Does Inflation Targeting Reduce Inflation? An Analysis for the OECD Industrial Countries
Despite of its popularity, empirical studies have failed to find evidence of the causal effect of a country's adoption of the Inflation Targeting regime on that country's inflation rate decline. This paper applies the multi-period differences-in-differences estimation to the quarterly CPI inflation rates from the first quarter of 1985 until the third quarter of 2002 to the 22 OECD industrial countries and finds two basic sets of results. The first set of evidences is that countries that have officially adopted Inflation Targeting experience a decrease in their average inflation rates that is not only due to a reversion to mean process. The second set of results is that (1) there seems to be no evidence that Inflation Targeting countries experienced a significant increase in the level of their real interest rates after they adopted the new regime and that (2) even after controlling for the level of real interest rates there is still a causal effect from the adoption of Inflation Targeting to the reduction in inflation rates. In other words, the empirical evidence rejects the idea that the better performance in the inflation rates of the Inflation Targeting countries is only due to a more "aggressive" monetary policy.
References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Niamh Sheridan & Laurence M. Ball, 2003.
"Does Inflation Targeting Matter?,"
IMF Working Papers
03/129, International Monetary Fund.
- Alina Carare & Mark R. Stone, 2003.
"Inflation Targeting Regimes,"
IMF Working Papers
03/9, International Monetary Fund.
- Corbo, Vittorio & Landerretche, Oscar & Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus, 2001.
"Assessing Inflation Targeting after a Decade of World Experience,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 6(4), pages 343-68, October.
- Vittorio Corbo & Oscar Landerretche & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2001. "Assessing Inflation Targeting after a Decade of World Experience," Working Papers 51, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
- N. Gregory Mankiw, 2001.
"U.S. Monetary Policy During the 1990s,"
NBER Working Papers
8471, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- N. Gregory Mankiw, 2001. "U. S. Monetary Policy During the 1990s," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers 1927, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research.
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bcb:wpaper:83. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Francisco Marcos Rodrigues Figueiredo)
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.