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You Say You Want A Revolution: Information Technology and Growth

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  • Mr. James Morsink
  • Mr. Markus Haacker

Abstract

The information technology (IT) revolution has arrived, but how much will it change the world? It has been established that IT is contributing to labor productivity growth through both increases in the levels of IT capital per worker and total factor productivity (TFP) growth in the production of IT equipment. The main outstanding issue is whether IT is contributing to TFP growth more generally. Using data on IT expenditure and production for a broad sample of countries, we find a positive, large, and significant effect of IT expenditure on the acceleration in TFP in the late 1990s and a smaller-and significant-effect of IT production. We also find evidence that the impact of IT expenditure on TFP growth increases over time, suggesting that spillovers materialize gradually. Our results suggest that the increase in IT expenditure across industrial countries during 1995-2000 will eventually lead to an average increase in TFP growth of about one-third of 1 percent per year.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. James Morsink & Mr. Markus Haacker, 2002. "You Say You Want A Revolution: Information Technology and Growth," IMF Working Papers 2002/070, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2002/070
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Nicholas Oulton, 2002. "ICT and Productivity Growth in the United Kingdom," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 18(3), pages 363-379.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bandyopadhyay, Sanghamitra, 2005. "Knowledge-based economic development: mass media and the weightless economy," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 6547, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Sanghamitra Bandyopadhyay, 2006. "Knowledge-Driven Economic Development," Economics Series Working Papers 267, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    3. Tahir Abdi, 2008. "Machinery & equipment investment and growth: evidence from the Canadian manufacturing sector," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(4), pages 465-478.
    4. Christine Zhen-Wei Qiang & Alexander Pitt & Seth Ayers, 2004. "Contribution of Information and Communication Technologies to Growth," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 15059.

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