Projecting the Spread of COVID-19 for Germany
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
Other versions of this item:
- Donsimoni Jean Roch & Wälde Klaus & Glawion René & Plachter Bodo, 2020. "Projecting the spread of COVID-19 for Germany," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 21(2), pages 181-216, June.
- Jean Roch Donsimoni & René Glawion & Bodo Plachter & Klaus Wälde, 2020. "Projecting the Spread of COVID19 for Germany," Working Papers 2006, Gutenberg School of Management and Economics, Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz.
- Jean Roch Donsimoni & René Glawion & Bodo Plachter & Klaus Wälde, 2020. "Projecting the Spread of Covid-19 for Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series 8183, CESifo.
References listed on IDEAS
- Greg Kaplan & Benjamin Moll & Giovanni L. Violante, 2018.
"Monetary Policy According to HANK,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(3), pages 697-743, March.
- Gianluca Violante & Benjamin Moll & Greg Kaplan, 2015. "Monetary Policy According to HANK," 2015 Meeting Papers 1507, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Greg Kaplan & Benjamin Moll & Giovanni L. Violante, 2017. "Monetary Policy According to HANK," IMES Discussion Paper Series 17-E-04, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
- Greg Kaplan & Benjamin Moll & Giovanni L. Violante, 2016. "Monetary Policy According to HANK," NBER Working Papers 21897, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Kaplan, Greg & Moll, Benjamin & Violante, Giovanni L., 2016. "Monetary policy according to HANK," Working Paper Series 1899, European Central Bank.
- Kaplan, Greg & Moll, Benjamin & Violante, Giovanni L., 2016. "Monetary Policy According to HANK," CEPR Discussion Papers 11068, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Greg Kaplan & Benjamin Moll & Giovanni L. Violante, 2016. "Monetary Policy According to HANK," Working Papers 1602, Council on Economic Policies.
- Hoang Khieu & Klaus Wälde, 2018.
"Capital Income Risk and the Dynamics of the Wealth Distribution,"
Working Papers
1814, Gutenberg School of Management and Economics, Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz.
- Hoang Khieu & Klaus Wälde, 2019. "Capital Income Risk and the Dynamics of the Wealth Distribution," CESifo Working Paper Series 7970, CESifo.
- Khieu, Hoang & Wälde, Klaus, 2018. "Capital Income Risk and the Dynamics of the Wealth Distribution," IZA Discussion Papers 11840, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Christian BAYER & Klaus WALDE, 2010.
"Matching and Saving in Continuous Time: Proofs,"
Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales)
2010014, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
- Christian Bayer & Klaus Wälde, 2010. "Matching and Saving in Continuous Time: Proofs," CESifo Working Paper Series _3026-a, CESifo Group Munich.
- Christian Bayer & Klaus Wälde, 2010. "Matching and Saving in Continuous Time: Proofs," Working Papers 1005, Gutenberg School of Management and Economics, Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz, revised 13 Jan 2010.
- Andrew Caplin & John Leahy, 2001.
"Psychological Expected Utility Theory and Anticipatory Feelings,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 116(1), pages 55-79.
- Caplin, Andrew & Leahy, John, 1997. "Psychological Expected Utility Theory and Anticipatory Feelings," Working Papers 97-37, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University.
- Andrew Atkeson, 2020. "What Will be the Economic Impact of COVID-19 in the US? Rough Estimates of Disease Scenarios," Staff Report 595, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Diamond, Peter A, 1982.
"Aggregate Demand Management in Search Equilibrium,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 90(5), pages 881-894, October.
- P. Diamond, 1980. "Aggregate Demand Management in Search Equilibrium," Working papers 268, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics.
- Florian Dorn & Clemens Fuest & Marcell Göttert & Carla Krolage & Stefan Lautenbacher & Sebastian Link & Andreas Peichl & Magnus Reif & Stefan Sauer & Marc Stöckli & Klaus Wohlrabe & Timo Wollmershäuse, 2020. "Die volkswirtschaftlichen Kosten des Corona-Shutdown für Deutschland: Eine Szenarienrechnung," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(04), pages 29-35, April.
