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Is Demonstrating against the Far Right Worth It? Evidence from French Presidential Elections

Author

Listed:
  • Lagios, Nicolas

    (Université Libre de Bruxelles)

  • Meon, Pierre-Guillaume

    (Free University of Brussels)

  • Tojerow, Ilan

    (Université Libre de Bruxelles)

Abstract

We study the electoral impact of protesting against the far right by investigating the demonstrations held during the 2002 French presidential elections against far-right candidate Jean-Marie Le Pen. Instrumenting rally attendance with rainfall while factoring in that some municipalities never host protests, we find that larger protests reduced both the number of votes for Le Pen and the number of abstentions, while increasing the number of votes for Chirac. Regarding the mechanisms behind these results, we show that protests reduced the social desirability of voting for Le Pen, the support for his policies, and generated spatial spillovers through local media.

Suggested Citation

  • Lagios, Nicolas & Meon, Pierre-Guillaume & Tojerow, Ilan, 2022. "Is Demonstrating against the Far Right Worth It? Evidence from French Presidential Elections," IZA Discussion Papers 15589, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    • Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp15589
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Stephan, Meret & Schürmann, Lennart, 2025. "How anti-racist protests influence pro- and anti-migration voting behavior: Evidence from national and European elections," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Center for Civil Society Research ZZ 2025-601, WZB Berlin Social Science Center.
    2. Monnery, Benjamin & Chirat, Alexandre, 2024. "Trust in a national anti-corruption agency: A survey experiment among citizens and experts," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    3. Freitas Monteiro, Teresa & Prömel, Christopher, 2024. "Local far-right demonstrations and nationwide public attitudes toward migration," Discussion Papers 2024/3, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    4. Sardoschau, Sulin & Casanueva, Annalí, 2024. "Public Signal and Private Action: Right-wing Protest and Hate Crimes against Refugees," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges 302408, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.

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    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior

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