gradually while that on investment wears out in the second year. The impact multiplier for income implies a substantial increase in income due to remittances through the multiplier process. The remittances-induced output growth rate is highest during the early 1970s and the early 1980s, but negligible during the other years.

Suggested Citation

  • Aysit Tansel & Pinar Yasar, 2010. "Macroeconomic Impact of Remittances on Output Growth: Evidence from Turkey," ERC Working Papers 1002, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Jun 2010.
    • Handle: RePEc:met:wpaper:1002
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    Cited by:

    1. Farid Makhlouf & Adil Naamane, 2013. "The Impact of Remittances on Economic Growth: The Evidence from Morocco," Working Papers hal-01885148, HAL.
    2. Antonio Di Paolo & Aysit Tansel, 2015. "Returns to Foreign Language Skills in a Developing Country: The Case of Turkey," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(4), pages 407-421, April.
    3. Aisha Tauqir & Muhammad Tariq Majeed & Sadaf Kashif, 2022. "Foreign Direct Investment and Output Volatility Nexus: A Global Analysis," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 57(3), pages 283-309, August.
    4. Anupam Das & Murshed Chowdhury, 2019. "Macroeconomic impacts of remittances in Bangladesh: The role of reverse flows," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 48(3), November.
    5. Antonio Di Paolo & Aysit Tansel, 2015. "Returns to Foreign Language Skills in a Developing Country: The Case of Turkey," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(4), pages 407-421, April.
    6. Florent Deisting & Charlotte Fontan Sers & Farid Makhlouf, 2015. "Transferts de fonds, stabilité politique et croissance économique dans les pays de l’ex URSS," Working papers of CATT hal-01885144, HAL.
    7. Farid Makhlouf & Adil Naamane, 2013. "The Impact of Remittances on Economic Growth: The Evidence from Morocco," Working Papers hal-01885148, HAL.
    8. Anupam Das & Murshed Chowdhury, 2011. "Remittances and GDP Dynamics in 11 Developing Countries: Evidence from Panel Cointegration and PMG Techniques," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 14(42), pages 3-23, December.
    9. Syden Mishi, 2014. "Remittances and Sustainability of Family Livelihoods: Evidence from Zimbabwe," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 6(12), pages 958-973.
    10. Seidu, Ayuba & Onel, Gulcan & Moss, Charles Britt, 2018. "Impact of International Remittance on Out-Farm Labor Migration in Developing Countries: A Dynamic Panel Data Analysis," 2018 Annual Meeting, February 2-6, 2018, Jacksonville, Florida 266531, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    11. Daren Conrad & Benjamin Ramkissoon & Sara Mohammed, 2018. "Back to Basics: Remittances in the Keynesian Macroeconomic Framework," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 24(3), pages 233-238, August.
    12. Amr Hosny, 2019. "Remittances, Remittance Concentration, and Volatility: Is Africa Different from the Middle East?," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 9(3), pages 114-133, September.
    13. Florent Deisting & Charlotte Fontan Sers & Farid Makhlouf, 2015. "Transferts de fonds, stabilité politique et croissance économique dans les pays de l’ex URSS," Working papers of CATT hal-01885144, HAL.
    14. Amr Hosny, 2020. "Remittance Concentration and Volatility: Evidence from 72 Developing Countries," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(4), pages 553-570, October.
    15. Mahalia Jackman, 2014. "A Note on the Labor Market Effects of Remittances in Latin American and Caribbean Countries: Do Thresholds Exist?," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 52(1), pages 52-67, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Remittances; Dynamic Model; Remittances-Induced Output Growth;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection

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