- Andrew Atkeson, 2020. "What Will Be the Economic Impact of COVID-19 in the US? Rough Estimates of Disease Scenarios," NBER Working Papers 26867, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Pissarides, Christopher A, 1985. "Short-run Equilibrium Dynamics of Unemployment Vacancies, and Real Wages," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 75(4), pages 676-690, September.
- Christian BAYER & Klaus WALDE, 2010.
"Matching and Saving in Continuous Time: Proofs,"
LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES
2010014, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
- Christian Bayer & Klaus Wälde, 2010. "Matching and Saving in Continuous Time: Proofs," CESifo Working Paper Series 26-A, CESifo.
- Christian Bayer & Klaus Wälde, 2010. "Matching and Saving in Continuous Time: Proofs," Working Papers 1005, Gutenberg School of Management and Economics, Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz, revised 13 Jan 2010.
- Christian Bayer & Klaus Wälde, 2010.
"Matching and Saving in Continuous Time: Theory,"
Working Papers
1004, Gutenberg School of Management and Economics, Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz, revised 13 Jan 2010.
- Christian Bayer & Klaus Wälde, 2010. "Matching and Saving in Continuous Time: Theory," CESifo Working Paper Series 3026, CESifo.
- Christian BAYER & Klaus WALDE, 2010. "Matching and Saving in Continuous Time: Theory," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2010013, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Jean Roch Donsimoni & René Glawion & Bodo Plachter & Klaus Wälde, 2020.
"Projektion der COVID-19-Epidemie in Deutschland [Projecting the Spread of COVID-19 for Germany],"
Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 100(4), pages 272-276, April.
- Jean Roch Donsimoni & René Glawion & Bodo Plachter & Klaus Wälde, 2020. "Projektion der COVID19 -Epidemie in Deutschland," Working Papers 2005, Gutenberg School of Management and Economics, Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz.
- Busch, Christopher & Ludwig, Alexander & Santaeulàlia-Llopis, Raül, 2020. "Emerging evidence of a silver lining: A ridge walk to avoid an economic catastrophe in Italy and Spain," SAFE White Paper Series 67, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
- Klaus Wälde, 2020. "How to remove the testing bias in CoV-2 statistics," Working Papers 2021, Gutenberg School of Management and Economics, Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz.
- Michael Berlemann & Erik Haustein, 2020. "Right and Yet Wrong: A Spatio-Temporal Evaluation of Germany's Covid-19 Containment Policy," CESifo Working Paper Series 8446, CESifo.
- Gabler, Janos & Raabe, Tobias & Röhrl, Klara, 2020. "People Meet People: A Microlevel Approach to Predicting the Effect of Policies on the Spread of COVID-19," IZA Discussion Papers 13899, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Ulrich Glogowsky & Emanuel Hansen & Simeon Schächtele, 2020. "How Effective Are Social Distancing Policies? Evidence on the Fight against Covid-19 from Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series 8361, CESifo.
- Tödter, Karl-Heinz, 2020. "Ein SIRD-Modell zur Infektionsdynamik mit endogener Behandlungskapazität und Lehren für Corona-Statistiken," IMFS Working Paper Series 141, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Bayer, Christian & Rendall, Alan D. & Wälde, Klaus, 2019.
"The invariant distribution of wealth and employment status in a small open economy with precautionary savings,"
Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 17-37.
- Christian Bayer & Alan D. Rendall & Klaus Wälde, 2018. "The Invariant Distribution of Wealth and Employment Status in a Small Open Economy with Precautionary Savings," CESifo Working Paper Series 7397, CESifo.
- Christian Bayer & Alan Rendall & Klaus Wälde, 2018. "The Invariant Distribution of Wealth and Employment Status in a Small Open Economy with Precautionary Savings," Working Papers 1822, Gutenberg School of Management and Economics, Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz.
- Flórez, Luz A., 2017. "Informal sector under saving: A positive analysis of labour market policies," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 13-26.
- John Gibson & Garth Heutel, 2020. "Pollution and Labor Market Search Externalities Over the Business Cycle," NBER Working Papers 27445, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jeremy Lise, 2013. "On-the-Job Search and Precautionary Savings," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 80(3), pages 1086-1113.
- Fedorets, Alexandra & Lottmann, Franziska & Stops, Michael, 2019.
"Job matching in connected regional and occupational labour markets,"
EconStor Open Access Articles, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, pages 1085-1098.
