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What Can Low-Income Countries Expect From Adopting Inflation Targeting?

Author

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  • Mrs. Alexandra Born
  • Mrs. Sarwat Jahan
  • Mr. Edward R Gemayel

Abstract

Inflation targeting (IT) is a relatively new monetary policy framework for low-income countries (LICs). The limited number of LICs with an IT framework and the short time that has elapsed since the adoption of this framework explains why there are no previous empirical studies on the performance of IT in LICs. This paper has made a first attempt at filling this gap. It finds that inflation targeting appears to be associated with lower inflation and inflation volatility. At the same time, there is no robust evidence of an adverse impact on output. This may explain the appeal of IT for many LICs, where building credibility of monetary policy is difficult and minimizing output costs of reducing inflation is imperative for social and political reasons.

Suggested Citation

  • Mrs. Alexandra Born & Mrs. Sarwat Jahan & Mr. Edward R Gemayel, 2011. "What Can Low-Income Countries Expect From Adopting Inflation Targeting?," IMF Working Papers 2011/276, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2011/276
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    3. Dabrowski, Marek, 2013. "Monetary policy regimes in CIS economies and their ability to provide price and financial stability," BOFIT Discussion Papers 8/2013, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    4. Anna Samarina & Mirre Terpstra & Jakob De Haan, 2014. "Inflation targeting and inflation performance: a comparative analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(1), pages 41-56, January.
    5. Hippolyte W. BALIMA & Eric Gabin KILAMA & René TAPSOBA, 2017. "Settling the Inflation Targeting Debate: Lights from a Meta-Regression Analysis," Working Papers 4080, FERDI.
    6. Petrevski, Goran, 2023. "Macroeconomic Effects of Inflation Targeting: A Survey of the Empirical Literature," EconStor Preprints 271122, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    7. Raymond Kofi Adjei & Veronika Kajurová, 2021. "What Affects Income in Sub-Saharan Africa?," European Journal of Business Science and Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics, vol. 7(2), pages 223-237.
    8. Dinabandhu Sethi & Debashis Acharya, 2019. "Credibility of inflation targeting: some recent Asian evidence," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 203-219, August.
    9. Weneyam Hippolyte Balima & Jean-Louis Combes & Alexandru Minea, 2015. "Sovereign Debt Risk in Emerging Countries: Does Inflation Targeting Adoption Make Any Difference?," Working Papers halshs-01128239, HAL.
    10. Atsuyoshi Morozumi & Michael Bleaney & Zakari Mumuni, 2020. "Inflation targeting in low‐income countries: Does IT work?," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(4), pages 1529-1550, November.
    11. Goran Petrevski, 2023. "Macroeconomic Effects of Inflation Targeting: A Survey of the Empirical Literature," Papers 2305.17474, arXiv.org.
    12. Nana Kwame Akosah, 2015. "Is the Monetary Policy Rate Effective? Recent Evidence from Ghana," IHEID Working Papers 14-2015, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    13. Faisal Rachman, 2015. ""Does Inflation Targeting Framework Make a Significant Difference in Lowering Price Level?" What is Its Implication to Indonesia’s Inflation Rate?," Economics and Finance in Indonesia, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, vol. 61, pages 131-147, August.
    14. Balima, Hippolyte W. & Kilama, Eric G. & Tapsoba, René, 2020. "Inflation targeting: Genuine effects or publication selection bias?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    15. Nigina QURBANALIEVA, 2013. "An Empirical Study Of Factors Affecting Inflation In Republic Of Tajikistan," Theoretical and Practical Research in the Economic Fields, ASERS Publishing, vol. 4(2), pages 231-249.
    16. Eichengreen, Barry & Gupta, Poonam & Choudhary, Rishabh, 2021. "Inflation Targeting in India: An Interim Assessment," India Policy Forum, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 17(1), pages 77-141.
    17. Syed Imran Ali Meerza, 2020. "Do Preconditions of Inflation Targeting Framework Matter?," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 12(5), pages 1-51, May.
    18. International Monetary Fund, 2015. "Uganda: Staff Report for the 2015 Article IV Consultation and Fourth Review Under the Policy Support Instrument," IMF Staff Country Reports 2015/175, International Monetary Fund.
    19. Anna Samarina & Jakob De Haan, 2014. "Right On Target: Exploring The Factors Leading To Inflation Targeting Adoption," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 32(2), pages 372-389, April.

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