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Effectiveness of Capital Outflow Restrictions

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  • Christian Saborowski
  • Sarah Sanya
  • Hans Weisfeld
  • Juan Yepez

Abstract

This paper examines the effectiveness of capital outflow restrictions in a sample of 37 emerging market economies during the period 1995-2010, using a panel vector autoregression approach with interaction terms. Specifically, it examines whether a tightening of outflow restrictions helps reduce net capital outflows. We find that such tightening is effective if it is supported by strong macroeconomic fundamentals or good institutions, or if existing restrictions are already fairly comprehensive. When none of these three conditions is fulfilled, a tightening of restrictions fails to reduce net outflows as it provokes a sizeable decline in gross inflows, mainly driven by foreign investors.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Saborowski & Sarah Sanya & Hans Weisfeld & Juan Yepez, 2014. "Effectiveness of Capital Outflow Restrictions," IMF Working Papers 2014/008, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2014/008
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    3. Chokri Zehri, 2022. "Conditions for the success of capital controls: The elasticity approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 893-910, January.
    4. Das, Mitali & Ordal, Hailey, 2022. "Macroeconomic stability or financial stability: How are capital controls used? Insights from a new database," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
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    6. Pasricha, Gurnain Kaur & Falagiarda, Matteo & Bijsterbosch, Martin & Aizenman, Joshua, 2018. "Domestic and multilateral effects of capital controls in emerging markets," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 48-58.
    7. Dieppe, Alistair & Gilhooly, Robert & Han, Jenny & Korhonen, Iikka & Lodge, David, 2018. "The transition of China to sustainable growth – implications for the global economy and the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 206, European Central Bank.
    8. Barrot, Luis-Diego & Calderón, César & Servén, Luis, 2018. "Openness, specialization, and the external vulnerability of developing countries," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 310-328.
    9. International Monetary Fund, 2014. "Paraguay: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2014/061, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Bilge Erten & Anton Korinek & José Antonio Ocampo, 2021. "Capital Controls: Theory and Evidence," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 59(1), pages 45-89, March.
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