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A Tradeoff between the Output and Current Account Effects of Pension Reform

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  • Mr. Mario Catalan
  • Mr. Nicolas E Magud

Abstract

We compare the long-term output and current account effects of pension reforms that increase the retirement age with those of reforms that cut pension benefits, conditional on reforms achieving similar fiscal targets. We show the presence of a policy trade-off. Pension reforms that increase the retirement age have a large positive effect on output, but a small (and often negative) effect on the current account. In contrast, reforms that cut pension benefits improve the current account balance but reduce output. Mixed pension reforms, which extend the working life and cut pension benefits, can simultaneously boost output and the current account.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Mario Catalan & Mr. Nicolas E Magud, 2012. "A Tradeoff between the Output and Current Account Effects of Pension Reform," IMF Working Papers 2012/283, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2012/283
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Koomen, Miriam & Wicht, Laurence, 2022. "Pension systems and the current account: An empirical exploration," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    2. International Monetary Fund, 2013. "Mauritius: 2013 Article IV Consultation," IMF Staff Country Reports 2013/097, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Mădălina Gabriela ANGHEL & Constantin ANGHELACHE, 2018. "Analysis of the evolution of the number of pensioners and pensions in Romania," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(2(615), S), pages 187-194, Summer.

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