IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/kch/wpaper/sdes-2024-4.html

Does future design induce people to make a persistent change to sustainable food consumption?

Author

Listed:
  • Rahman Md. Mostafizur
  • Khatun Mst. Asma
  • Moinul Islam
  • Tatsuyoshi Saijo
  • Koji Kotani

Abstract

Adopting sustainable food consumption (SFC) is essential for addressing climate change, improving health outcomes and achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). However, little is known about what encourages people to make a lasting shift to SFC. This research considers a future design (FD) approach where people are asked to think about a problem and to act through taking a perspective of future generations, investigating the question “how does the FD approach impact food consumption?” and the hypothesis “FD induces a lasting shift to SFC.” We employ a social experiment with three treatments of “control group,” “deliberation” and “FD,” collecting data on organic and nonorganic vegetable consumption with 300 households in Bangladesh over three months. In the control group, households report the consumption. In deliberation, they additionally deliberate among their family members to think of a vision, a mission and a strategy for the consumption. In the FD treatment, participants additionally consider the perspectives of past, current and future generations before deliberating on the same issues. Results indicate that FD affects people to have a sustained increase (decrease) in organic (nonorganic) vegetable consumption as compared to any other treatment, and the effect under FD is approximately twice as much as that under deliberation in magnitude and in each round. Overall, FD demonstrates a great potential for inducing people to make a persistent change to SFC.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Rahman Md. Mostafizur & Khatun Mst. Asma & Moinul Islam & Tatsuyoshi Saijo & Koji Kotani, 2024. "Does future design induce people to make a persistent change to sustainable food consumption?," Working Papers SDES-2024-4, Kochi University of Technology, School of Economics and Management, revised Jul 2024.
  • Handle: RePEc:kch:wpaper:sdes-2024-4
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.souken.kochi-tech.ac.jp/seido/wp/SDES-2024-4.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2024
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Harrison, Glenn W. & Kairies-Schwarz, Nadja & Han, Johann, 2024. "Deductibles and health care utilization: An experiment on the role of forward-looking behavior," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 224(C), pages 717-748.
    2. Sandström, Camilla & Kanyama, Annika Carlsson & Räty, Riitta & Sonnek, Karin Mossberg & Nordström, Eva-Maria & Mossing, Annika & Nordin, Annika, 2020. "Policy goals and instruments for achieving a desirable future forest: Experiences from backcasting with stakeholders in Sweden," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    3. Hummel, Dennis & Maedche, Alexander, 2019. "How effective is nudging? A quantitative review on the effect sizes and limits of empirical nudging studies," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 47-58.
    4. Joshua D. Angrist & Jörn-Steffen Pischke, 2009. "Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 8769, December.
    5. Federico Belotti & Partha Deb & Willard G. Manning & Edward C. Norton, 2015. "twopm: Two-part models," Stata Journal, StataCorp LLC, vol. 15(1), pages 3-20, March.
    6. Suman Chakrabarti & Avinash Kishore & Devesh Roy, 2018. "Effectiveness of Food Subsidies in Raising Healthy Food Consumption: Public Distribution of Pulses in India," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 100(5), pages 1427-1449.
    7. Lohmann, Paul M. & Gsottbauer, Elisabeth & Doherty, Anya & Kontoleon, Andreas, 2022. "Do carbon footprint labels promote climatarian diets? Evidence from a large-scale field experiment," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    8. Hunt Allcott & Todd Rogers, 2014. "The Short-Run and Long-Run Effects of Behavioral Interventions: Experimental Evidence from Energy Conservation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(10), pages 3003-3037, October.
    9. Raja R. Timilsina & Yoshinori Nakagawa & Koji Kotani, 2020. "Exploring the Possibility of Linking and Incorporating Future Design in Backcasting and Scenario Planning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-14, November.
    10. Shiller, Robert J., 2020. "Popular economic narratives advancing the longest U.S. expansion 2009–2019," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 791-798.
    11. Nguyen, Ly & Gao, Zhifeng & Anderson, James L., 2022. "Regulating menu information: What do consumers care and not care about at casual and fine dining restaurants for seafood consumption?," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    12. Aviva Aron-Dine & Liran Einav & Amy Finkelstein & Mark R. Cullen, 2012. "Moral Hazard in Health Insurance: How Important Is Forward Looking Behavior?," NBER Working Papers 17802, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. R. H. Strotz, 1955. "Myopia and Inconsistency in Dynamic Utility Maximization," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 23(3), pages 165-180.
    14. Kruse, Hendrik W. & Martínez-Zarzoso, Inma & Baghdadi, Leila, 2021. "Standards and political connections: Evidence from Tunisia," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    15. Diana Ivanova & Konstantin Stadler & Kjartan Steen-Olsen & Richard Wood & Gibran Vita & Arnold Tukker & Edgar G. Hertwich, 2016. "Environmental Impact Assessment of Household Consumption," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 20(3), pages 526-536, June.
