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Diffusion des TIC et croissance potentielle

Author

Listed:
  • Gilbert Cette

    (Centre de recherche de la Banque de France - Banque de France)

  • Jacques Mairesse

    (CREST - Centre de Recherche en Économie et Statistique - ENSAI - Ecole Nationale de la Statistique et de l'Analyse de l'Information [Bruz] - Groupe ENSAE-ENSAI - Groupe des Écoles Nationales d'Économie et Statistique - X - École polytechnique - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris - ENSAE Paris - École Nationale de la Statistique et de l'Administration Économique - Groupe ENSAE-ENSAI - Groupe des Écoles Nationales d'Économie et Statistique - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Yusuf Kocoglu

    (LEAD - Laboratoire d'Économie Appliquée au Développement - UTLN - Université de Toulon)

Abstract

The development and spread of information and communication technologies (ICTs) fuelled by the very rapid and steady improvement in their performance, lead to a sustained increase in productivity gains. These productivity gains are likely to increase the potential output growth, in the medium to long-term, via capital deepening effects and total factor productivity (TFP) gains, and, in the short to medium-term, via the lagged adjustment of wages to productivity. However, the empirical assessment of these two types of impacts, on potential output growth, as compared with an extreme and hypothetical situation in which there would be no development of ICT, remains obviously very tentative. Nevertheless, the orders of magnitude of the medium to long-term impacts that we find are very significant: the annual potential output growth could be boosted by roughly two percentage points in the United States and one point in France. But we cannot ascertain any empirical evidence to support the existence of significant short to medium-term effects.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Gilbert Cette & Jacques Mairesse & Yusuf Kocoglu, 2004. "Diffusion des TIC et croissance potentielle," Post-Print hal-01297951, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01297951
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    Cited by:

    1. Gilbert Cette & Jacques Mairesse & Yusuf Kocoglu, 2005. "Effets de la diffusion des technologies de l’information sur la croissance potentielle et observée," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 81(1), pages 203-230.
    2. Gilbert Cette & Yusuf Kocoglu & Jacques Mairesse, 2009. "Productivity Growth and Levels in France, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States in the Twentieth Century," NBER Working Papers 15577, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Recuero Virto, Laura & Bacache, Maya, 2009. "TIC et croissance économique [ICT and economic growth]," MPRA Paper 28254, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2009.

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