- Alexandra Fedorets & Franziska Lottmann & Michael Stops, 2019. "Job matching in connected regional and occupational labour markets," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(8), pages 1085-1098, August.
- Fedorets, Alexandra & Stops, Michael & Lottmann, Franziska, 2017. "Job matching on connected regional and occupational labor markets," IAB Discussion Paper 201735, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
- Meimei Wang & Steffen Flessa, 2020. "Modelling Covid-19 under uncertainty: what can we expect?," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 21(5), pages 665-668, July.
- Baert, Stijn & Lippens, Louis & Moens, Eline & Weytjens, Johannes & Sterkens, Philippe, 2020.
"The COVID-19 Crisis and Telework: A Research Survey on Experiences, Expectations and Hopes,"
IZA Discussion Papers
13229, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Stijn Baert & Louis Lippens & Eline Moens & Philippe Sterkens & Johannes Weytjens, 2020. "The COVID-19 crisis and telework: A research survey on experiences, expectations and hopes," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 20/996, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
- Baert, Stijn & Lippens, Louis & Moens, Eline & Sterkens, Philippe & Weytjens, Johannes, 2020. "The COVID-19 crisis and telework: A research survey on experiences, expectations and hopes," GLO Discussion Paper Series 532, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
- Sniekers, F.J.T., 2013.
"Endogenous Beveridge cycles and the volatility of unemployment,"
CeNDEF Working Papers
13-12, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
- Sniekers, F., 2016. "Persistence and volatility of Beveridge cycles," CeNDEF Working Papers 16-05, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
- Sniekers, F., 2014. "Persistence and volatility of Beveridge cycles," CeNDEF Working Papers 14-11, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
- Jonathan Heathcote & Fabrizio Perri, 2018.
"Wealth and Volatility,"
Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 85(4), pages 2173-2213.
- Fabrizio Perri & Jonathan Heathcote, 2011. "Wealth and Volatility," 2011 Meeting Papers 1065, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Jonathan Heathcote & Fabrizio Perri, 2015. "Wealth and Volatility," NBER Working Papers 20994, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Heathcote, Jonathan & Perri, Fabrizio, 2015. "Wealth and Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 10453, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Fabrizio Perri & Jonathan Heathcote, 2013. "Wealth and Volatility," 2013 Meeting Papers 385, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Fabrizio Perri & Jonathan Heathcote, 2012. "Wealth and Volatility," 2012 Meeting Papers 914, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Jonathan Heathcote & Fabrizio Perri, 2015. "Wealth and Volatility," Staff Report 508, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Sterk, Vincent, 2016. "The dark corners of the labor market," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86244, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Laura Alfaro & Anusha Chari & Andrew N. Greenland & Peter K. Schott, 2020. "Aggregate and Firm-Level Stock Returns During Pandemics, in Real Time," NBER Working Papers 26950, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Tesfatsion, Leigh, 1998.
"Ex Ante Capacity Effects in Evolutionary Labor Markets with Adaptive Search,"
ISU General Staff Papers
199810010700001046, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
- Leigh Tesfatsion, 1998. "Ex Ante Capacity Effects in Evolutionary Labor Markets with Adaptive Search," Labor and Demography 9811003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Tesfatsion, Leigh, 1998. "Ex Ante Capacity Effects In Evolutionary Labor Markets With Adaptive Search," Economic Reports 18198, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
- Tesfatsion, Leigh S., 1998. "Ex Ante Capacity Effects in an Evolutionary Labor Market with Adaptive Search," Staff General Research Papers Archive 1379, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
- Chen, Been-Lon & Mo, Jie-Ping & Wang, Ping, 2002.
"Market frictions, technology adoption and economic growth,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 26(11), pages 1927-1954, September.
- Been-Lon Chen & Jie-Ping Mo & Ping Wang, 2000. "Market Frictions, Technology Adoption and Economic Growth," Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers 0034, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics.
- Dustmann, Christian & Glitz, Albrecht & Vogel, Thorsten, 2010.
"Employment, wages, and the economic cycle: Differences between immigrants and natives,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(1), pages 1-17, January.