    16. Raja Rajendra Timilsina & Koji Kotani & Yoshinori Nakagawa & Tatsuyoshi Saijo, 2023. "Does Being Intergenerationally Accountable Resolve the Intergenerational Sustainability Dilemma?," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 99(4), pages 644-667.
    17. Tatsuyoshi Saijo, 2020. "Future Design: Bequeathing Sustainable Natural Environments and Sustainable Societies to Future Generations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-21, August.
    18. Luca Braghieri & Ro'ee Levy & Alexey Makarin, 2022. "Social Media and Mental Health," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(11), pages 3660-3693, November.
    19. Barreda-Tarrazona, Iván & Kundu, Tapas & Østbye, Stein, 2021. "On rational forward-looking behavior in economic geography: An experimental analysis," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    20. Michelle S. Segovia & No‐Ya Yu & Ellen J. Van Loo, 2023. "The effect of information nudges on online purchases of meat alternatives," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 45(1), pages 106-127, March.
    21. Bazoche, Pascale & Guinet, Nicolas & Poret, Sylvaine & Teyssier, Sabrina, 2023. "Does the provision of information increase the substitution of animal proteins with plant-based proteins? An experimental investigation into consumer choices," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    22. Linnea Polgreen & John Brooks, 2012. "Estimating Incremental Costs with Skew," Applied Health Economics and Health Policy, Springer, vol. 10(5), pages 319-329, September.
    23. Qi, Danyi & Li, Ran & Penn, Jerrod & Houghtaling, Bailey & Prinyawiwatkul, Witoon & Roe, Brian E., 2022. "Nudging greater vegetable intake and less food waste: A field experiment," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    24. Kim, Yusun & Reeling, Carson & Widmar, Nicole J.O. & Lee, John G., 2023. "Estimating a model of forward-looking behavior with discrete choice experiments: The case of lifetime hunting license demand," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
    25. Robert J. Shiller, 2020. "Popular Economic Narratives Advancing the Longest U.S. Economic Expansion 2009-2019," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2223, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    26. Brunner, Florentine & Kurz, Verena & Bryngelsson, David & Hedenus, Fredrik, 2018. "Carbon Label at a University Restaurant – Label Implementation and Evaluation," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 658-667.
    27. Serdar Sayman & Ayse Öncüler, 2009. "An Investigation of Time Inconsistency," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(3), pages 470-482, March.
    28. Asankha Pallegedara, 2020. "Preference for parboiled rice: empirical evidence from Sri Lanka," Journal of Agribusiness in Developing and Emerging Economies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 10(5), pages 613-628, April.
    29. Marup Hossain & Mohammad Abdul Malek & Md Amzad Hossain & Md Hasib Reza & Md Shakil Ahmed, 2019. "Agricultural Microcredit for Tenant Farmers: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Bangladesh," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 101(3), pages 692-709.
    30. Judith Chevalier & Austan Goolsbee, 2009. "Are Durable Goods Consumers Forward-Looking? Evidence from College Textbooks," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 124(4), pages 1853-1884.
    31. Pereverza, Kateryna & Pasichnyi, Oleksii & Kordas, Olga, 2019. "Modular participatory backcasting: A unifying framework for strategic planning in the heating sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 123-134.
    32. Wheeler, Sarah Ann & Zuo, Alec & Loch, Adam, 2015. "Watering the farm: Comparing organic and conventional irrigation water use in the Murray–Darling Basin, Australia," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 78-85.
    33. John J. Oliver, 2023. "Scenario planning: Reflecting on cases of actionable knowledge," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 5(3-4), September.
    34. Theodore Eisenberg & Thomas Eisenberg & Martin T. Wells & Min Zhang, 2015. "Addressing the Zeros Problem: Regression Models for Outcomes with a Large Proportion of Zeros, with an Application to Trial Outcomes," Journal of Empirical Legal Studies, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 12(1), pages 161-186, March.
    35. Callaway, Brantly & Sant’Anna, Pedro H.C., 2021. "Difference-in-Differences with multiple time periods," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 200-230.
    36. Wendy De La Rosa & Eesha Sharma & Stephanie M. Tully & Eric Giannella & Gwen Rino, 2021. "Psychological ownership interventions increase interest in claiming government benefits," Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 118(35), pages 2106357118-, August.
    37. Jeffrey M Wooldridge, 2010. "Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 2, volume 1, number 0262232588, December.
    38. Kemigisha, Esther & Babweteera, Fred & Mugisha, Johnny & Angelsen, Arild, 2023. "Payment for environmental services to reduce deforestation: Do the positive effects last?," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    39. Brian C. O'Neill & Michael Oppenheimer & Rachel Warren & Stephane Hallegatte & Robert E. Kopp & Hans O. Pörtner & Robert Scholes & Joern Birkmann & Wendy Foden & Rachel Licker & Katharine J. Mach & Ph, 2017. "IPCC reasons for concern regarding climate change risks," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 7(1), pages 28-37, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Natasya Ghinna & Koji Kotani, 2025. "Future generations and intergenerational sustainability towards SDGs: A comprehensive review for behavioral and institutional decision making," Working Papers SDES-2025-13, Kochi University of Technology, School of Economics and Management, revised Dec 2025.
