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Effectiveness of Capital Outflow Restrictions

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  • Christian Saborowski
  • Sarah Sanya
  • Hans Weisfeld
  • Juan Yepez

Abstract

This paper examines the effectiveness of capital outflow restrictions in a sample of 37 emerging market economies during the period 1995-2010, using a panel vector autoregression approach with interaction terms. Specifically, it examines whether a tightening of outflow restrictions helps reduce net capital outflows. We find that such tightening is effective if it is supported by strong macroeconomic fundamentals or good institutions, or if existing restrictions are already fairly comprehensive. When none of these three conditions is fulfilled, a tightening of restrictions fails to reduce net outflows as it provokes a sizeable decline in gross inflows, mainly driven by foreign investors.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Saborowski & Sarah Sanya & Hans Weisfeld & Juan Yepez, 2014. "Effectiveness of Capital Outflow Restrictions," IMF Working Papers 2014/008, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2014/008
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    4. International Monetary Fund, 2014. "Paraguay: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2014/061, International Monetary Fund.
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    7. Pasricha, Gurnain Kaur & Falagiarda, Matteo & Bijsterbosch, Martin & Aizenman, Joshua, 2018. "Domestic and multilateral effects of capital controls in emerging markets," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 48-58.
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    9. SERGEY Andryushin ALEKSANDROVICH & С. Андрюшин А., 2015. "Кредитный Потенциал Банковского Сектора России: Состояние И Перспективы Роста // The Russia’S Banking Sector Credit Potential: Conditions, And Growth Prospects," Мир новой экономики // The world of new economy, Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации // Financial University under The Governtment оf The Russian Federation, issue 1, pages 40-49.
    10. Liao, Jia & Meng, Jie & Ren, Junfan & Zhang, Lin, 2024. "The impact of capital Inflow's features on the effectiveness of capital controls - Evidence from multinational data," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 273-284.
    11. Dieppe, Alistair & Gilhooly, Robert & Han, Jenny & Korhonen, Iikka & Lodge, David, 2018. "The transition of China to sustainable growth – implications for the global economy and the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 206, European Central Bank.
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    13. Devin T. Rafferty, 2020. "The “New†Neoclassical International Political Economy of Macroprudential Regulation and Capital Controls: “Style†over “Substanceâ€," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, vol. 52(4), pages 662-672, December.

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