- Christian Dustmann & Albrecht Glitz & Thorsten Vogel, 2006. "Employment, Wages, and the Economic Cycle: Differences between Immigrants and Natives," CReAM Discussion Paper Series 0609, Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration (CReAM), Department of Economics, University College London.
- Dustmann, Christian & Glitz, Albrecht & Vogel, Thorsten, 2009. "Employment, Wages, and the Economic Cycle: Differences between Immigrants and Natives," IZA Discussion Papers 4432, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Fabio Ghironi, 2018.
"Macro needs micro,"
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 34(1-2), pages 195-218.
- Ghironi, Fabio, 2017. "Macro Needs Micro," CEPR Discussion Papers 12299, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Fabio Ghironi, 2017. "Macro Needs Micro," NBER Working Papers 23836, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Olivier Blanchard, 2000.
"What Do We Know about Macroeconomics that Fisher and Wicksell Did Not?,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 115(4), pages 1375-1409.
- Olivier Blanchard, 2000. "What do we know about Macroeconomics that Fisher and Wicksell did not?," NBER Working Papers 7550, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Yashiv, Eran, 2007.
"Labor search and matching in macroeconomics,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(8), pages 1859-1895, November.
- Yashiv, Eran, 2007. "Labor Search and Matching in Macroeconomics," IZA Discussion Papers 2743, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Yashiv, Eran, 2007. "Labor search and matching in macroeconomics," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 19707, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Eran Yashiv, 2007. "Labor Search and Matching in Macroeconomics," CEP Discussion Papers dp0803, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Martín Gonzalez-Eiras & Dirk Niepelt, 2020.
"Optimally Controlling an Epidemic,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
8770, CESifo.
- Gonzalez-Eiras, Martin & Niepelt, Dirk, 2020. "Optimally Controlling an Epidemic," CEPR Discussion Papers 15541, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martin Gonzalez-Eiras & Dirk Niepelt, 2020. "Optimally Controlling an Epidemic," Working Papers 20.06, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
- Dirk Niepelt & Martín Gonzalez-Eiras, 2020. "Optimally Controlling an Epidemic," Diskussionsschriften dp2019, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
- Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran & Alessandro Rebucci, 2020.
"Voluntary and Mandatory Social Distancing: Evidence on COVID-19 Exposure Rates from Chinese Provinces and Selected Countries,"
Globalization Institute Working Papers
382, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran & Alessandro Rebucci, 2020. "Voluntary and Mandatory Social Distancing: Evidence on COVID-19 Exposure Rates from Chinese Provinces and Selected Countries," NBER Working Papers 27039, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Chudik, Alexander & Pesaran, M Hashem & Rebucci, Alessandro, 2020. "Voluntary and Mandatory Social Distancing: Evidence on COVID-19 Exposure Rates from Chinese Provinces and Selected Countries," CEPR Discussion Papers 14646, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran & Alessandro Rebucci, 2020. "Voluntary and Mandatory Social Distancing: Evidence on Covid-19 Exposure Rates from Chinese Provinces and Selected Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 8243, CESifo.
- Goerke, Laszlo & Neugart, Michael, 2017.
"Social comparisons in oligopsony,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 196-209.
- Goerke, Laszlo & Neugart, Michael, 2017. "Social comparisions in oligopsony," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 110861, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
- Goerke, Laszlo & Neugart, Michael, 2017. "Social Comparisons in Oligopsony," IZA Discussion Papers 10820, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Laszlo Goerke & Michael Neugart, 2017. "Social Comparisons in Oligopsony," CESifo Working Paper Series 6528, CESifo.
- Laszlo Goerke & Michael Neugart, 2017. "Social comparisons in Oligopsony," IAAEU Discussion Papers 201704, Institute of Labour Law and Industrial Relations in the European Union (IAAEU).
- Goerke, Laszlo & Neugart, Michael, 2017. "Social comparisons in oligopsony," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168095, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
More about this item
Keywords
Germany; Markov model; spread of infection; SARS-CoV-2; COVID-19; Corona; projection;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
- E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-EUR-2020-04-27 (Microeconomic European Issues)
- NEP-MAC-2020-04-27 (Macroeconomics)
- NEP-ORE-2020-04-27 (Operations Research)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp13094. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Holger Hinte). General contact details of provider: http://www.iza.org .
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.