    2. Rahman Md. Mostafizur & Khatun Mst. Asma & Moinul Islam & Koji Kotani, 2024. "Drivers for sustainable food purchase intentions: Prosocial attitudes for future generations and environmental concerns," Working Papers SDES-2024-5, Kochi University of Technology, School of Economics and Management, revised Nov 2024.
    3. Khatun Mst Asma & Moinul Islam & Tatsuyoshi Saijo & Koji Kotani, 2025. "A future design social experiment for sustainable agricultural production," Working Papers SDES-2025-3, Kochi University of Technology, School of Economics and Management, revised Jan 2025.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Khatun Mst Asma & Moinul Islam & Tatsuyoshi Saijo & Koji Kotani, 2025. "A future design social experiment for sustainable agricultural production," Working Papers SDES-2025-3, Kochi University of Technology, School of Economics and Management, revised Jan 2025.
    2. Raja R. Timilsina & Yoshinori Nakagawa & Koji Kotani, 2020. "Exploring the Possibility of Linking and Incorporating Future Design in Backcasting and Scenario Planning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-14, November.
    3. Toke R. Fosgaard & Alice Pizzo & Sally Sadoff, 2024. "Do People Respond to the Climate Impact of their Behavior? The Effect of Carbon Footprint Information on Grocery Purchases," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 87(7), pages 1847-1886, July.
    4. Natasya Ghinna & Koji Kotani, 2025. "Future generations and intergenerational sustainability towards SDGs: A comprehensive review for behavioral and institutional decision making," Working Papers SDES-2025-13, Kochi University of Technology, School of Economics and Management, revised Dec 2025.
    5. Arne Henningsen & Guy Low & David Wuepper & Tobias Dalhaus & Hugo Storm & Dagim Belay & Stefan Hirsch, 2024. "Estimating Causal Effects with Observational Data: Guidelines for Agricultural and Applied Economists," IFRO Working Paper 2024/03, University of Copenhagen, Department of Food and Resource Economics.
    6. Wang, Lisha & Pan, Minjie & Qian, Xinlei & Lv, Kangjuan, 2025. "Do specialized courts matter? Environmental judiciary and corporate emissions in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    7. Mark Kattenberg & Bas Scheer & Jurre Thiel, 2023. "Causal forests with fixed effects for treatment effect heterogeneity in difference-in-differences," CPB Discussion Paper 452, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    8. Kai Barron & Tilman Fries, 2023. "Narrative Persuasion," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 469, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
    9. Gert Bijnens & Natalia Bermudez & Bart Cockx, 2025. "The impact of short-time work during the great recession," Working Paper Research 481, National Bank of Belgium.
    10. Schleich, Joachim & Alsheimer, Sven, 2022. "How much are individuals willing to pay to offset their carbon footprint? The role of information disclosure and social norms," Working Papers "Sustainability and Innovation" S10/2022, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (ISI).
    11. Goodman-Bacon, Andrew, 2021. "Difference-in-differences with variation in treatment timing," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 254-277.
    12. Vinh, Ho Canh & Tung, Nguyen Hoang & Murakami, Jin & Kato, Hironori, 2025. "Development impact of airport capacity expansion with city-airport expressway connection in Asia's emerging economies: Evidence on nighttime light intensity from Ha Noi," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 63-77.
    13. Llinos Haf Spencer & Mary Lynch & Gwenlli Mair Thomas & Rhiannon Tudor Edwards, 2023. "Intergenerational Deliberations for Long Term Sustainability," Challenges, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-16, February.
    14. Rahman Md. Mostafizur & Khatun Mst. Asma & Moinul Islam & Koji Kotani, 2024. "Drivers for sustainable food purchase intentions: Prosocial attitudes for future generations and environmental concerns," Working Papers SDES-2024-5, Kochi University of Technology, School of Economics and Management, revised Nov 2024.
    15. Mathur, Neil K. & Ruhm, Christopher J., 2023. "Marijuana legalization and opioid deaths," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    16. Pankaj Koirala & Raja Rajendra Timilsina & Koji Kotani, 2021. "Deliberative Forms of Democracy and Intergenerational Sustainability Dilemma," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-18, July.
    17. Giulia Bettin & Isabella Giorgetti & Stefano Staffolani, 2024. "The impact of Covid-19 lockdown on the gender gap in the Italian labour market," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 1-33, March.
    18. Dettmann, Eva & Giebler, Alexander & Weyh, Antje, 2020. "Flexpaneldid: A Stata toolbox for causal analysis with varying treatment time and duration," IWH Discussion Papers 3/2020, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    19. Sasaki, Hiroki & Ito, Nobuhiro, 2024. "Beyond information: The power of personalized nudges in promoting vegetable purchases," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    20. Blazar, David & Gao, Wenjing & Gershenson, Seth & Goings, Ramon & Lagos, Francisco, 2024. "Do Grow-Your-Own Programs Work? Evidence from the Teacher Academy of Maryland," IZA Discussion Papers 16983, IZA Network @ LISER.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kch:wpaper:sdes-2024-4. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Moinul Islam (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/smkocjp.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.